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Villarreal v Manchester United : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 27th Jan, 20:00 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
39%
--
Draw
22%
--
Man Utd
40%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Man Utd 2-1
8%
--
Villarreal 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Man Utd 1-0
5%
--
Man Utd 3-1
5%
--
Villarreal 1-0
5%
--
Villarreal 3-1
5%
--
Man Utd 2-0
4%
--
Man Utd 3-2
4%
--
Villarreal 2-0
4%
--
Villarreal 3-2
4%
--
Man Utd 3-0
3%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Draw 3-3
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
70%
--
BTTS - No
30%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
26%
--
Home/draw
60%
--
Away/draw
61%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Villarreal win to nil
13%
--
Man Utd win to nil
14%
--
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Villarreal 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal1 - 2Ajax
Villarreal2 - 3Kobenhavn
Villarreal0 - 2Man City
Villarreal2 - 2Juventus
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Villarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
Villarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
Villarreal1 - 0Rennes
Villarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
Villarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
Villarreal5 - 0Austria Wien
Villarreal4 - 3Lech Poznan
Villarreal4 - 2Hajduk Split
Villarreal2 - 3Liverpool
Villarreal1 - 0Bayern
Villarreal1 - 1Juventus
Villarreal0 - 2Man Utd
Villarreal2 - 0Young Boys
Villarreal2 - 2Atalanta
Villarreal1 - 1Man Utd
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVillarreal0 - 3Leverkusen
HVillarreal1 - 2Ajax
HVillarreal2 - 3Kobenhavn
AVillarreal0 - 4Dortmund
AVillarreal0 - 1Paphos
HVillarreal0 - 2Man City
HVillarreal2 - 2Juventus
AVillarreal0 - 1Spurs
HVillarreal3 - 1Marseille
AVillarreal0 - 4Marseille
AVillarreal3 - 2Rennes
HVillarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
HVillarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
AVillarreal2 - 1M. Haifa
HVillarreal1 - 0Rennes
AVillarreal0 - 2Panathinaikos
HVillarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal1 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal0 - 3Lech Poznan
HVillarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
Man Utd 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
A.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
Lyon2 - 2Man Utd
R.Sociedad1 - 1Man Utd
FCSB0 - 2Man Utd
Plzen1 - 2Man Utd
Fenerbahce1 - 1Man Utd
Porto3 - 3Man Utd
Galatasaray3 - 3Man Utd
Kobenhavn4 - 3Man Utd
Bayern4 - 3Man Utd
Sevilla3 - 0Man Utd
Real Betis0 - 1Man Utd
Barcelona2 - 2Man Utd
R.Sociedad0 - 1Man Utd
Omnia Nicosia2 - 3Man Utd
Sheriff0 - 2Man Utd
A.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
Villarreal0 - 2Man Utd
Atalanta2 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan Utd0 - 1Spurs
HMan Utd4 - 1A.Bilbao
AMan Utd3 - 0A.Bilbao
HMan Utd2 - 2Lyon
AMan Utd2 - 2Lyon
HMan Utd4 - 1R.Sociedad
AMan Utd1 - 1R.Sociedad
AMan Utd2 - 0FCSB
HMan Utd2 - 1Rangers
AMan Utd2 - 1Plzen
HMan Utd3 - 2Bodø
HMan Utd2 - 0PAOK
AMan Utd1 - 1Fenerbahce
AMan Utd3 - 3Porto
HMan Utd1 - 1Twente
HMan Utd0 - 1Bayern
AMan Utd3 - 3Galatasaray
AMan Utd3 - 4Kobenhavn
HMan Utd1 - 0Kobenhavn
HMan Utd2 - 3Galatasaray
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Villarreal since 2005
Villarreal
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
3 / 4
D
3
MNU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Man Utd since 2005
Man Utd
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
D
2
MNU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester United's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because Villarreal have conceded in each of their last 17 Champions League outings. A PG of 1.8 for M. Carrick's side suggests that run should continue.

Villarreal 21st Man Utd 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Villarreal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Man Utd have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.8
1.8
Attack rating
2%
better
VIL
MNU
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
3
Scored first11
12
Goals scored36
36
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
VIL
MNU
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
13
Clean sheets0
6
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded33
21
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Villarreal v Man Utd will show here when available.

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
P Gulácsi S MouriñoG MikautadzeS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK1
-
R Veiga DEF1
-
S Mouriño DEF11
1
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF1
1
-
S Cardona DEF1
1
-
A Freeman DEF1
-
N Saliba MID1
-
S Comesaña MID1
-
P Gueye MID1
-
A. Diatta MID1
-
A Moleiro FWD1
-
G Moreno FWD1
-
G Mikautadze FWD11
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1
-
T Buchanan FWD1
-
N Pépé FWD1
-
Man Utd Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
S LammensL Martínez Y TielemansP. Chinazaekpere Dorgu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lammens GLK1
-
H Amass DEF1
-
N Mazraoui  DEF1
-
L Yoro DEF1
-
L Martínez  DEF11
-
Y Tielemans MID11
-
A Santos MID1
-
K Mainoo MID1
-
B Fernandes MID11
-
M Mount  MID1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD11
1
-
S. Lacey FWD1
-
B Sesko FWD11
-
B Mbeumo FWD11
-
J Zirkzee FWD11
-
M Cunha FWD11
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds