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Paphos v Villarreal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 5th Nov, 17:45 BST, Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

the Alphamega Stadium plays host on Wednesday evening, as Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones's Paphos host Marcelino Toral's Villarreal in the Champions League. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Best Tip: Villarreal to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the home side, that way is Villarreal's. We predict Wednesday's visitors to Alphamega Stadium will be coming away victorious, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from GB's top bookmakers too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely outcome, and are willing to give a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Paphos 16%	19/4	9/2
Draw 20%	7/2	10/3
Villarreal 64%	8/15	11/20
Villarreal 2-0 10%	7/1	13/2
Villarreal 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Villarreal 1-0 10%	7/1	13/2
Draw 1-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Villarreal 3-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Villarreal 3-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	11/1
Paphos 2-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Paphos 1-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Villarreal 4-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Villarreal 4-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Villarreal 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Paphos 2-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Villarreal 4-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	4/6	8/13
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	6/5	23/20
Home 1st Goal 40%	7/4	19/10
Away 1st Goal 57%	4/9	10/21
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	11/1
BTTS - Yes 54%	3/4	8/11
BTTS - No 46%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 9%	17/2	7/1
BTTS - Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 30%	21/10	2/1
Home/draw 36%	11/8	7/5
Away/draw 84%	1/7	1/7
Home/away 80%	2/11	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	13/8	6/4
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1/2	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2	17/5
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	8/1	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	11/1
Home DNB 30%	10/3	3/1
Away DNB 78%	1/5	1/5
Paphos win to nil 8%	10/1	-
Villarreal win to nil 34%	13/8	-
Paphos / Paphos 9%	17/2	7/1
Paphos / Villarreal 4%	20/1	16/1
Paphos / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw / Paphos 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw / Villarreal 18%	7/2	10/3
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
Villarreal / Paphos 2%	40/1	28/1
Villarreal / Villarreal 35%	13/10	13/10
Villarreal / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Paphos Villarreal
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	3	3	0	0	10	9	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	3	3	0	0	10	9	l 1-5A	-	-	-
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	9	9	-	-	-	-
4	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	8	9	-	-	-	-
5	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	7	9	-	-	-	-
6	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	5	7	-	-	-	Nov 25
7	Man City	3	2	1	0	4	7	-	-	l 0-2A	-
8	Newcastle	3	2	0	1	6	6	-	-	-	-
9	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	5	6	-	-	-	-
10	Liverpool	3	2	0	1	4	6	-	-	-	-
11	S. Lisbon	3	2	0	1	3	6	-	-	-	-
12	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	3	6	-	Jan 21	-	-
13	Qarabag	3	2	0	1	1	6	-	-	-	-
14	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	-1	6	-	-	-	-
15	Spurs	3	1	2	0	1	5	-	-	-	l 1-0A
16	PSV	3	1	1	1	2	4	-	-	-	-
17	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	-3	4	-	-	-	-
18	Marseille	3	1	0	2	2	3	-	-	-	-
19	A.Madrid	3	1	0	2	-1	3	-	-	-	-
20	Brugge	3	1	0	2	-2	3	-	-	-	-
21	A.Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-3	3	-	-	-	-
22	E.Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-4	3	-	-	-	-
23	Napoli	3	1	0	2	-5	3	-	-	-	-
24	Union SG	3	1	0	2	-6	3	-	-	-	-
25	Juventus	3	0	2	1	-1	2	-	Dec 10	d 2-2F	-
26	Bodø	3	0	2	1	-2	2	-	-	-	-
27	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-3	2	Nov 26	-	-	-
28	Slavia	3	0	2	1	-3	2	Jan 28	-	-	-
29	Paphos	3	0	2	1	-4	2	-	-	-	Nov 5
30	Leverkusen	3	0	2	1	-5	2	-	-	-	Jan 28
31	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-3	1	Nov 5	-	-	-
32	Kobenhavn	3	0	1	2	-4	1	-	-	Dec 10	-
33	Olympiakos	3	0	1	2	-7	1	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
34	Kairat Almaty	3	0	1	2	-8	1	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
35	Benfica	3	0	0	3	-5	0	-	-	-	-
36	Ajax	3	0	0	3	-10	0	-	-	Jan 20	-
37	M. Tel-Aviv							d 1-1F	w 0-1F	-	-
38	Dynamo Kyiv							w 2-0F	w 0-1F	-	-
39	Red Star Bel.							d 1-1A	w 1-2F	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 13

Conceded

6 / 13

Clean sheets

7 / 13

Failed to score

1 / 13

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos	1 - 5	Bayern
Paphos	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Paphos	2 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
Paphos	1 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
Paphos	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
Paphos	2 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
Paphos	1 - 0	Astana
Paphos	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Paphos	3 - 0	CFR Cluj
Paphos	1 - 0	CSKA 1948 Sofia
Paphos	1 - 0	VMFD Zalgiris
Paphos	2 - 5	Elfsborg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Paphos	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Paphos	1 - 5	Bayern
A	Paphos	0 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Paphos	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Paphos	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Paphos	2 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Paphos	1 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Paphos	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Paphos	1 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Paphos	0 - 3	Djurgårdens
H	Paphos	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
H	Paphos	2 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
A	Paphos	1 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
A	Paphos	2 - 2	FC Lugano
H	Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
A	Paphos	2 - 3	Fiorentina
H	Paphos	1 - 0	Astana
H	Paphos	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Paphos	4 - 1	Petrocub
H	Paphos	3 - 0	CFR Cluj

