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Aston Villa v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 19th Jan, 20:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
51%
--
Draw
22%
--
Dortmund
27%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
A Villa 2-1
9%
--
A Villa 1-0
7%
--
A Villa 2-0
7%
--
Dortmund 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
A Villa 3-1
6%
--
Dortmund 1-0
5%
--
A Villa 3-0
4%
--
A Villa 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Dortmund 2-0
3%
--
Dortmund 3-1
3%
--
Dortmund 3-2
3%
--
A Villa 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
65%
--
BTTS - No
35%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
A Villa win to nil
21%
--
Dortmund win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win form
A Villa 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa4 - 0Nottm Forest
A Villa4 - 0Bologna
A Villa2 - 0Lille
A Villa3 - 2Salzburg
A Villa2 - 1Young Boys
A Villa2 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
A Villa1 - 0Bologna
A Villa3 - 2PSG
A Villa3 - 0Brugge
A Villa4 - 2Celtic
A Villa0 - 0Juventus
A Villa2 - 0Bologna
A Villa1 - 0Bayern
A Villa2 - 4Olympiakos
A Villa2 - 1Lille
A Villa4 - 0Ajax
A Villa2 - 1L. Warsaw
A Villa2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
A Villa1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
A Villa3 - 0Hibernian
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 0Freiburg
HA Villa4 - 0Nottm Forest
AA Villa0 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa4 - 0Bologna
AA Villa3 - 1Bologna
HA Villa2 - 0Lille
AA Villa1 - 0Lille
HA Villa3 - 2Salzburg
AA Villa1 - 0Fenerbahce
AA Villa2 - 1Basel
HA Villa2 - 1Young Boys
HA Villa2 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AA Villa1 - 2GA Eagles
AA Villa2 - 0Feyenoord
HA Villa1 - 0Bologna
HA Villa3 - 2PSG
AA Villa1 - 3PSG
HA Villa3 - 0Brugge
AA Villa3 - 1Brugge
HA Villa4 - 2Celtic
Dortmund 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta4 - 1Dortmund
Spurs2 - 0Dortmund
Man City4 - 1Dortmund
Kobenhavn2 - 4Dortmund
Juventus4 - 4Dortmund
Barcelona4 - 0Dortmund
Lille1 - 2Dortmund
S. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
Bologna2 - 1Dortmund
D. Zagreb0 - 3Dortmund
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Brugge0 - 3Dortmund
PSG0 - 1Dortmund
A.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
PSV1 - 1Dortmund
Milan1 - 3Dortmund
Newcastle0 - 1Dortmund
PSG2 - 0Dortmund
Chelsea2 - 0Dortmund
Kobenhavn1 - 1Dortmund
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund1 - 4Atalanta
HDortmund2 - 0Atalanta
HDortmund0 - 2Inter
ADortmund0 - 2Spurs
HDortmund2 - 2Bodø
HDortmund4 - 0Villarreal
ADortmund1 - 4Man City
ADortmund4 - 2Kobenhavn
HDortmund4 - 1A.Bilbao
ADortmund4 - 4Juventus
HDortmund3 - 1Barcelona
ADortmund0 - 4Barcelona
ADortmund2 - 1Lille
HDortmund1 - 1Lille
HDortmund0 - 0S. Lisbon
ADortmund3 - 0S. Lisbon
HDortmund3 - 1Shakhtar
ADortmund1 - 2Bologna
HDortmund2 - 3Barcelona
ADortmund3 - 0D. Zagreb
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Aston Villa in their meeting with Borussia Dortmund, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 22 consecutive Champions League matches.

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

A Villa 10th Dortmund 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
A Villa have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Dortmund have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
2
1.4
Attack rating
AVL
BVB
15%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score5
2
Scored first10
12
Goals scored40
43
Avg. goals scored2
2.2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
20
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
AVL
BVB
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded28
24
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A Villa v Dortmund will show here when available.

A Villa Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1121
Z SuzukiE BuendíaP TorresI Maatsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Suzuki GLK1
-
I Maatsen DEF1
1
-
V Lindelöf DEF1
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF1
-
P Torres DEF12
-
B Kamara MID1
-
J Gomes MID11
1
-
R Barkley MID1
-
E Buendía MID11
-
J McGinn MID11
1
-
L Bogarde MID1
-
N Jackson FWD11
-
G. Hemmings FWD1
-
T Abraham FWD1
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
G KobelS Guirassy F SilvaW Anton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK1
-
D Svensson DEF1
-
J Ryerson DEF1
-
W Anton DEF1
1
-
K. de Almeida DEF1
-
K. Gadou DEF1
-
J Bellingham MID1
-
M Sabitzer  MID1
-
F Nmecha MID1
-
J Veerman MID1
-
K. Karetsas MID1
-
C Chukwuemeka MID1
-
E Nwaneri MID1
-
M Beier FWD1
-
S Guirassy  FWD12
-
F Silva FWD11
-