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Real Madrid v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Enrique Sánchez Flores is aiming for a vital away win in the La Liga on Saturday night, as he takes his Alaves side to the Santiago Bernabéu to visit Real Madrid and José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
76%
--
Draw
15%
--
Alaves
9%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
12%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
10%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
--
Draw 1-1
7%
--
Real Madrid 4-0
6%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
--
Alaves 1-0
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Alaves 2-1
3%
--
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Home 1st Goal
62%
--
Away 1st Goal
36%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
32%
--
BTTS - Draw
11%
--
BTTS - Away Win
5%
--
Home/draw
91%
--
Away/draw
24%
--
Home/away
85%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
87%
--
Away DNB
19%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
44%
--
Alaves win to nil
4%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table. Real Madrid have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Alaves are in 12th position in the La Liga on 13 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Alaves are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Alaves have conceded 12 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1211013533 
May 9
w
 
1-2F
Jan 24
l
 
6-1A
2
Real Madrid1210022130 
-
-
May 23
Nov 28
3
A.Madrid129121328 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 2
4
Real Betis12822526 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
Jan 3
5
R.Sociedad12714122 
w
 
4-1F
Dec 2
Jan 10
Mar 21
6
Sevilla12534-218 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
7
A.Bilbao11443416 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
8
Villarreal12435215 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
9
Deportivo12363115 
May 30
Dec 20
Nov 21
May 16
10
R.Santander12426-1314 
May 16
w
 
0-3F
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
11
Celta12273013 
Nov 21
Mar 21
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
12
Alaves12345-213 
Nov 28
May 23
-
-
13
Espanyol12336-112 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Dec 6
May 30
14
R.Vallecano11335-612 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 31
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
15
Getafe12336-1012 
Jan 3
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
Feb 28
16
Osasuna12336-1112 
Dec 13
Apr 11
w
 
5-2F
Apr 21
17
Levante12255-511 
Jan 10
May 2
May 9
Dec 13
18
Elche12246-610 
Apr 21
w
 
2-3F
Dec 20
Apr 4
19
Valencia12237-129 
Feb 28
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
20
Malaga12057-145 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 1Sevilla
Real Madrid1 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Malaga
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
Real Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid1 - 1Girona
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
Real Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valencia
AReal Madrid3 - 0R.Santander
AReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HReal Madrid4 - 1Sevilla
HReal Madrid1 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Madrid
AReal Madrid3 - 2Elche
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid4 - 0Malaga
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 1Espanyol
HReal Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AReal Madrid0 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
Alaves 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla0 - 0Alaves
Barcelona6 - 1Alaves
Celta2 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 0Alaves
R.Santander2 - 1Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 1Alaves
Real Oviedo0 - 1Alaves
Elche1 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid2 - 1Alaves
R.Sociedad3 - 3Alaves
Celta3 - 4Alaves
Valencia3 - 2Alaves
Levante2 - 0Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Espanyol1 - 2Alaves
A.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
Villarreal3 - 1Alaves
Osasuna3 - 0Alaves
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Girona1 - 0Alaves
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves0 - 0Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 6Barcelona
HAlaves1 - 1Malaga
AAlaves1 - 2Celta
HAlaves1 - 2A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 1Valencia
AAlaves1 - 2R.Santander
HAlaves5 - 2Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 0Villarreal
AAlaves1 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves3 - 0Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2R.Vallecano
AAlaves1 - 0Real Oviedo
HAlaves1 - 0Barcelona
AAlaves1 - 1Elche
HAlaves2 - 4A.Bilbao
HAlaves2 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
AAlaves3 - 3R.Sociedad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2017
Real Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
RMD
8
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
1 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
League games at Alaves since 2016
Alaves
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
20
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
RMD
8
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive La Liga matches. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Alaves fans, as should a 8 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Real Madrid 2nd Alaves 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 72% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Real Madrid have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
2.5
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
ALV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
ALV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Real Madrid v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
121343
K MbappéK MbappéJ BellinghamK Mbappé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cucurella  DEF12
1
-
J Bellingham MID1244
2
-
A Güler MID1234
1
-
Y. Diomande FWD1232
2
-
K Mbappé FWD12132
3
-
T Courtois GLK11
-
I Konaté DEF11
3
-
E Camavinga MID111
2
-
F Valverde MID1112
-
D. Huijsen DEF10
2
1
B Silva MID101
-
D Dumfries DEF8
1
-
A Tchouameni MID81
2
-
V Junior FWD813
2
1
T Alexander-Arnold DEF71
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD72
-
B Díaz FWD6
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF51
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF41
1
-
Endrick FWD4
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12543
A SiveraL BoyéM DíazN Tenaglia
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK121
1
-
V Koski DEF121
-
N Tenaglia DEF121
3
-
P Ibáñez MID121
3
-
M Díaz FWD1244
2
-
A Rebbach FWD12
3
-
A Blanco MID11
3
-
L Boyé FWD115
1
-
A. Pérez Hidalgo FWD113
1
1
T Martínez FWD11
2
-
J Castro DEF10
-
D Suárez MID10
1
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF9
-
A. Mañas Buenadicha FWD91
-
N Valentini DEF8
2
-
C Aleñá MID81
-
A Guevara MID7
-
C Benavídez MID6
1
-
H Novoa DEF31
-
M. Rodriguez Ulacia MID31
-
M Rodríguez FWD3
-