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs	1 - 0	Villarreal
Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
Rennes	2 - 3	Villarreal
M. Haifa	1 - 2	Villarreal
Panathinaikos	2 - 0	Villarreal
Anderlecht	1 - 1	Villarreal
Lech Poznan	3 - 0	Villarreal
Austria Wien	0 - 1	Villarreal
Beer Sheva	1 - 2	Villarreal
Hajduk Split	0 - 2	Villarreal
Liverpool	2 - 0	Villarreal
Bayern	1 - 1	Villarreal
Juventus	0 - 3	Villarreal
Atalanta	2 - 3	Villarreal
Young Boys	1 - 4	Villarreal
Man Utd	2 - 1	Villarreal
Arsenal	0 - 0	Villarreal
D. Zagreb	0 - 1	Villarreal
Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 2	Villarreal
Salzburg	0 - 2	Villarreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Villarreal	0 - 2	Man City
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Juventus
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Spurs
H	Villarreal	3 - 1	Marseille
A	Villarreal	0 - 4	Marseille
A	Villarreal	3 - 2	Rennes
H	Villarreal	0 - 0	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	3 - 2	Panathinaikos
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	1 - 0	Rennes
A	Villarreal	0 - 2	Panathinaikos
H	Villarreal	0 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	1 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	0 - 3	Lech Poznan
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Beer Sheva
A	Villarreal	1 - 0	Austria Wien
H	Villarreal	5 - 0	Austria Wien
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	Beer Sheva
H	Villarreal	4 - 3	Lech Poznan
A	Villarreal	2 - 0	Hajduk Split

Goal Statistics

	Paphos 29th	Villarreal 31st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	2.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Paphos scoring 1 goal or less	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Villarreal will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
13 home / away league games	-20 Paphos have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted	+3 Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

VIL

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		16
Failed to score	4		4
Scored first	11		14
Goals scored	27		36
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.8
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	12		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+13%

15%

better

VIL

view stats

Games conceded	11		14
Clean sheets	9		6
Conceded first	7		6
Goals conceded	20		26
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+15%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Paphos v Villarreal will show here when available.

Paphos Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	2	1	3
N Michael	M Orsic	P Pêpê	B Felipe

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Michael GLK	9			-
D Goldar DEF	9			1 -
K Pileas DEF	9			-
D Luckassen DEF	9			1 -
P Pêpê MID	9	1	1	2 -
I Sunjic MID	9			1 -
V Dragomir MID	9			-
M Orsic FWD	9	2	1	1 -
B Felipe DEF	8		1	2 1
Jajá FWD	8	2		2 -
A Silva FWD	8	1		-
K Sema FWD	8			-
J Correia FWD	8	2	1	2 1
B Langa DEF	7			2 -
D Quina MID	6			3 -
M Bassouamina FWD	6	1		-
D Luiz DEF	3			-
L Dimata FWD	3			-
P Pedrão DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	2
M Orsic	M Orsic	P Pêpê	D Luckassen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Orsic FWD	2	3	1	1
Jajá FWD	2	3
J Correia FWD	2	3	1	1
P Pêpê MID	1	1	1	2
A Silva FWD	1	1
M Bassouamina FWD	1
D Luckassen DEF				2
V Dragomir MID		1
B Felipe DEF		2	1
D Luiz DEF		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
209	9	26
P Pêpê	I Sunjic	D Luckassen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Pêpê MID	209	2	12
N Michael GLK	178		6
D Luckassen DEF	175	5	26
D Goldar DEF	149	6	18
I Sunjic MID	144	9	15
K Pileas DEF	102	2	10
V Dragomir MID	99	4	16
M Orsic FWD	94	5	9
B Felipe DEF	80	9	16
D Luiz DEF	58	3	7
Jajá FWD	50	4	21
J Correia FWD	42	4	11
B Langa DEF	40	3	6
A Silva FWD	31	2	6
D Quina MID	23	2	7
K Sema FWD	22	5	11
M Bassouamina FWD	19		2
L Dimata FWD	11		3

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	2
R Veiga	R Veiga	N Pépé	S Mouriño

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Pedraza DEF	3			1 -
R Veiga DEF	3	1		1 -
S Mouriño DEF	3			2 -
S Cardona DEF	3			-
S Comesaña MID	3			1 -
P Gueye MID	3			1 -
D Parejo MID	3			-
G Mikautadze FWD	3	1		-
A Moleiro FWD	3			1 -
T Buchanan FWD	3			-
N Pépé FWD	3		1	-
L Júnior GLK	2			-
J Foyth DEF	2			-
T Partey MID	2			-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	2			-
A Pérez FWD	2			-
I Akhomach FWD	2		1	1 -
A Tenas GLK	1			-
R Marín DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
R Veiga	P Gueye	N Pépé	N Pépé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Veiga DEF	1	1
G Mikautadze FWD	1	1
A Pedraza DEF		1
S Cardona DEF				1
S Comesaña MID		1
P Gueye MID		2		1
T Buchanan FWD		1
N Pépé FWD			1	2
I Akhomach FWD			1	1
R Marín DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
146	14	28
R Veiga	S Mouriño	S Mouriño

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Veiga DEF	146	4	5
P Gueye MID	121	6	19
S Mouriño DEF	110	14	28
J Foyth DEF	98	2	6
N Pépé FWD	86	5	17
S Comesaña MID	82	2	10
R Marín DEF	54	4	7
T Partey MID	49	3	4
A Pedraza DEF	47	4	4
S Cardona DEF	43	4	6
D Parejo MID	42	2	4
L Júnior GLK	42		3
A Tenas GLK	38
T Buchanan FWD	30	1	6
G Mikautadze FWD	29	2	5
A Pérez FWD	16	1	7
A Moleiro FWD	11		1
T Oluwaseyi FWD	9		2
I Akhomach FWD	8