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Rayo Vallecano v Elche CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Apr, 20:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Eder Sarabia Armesto will be hoping for a vital away win in the La Liga on Friday night, as he takes his Elche CF side to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas to visit Rayo Vallecano and Iñigo Pérez Soto. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that R.Vallecano and Elche will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Iñigo Pérez Soto or Eder Sarabia Armesto has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to about a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
58%
4/5-
Draw
23%
12/5-
Elche
19%
10/3-
R.Vallecano 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
R.Vallecano 2-0
11%
15/2-
R.Vallecano 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
R.Vallecano 3-0
6%
14/1-
Elche 1-0
6%
11/1-
R.Vallecano 3-1
6%
14/1-
Elche 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Elche 2-0
3%
20/1-
R.Vallecano 4-0
3%
28/1-
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
28/1-
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
33/1-
Elche 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
39%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11-
BTTS - No
51%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/1-
Home/draw
81%
1/5-
Away/draw
42%
19/20-
Home/away
77%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2-
Home DNB
74%
1/3-
Away DNB
35%
9/4-
R.Vallecano win to nil
34%
2/1-
Elche win to nil
10%
6/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
29%
15/8-
R.Vallecano / Elche
2%
33/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
18%
15/4-
Draw / Elche
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Elche / R.Vallecano
4%
22/1-
Elche / Elche
11%
13/2-
Elche / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 36 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

R.Vallecano have played 14 games at home winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Elche are in 18th position in the La Liga on 26 points having played 28 matches so far this season. Elche are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 11 and won 3. Elche have conceded 42 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Elche
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2823144970 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Real Madrid2821343666 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-1A
3
A.Madrid2817652257 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
Apr 22
d
 
1-1A
4
Villarreal2817471855 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
5
Real Betis2811116844 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 13
6
Celta2810117741 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 3
7
R.Sociedad2810810138 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
8
Espanyol2810711-737 
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Getafe2810513-735 
d
 
1-1F
May 3
May 17
l
 
1-0A
10
A.Bilbao2810513-1035 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
11
Osasuna289712-234 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
12
Girona2881010-1234 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
May 24
13
R.Vallecano2871110-632 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Apr 3
14
Valencia288812-1232 
d
 
1-1F
May 13
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
15
Sevilla288713-1031 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
16
Mallorca287714-1228 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
17
Alaves287714-1228 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
May 10
l
 
3-1A
18
Elche2851112-926 
Apr 3
l
 
4-0A
-
-
19
Levante285815-1623 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2F
20
Real Oviedo284915-2621 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
5
Elche have lost 5 consecutive away league games
14
Elche have not won in 14 consecutive away league games
R.Vallecano 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
12
L
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Elche 18TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
Elche
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
VAL
2
D
1
ELC
2
League games at Elche since 2015
Elche
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
15
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
D
1
ELC
5
Goal Statistics

Rayo Vallecano have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.7 against Elche CF on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

R.Vallecano 13th Elche 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Elche scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
R.Vallecano have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+19
Elche have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Elche
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
VAL
ELC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
VAL
ELC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

R.Vallecano v Elche La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281048
A BatallaJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK28
4
-
F Lejeune DEF281
4
-
Álvaro García FWD2844
3
-
I Palazón FWD2733
8
-
J Frutos FWD26101
3
-
A Rațiu DEF253
7
-
P Díaz MID25
2
-
P Chavarría DEF2412
5
1
Óscar Valentín MID241
2
1
F Pérez FWD2421
3
-
A Espino DEF212
2
-
G Gumbau MID201
4
-
P Ciss MID202
4
2
U López MID203
5
1
N Mendy DEF182
5
2
A Alemão FWD171
1
-
S Camello FWD13
2
1
I Balliu DEF11
2
-
L Felipe DEF9
1
-
R Nteka MID8
-
J Vertrouwd DEF7
-
Óscar Trejo MID6
2
-
Elche La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27757
A FebasR MirM NetoA Febas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Aguado MID2711
2
-
A Febas MID2722
7
-
G Valera FWD2743
3
-
D Affengruber DEF26
6
1
L Pétrot DEF25
1
-
Álvaro Rodríguez FWD2454
-
R Mir FWD237
3
-
V Chust DEF22
6
1
M Neto MID2225
2
-
A Silva FWD227
2
-
P Bigas DEF202
3
-
Á. Núñez Cobo DEF192
2
-
A Pedrosa DEF1811
4
-
I Peña GLK16
-
R Mendoza MID161
4
-
G Diangana FWD161
2
-
Josan FWD152
2
-
J Nwankwo DEF141
2
-
M Dituro GLK12
1
-
H. García DEF912
-
F Redondo MID9
1
Y. de Santiago FWD8
1
1
A. Boayar Benaisa FWD71
-
B Diaby DEF4
1
-
A. Houary Jeddoub FWD2
-