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Aston Villa v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 19th Jan, 20:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
51%
--
Draw
22%
--
Dortmund
27%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
A Villa 2-1
9%
--
A Villa 1-0
7%
--
A Villa 2-0
7%
--
Dortmund 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
A Villa 3-1
6%
--
Dortmund 1-0
5%
--
A Villa 3-0
4%
--
A Villa 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Dortmund 2-0
3%
--
Dortmund 3-1
3%
--
Dortmund 3-2
3%
--
A Villa 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
65%
--
BTTS - No
35%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
A Villa win to nil
21%
--
Dortmund win to nil
10%
--
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
L
3
Dortmund 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Aston Villa in their meeting with Borussia Dortmund, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 22 consecutive Champions League matches.

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

A Villa 3rd Dortmund 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
A Villa have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Dortmund have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
2
1.4
Attack rating
AVL
BVB
15%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score4
2
Scored first11
12
Goals scored35
42
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
21
Avg. XG for1.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
AVL
BVB
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A Villa v Dortmund will show here when available.

A Villa Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE