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Atletico de Madrid v Union Saint Gilloise : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Nov, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Home advantage makes a difference in the Champions League, and Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid will have the joy of it on Tuesday night. David Hubert’s Union Saint Gilloise are their visitors to the Wanda Metropolitano. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's A.Madrid. Their recent form statistics show their ability on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Union SG too. The odds point towards Diego Simeone's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Tuesday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
74%
3/101/3
Draw
16%
17/419/4
Union SG
10%
9/115/2
A.Madrid 2-0
11%
13/26/1
A.Madrid 3-0
9%
15/215/2
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/17/1
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
8/17/1
A.Madrid 3-1
8%
10/19/1
Draw 1-1
7%
9/19/1
A.Madrid 4-0
6%
12/111/1
A.Madrid 4-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/114/1
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Union SG 2-1
3%
25/118/1
A.Madrid 5-0
3%
22/118/1
Union SG 1-0
3%
25/118/1
A.Madrid 5-1
3%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/21/2
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
13/829/20
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/33/10
Away 1st Goal
37%
9/413/5
No 1st Goal
2%
16/114/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/55/6
BTTS - No
48%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
34%
7/417/10
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/111/1
Home/draw
90%
1/161/14
Away/draw
26%
12/523/10
Home/away
84%
1/61/7
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/72/13
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/219/5
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
13/105/4
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
8/133/5
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/127/10
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/101/11
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/100
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
Home DNB
85%
1/121/11
Away DNB
21%
7/111/2
A.Madrid win to nil
40%
5/4-
Union SG win to nil
4%
16/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
44%
5/617/20
A.Madrid / Union SG
2%
50/140/1
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Draw / A.Madrid
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Union SG
5%
18/114/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/27/1
Union SG / A.Madrid
5%
16/116/1
Union SG / Union SG
6%
16/111/1
Union SG / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Union SG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3300109 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern3300109 
-
-
-
Jan 21
3
Inter330099 
Nov 26
-
l
 
0-4A
-
4
Arsenal330089 
-
l
 
4-0A
-
-
5
Real Madrid330079 
-
-
-
-
6
Dortmund321057 
-
-
-
-
7
Man City321047 
-
-
-
-
8
Newcastle320166 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
-
9
Barcelona320156 
-
-
-
-
10
Liverpool320146 
-
l
 
3-2A
-
-
11
S. Lisbon320136 
-
-
-
-
12
Chelsea320136 
-
-
-
-
13
Qarabag320116 
-
-
-
-
14
Galatasaray3201-16 
-
Jan 21
-
Nov 25
15
Spurs312015 
-
-
-
-
16
PSV311124 
-
Dec 9
-
w
 
1-3F
17
Atalanta3111-34 
-
-
Jan 28
-
18
Marseille310223 
-
-
Dec 9
-
19
A.Madrid3102-13 
-
-
-
Nov 4
20
Brugge3102-23 
-
-
-
-
21
A.Bilbao3102-33 
-
-
-
-
22
E.Frankfurt3102-43 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
23
Napoli3102-53 
-
-
-
-
24
Union SG3102-63 
Nov 4
-
-
-
25
Juventus3021-12 
-
-
-
-
26
Bodø3021-22 
Jan 28
-
-
-
27
Monaco3021-32 
-
-
-
-
28
Slavia3021-32 
-
-
-
-
29
Paphos3021-42 
-
-
-
-
30
Leverkusen3021-52 
-
-
-
-
31
Villarreal3012-31 
-
-
-
-
32
Kobenhavn3012-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Olympiakos3012-71 
-
-
-
-
34
Kairat Almaty3012-81 
-
-
-
-
35
Benfica3003-50 
-
-
-
-
36
Ajax3003-100 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
A.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
A.Madrid1 - 3Lille
A.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
A.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
A.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
A.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
A.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
A.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
A.Madrid2 - 1Porto
A.Madrid0 - 0Man City
A.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
A.Madrid0 - 1Milan
A.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
A.Madrid0 - 0Porto
A.Madrid0 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid0 - 4Arsenal
HA.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
AA.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
HA.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
AA.Madrid2 - 1PSG
HA.Madrid1 - 3Lille
AA.Madrid0 - 4Benfica
HA.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
Union SG 24TH
19 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 19
Conceded
13 / 19
Clean sheets
6 / 19
Failed to score
5 / 19
Won
9
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV1 - 3Union SG
Ajax0 - 2Union SG
Rangers2 - 1Union SG
Twente0 - 1Union SG
Midtjylland1 - 0Union SG
Fenerbahce2 - 1Union SG
Slavia3 - 1Union SG
Fenerbahce0 - 1Union SG
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Union SG
Toulouse0 - 0Union SG
LASK Linz3 - 0Union SG
Liverpool2 - 0Union SG
FC Lugano0 - 1Union SG
Leverkusen1 - 1Union SG
Union Berlin3 - 3Union SG
Malmö0 - 2Union SG
Braga1 - 2Union SG
Union Berlin0 - 1Union SG
Rangers3 - 0Union SG
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion SG0 - 4Inter
HUnion SG0 - 4Newcastle
AUnion SG3 - 1PSV
AUnion SG2 - 0Ajax
HUnion SG0 - 2Ajax
AUnion SG1 - 2Rangers
HUnion SG2 - 1Braga
HUnion SG2 - 1Nice
AUnion SG1 - 0Twente
HUnion SG1 - 1Roma
AUnion SG0 - 1Midtjylland
HUnion SG0 - 0Bodø
AUnion SG1 - 2Fenerbahce
HUnion SG0 - 1Slavia
AUnion SG1 - 3Slavia
AUnion SG1 - 0Fenerbahce
HUnion SG0 - 3Fenerbahce
AUnion SG2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HUnion SG2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HUnion SG2 - 1Liverpool
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Union Saint Gilloise on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 19th Union SG 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Union SG scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Union SG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Union SG
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
7%
better
ATM
USG
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first15
14
Goals scored39
35
Avg. goals scored2
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for2
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
ATM
USG
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
9
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded26
16
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Union SG will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3222
J OblakM LlorenteJ ÁlvarezR Normand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK3
-
R Normand DEF31
2
-
M Llorente DEF32
-
C Gallagher MID3
-
Koke MID3
-
P Barrios MID3
-
A Griezmann FWD31
-
G Simeone FWD31
-
N González FWD3
-
N Molina DEF2
-
C Lenglet DEF2
2
-
M Ruggeri DEF2
-
G Raspadori FWD211
-
A Sörloth FWD2
-
Álex Baena FWD2
-
J Álvarez FWD212
-
J Galán DEF1
-
J Giménez DEF1
1
-
M Pubill DEF1
-
D Hancko DEF1
-
T Almada FWD1
-
C Martín FWD1
-
Union SG Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
K ScherpenK AllisterK RodríguezK Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Scherpen GLK3
-
F Leysen DEF3
-
K Allister DEF31
1
-
C Burgess  DEF3
1
-
A Zorgane MID3
-
O. Niang MID3
-
M Rasmussen MID3
-
A Khalaili MID3
-
A Hadj MID31
-
K. Van de Perre MID3
1
-
P David FWD31
-
K Rodríguez FWD31
-
M. Giger FWD3
1
-
L Patris DEF2
-
R Schoofs MID2
1
-
R Sykes DEF1
-
S Boufal MID1
-
R Florucz FWD1
-