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Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 15:15 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Real Madrid pay La Liga counterparts Rayo Vallecano a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Xabi Alonso guides his team into an away clash with Iñigo Pérez Soto & co. at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of R.Vallecano and Real Madrid scoring at least two goals in this La Liga match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
22%
6.00
25%
5.75
5%
Draw
23%
4.75
9%
4.60
6%
Real Madrid
54%
1.44
10%
1.50
Draw 1-1
11%
9.00
6%
8.00
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
8.50
31%
7.50
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
8.007.50
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8.00
23%
7.50
7%
R.Vallecano 1-0
6%
17.0013.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
17.00
15%
13.00
8%
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
17.00
17%
15.00
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
11.0010.00
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
11.00
22%
9.50
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
29%
13.00
13%
R.Vallecano 2-0
3%
29.00
17%
23.00
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
21.00
28%
17.00
11%
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
21.0015.00
Real Madrid 4-0
2%
19.00
12%
15.00
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.57
10%
1.60
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.38
15%
2.25
5%
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.75
15%
3.00
3%
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.44
6%
1.44
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
15%
13.00
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.70
13%
1.75
4%
BTTS - No
46%
2.05
14%
2.00
5%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
9.00
33%
8.50
BTTS - Draw
17%
6.00
15%
5.50
5%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
2.88
8%
2.90
3%
Home/draw
46%
2.63
17%
2.50
Away/draw
78%
1.13
5%
1.13
1%
Home/away
77%
1.18
2%
1.18
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.20
4%
1.18
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4.50
13%
4.33
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2.50
17%
2.45
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.53
9%
1.50
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.33
18%
4.20
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.22
5%
1.20
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8.00
18%
8.00
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.08
2%
1.06
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.03
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17.00
15%
13.00
8%
Home DNB
39%
4.33
25%
4.20
3%
Away DNB
71%
1.20
4%
1.18
2%
R.Vallecano win to nil
11%
11.00
15%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
29%
2.75
20%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
9%
10.00
33%
8.50
7%
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
Draw / R.Vallecano
7%
13.00
29%
11.00
10%
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
4.33
8%
4.20
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
37%
2.20
13%
2.20
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
15.00
12%
15.00
13%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. R.Vallecano have conceded 8 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 1st place on 30 points in the La Liga league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 5 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid1110011630 
Nov 9
Feb 1
-
-
2
Barcelona118121525 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
w
 
2-1F
May 10
3
Villarreal117221223 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
4
A.Madrid116411122 
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis11542619 
Dec 14
Feb 22
Jan 4
Apr 19
6
Espanyol11533218 
Apr 22
Dec 7
w
 
2-0F
May 3
7
Getafe11524-117 
Jan 4
May 3
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
8
Alaves11434115 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Apr 22
Dec 14
9
Elche11353-114 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Mar 15
Nov 23
10
R.Vallecano11425-214 
-
-
Feb 1
Nov 9
11
A.Bilbao11425-214 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
May 24
Dec 3
12
Celta11272-113 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Dec 7
Mar 8
13
Sevilla11416-213 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
Dec 21
May 17
14
R.Sociedad11335-312 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
15
Osasuna11326-311 
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
16
Levante11236-59 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
Jan 18
w
 
1-4F
17
Mallorca11236-79 
Jan 11
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
18
Valencia11236-109 
Dec 1
May 13
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
19
Real Oviedo11227-128 
Feb 8
Nov 23
May 13
w
 
0-3F
20
Girona11146-147 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
Apr 12
Nov 30
Win / draw / win form
4
Real Madrid have won 4 consecutive league games
R.Vallecano 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
R.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
R.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
R.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
R.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 1Leganes
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano0 - 2Osasuna
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano3 - 1Girona
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Las Palmas
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano1 - 3A.Bilbao
HR.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
Girona0 - 3Real Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
Leganes0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
HReal Madrid3 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Real Madrid have not lost to R.Vallecano in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
VAL
2
D
2
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano3 - 2
0 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
D
1
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid10 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 1
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 25 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.7 against Rayo Vallecano on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

R.Vallecano 10th Real Madrid 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
R.Vallecano have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+14
Real Madrid have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
VAL
RMD
49%
better
view stats
Games scored7
11
Failed to score4
0
Scored first4
9
Goals scored12
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.4
2.3
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
VAL
RMD
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first7
2
Goals conceded14
10
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+32%

R.Vallecano v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11424
A BatallaJ FrutosP ChavarríaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK11
1
-
F Lejeune DEF11
2
-
P Chavarría DEF1112
3
-
A Rațiu DEF111
3
-
P Ciss MID11
2
-
P Díaz MID11
-
Álvaro García FWD1131
1
-
I Palazón FWD1112
4
-
U López MID102
3
-
J Frutos FWD1041
-
Óscar Valentín MID9
-
A Alemão FWD81
-
F Pérez FWD81
-
A Espino DEF71
-
S Camello FWD6
2
1
G Gumbau MID5
-
L Felipe DEF4
1
-
I Balliu DEF4
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID4
2
-
N Mendy DEF3
-
J Vertrouwd DEF3
-
R Nteka MID3
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111354
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerA Tchouameni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK11
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF111
2
-
F Valverde MID114
1
-
A Güler MID1135
1
-
A Tchouameni MID11
4
-
K Mbappé FWD11132
2
-
V Junior FWD1154
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF91
2
1
Éder Militão DEF911
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD91
3
-
Rodrygo FWD9
1
-
D Ceballos MID8
-
B Díaz FWD82
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
J Bellingham MID721
-
E Camavinga MID7
-
G. García Torres FWD7
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF6
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
F García DEF2
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
Endrick FWD1
-