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Milan v Benfica : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Sep, 20:00 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Benfica, led by manager Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva, visit Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim and his Milan side at the Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday night in the Europa League. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Milan and Benfica will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
46%
11/10
8%
-
Draw
24%
12/5
3%
-
Benfica
30%
11/5
9%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Milan 1-0
8%
17/2
6%
-
Benfica 2-1
7%
11/1-
Milan 2-0
7%
10/1-
Benfica 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
-
Milan 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Benfica 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Milan 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Milan 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Benfica 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/1-
Milan 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
8%
-
Home/draw
70%
4/11
5%
-
Away/draw
54%
7/10
6%
-
Home/away
76%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
63%
8/15
6%
-
Away DNB
46%
11/8
10%
-
Milan win to nil
22%
3/1
7%
-
Benfica win to nil
13%
11/2
7%
-
Milan / Milan
24%
12/5
10%
-
Milan / Benfica
3%
25/1
10%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Milan
15%
9/2-
Draw / Benfica
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Benfica / Milan
4%
20/1-
Benfica / Benfica
17%
4/1
9%
-
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Milan 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 1Feyenoord
Milan1 - 0Girona
Milan2 - 1Red Star Bel.
Milan3 - 1Brugge
Milan1 - 3Liverpool
Milan0 - 1Roma
Milan4 - 2Slavia
Milan3 - 0Rennes
Milan1 - 3Dortmund
Milan2 - 1PSG
Milan0 - 0Newcastle
Milan0 - 2Inter
Milan1 - 0Napoli
Milan1 - 0Spurs
Milan4 - 0Salzburg
Milan0 - 2Chelsea
Milan3 - 1D. Zagreb
Milan1 - 2Liverpool
Milan1 - 1Porto
Milan1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 1Feyenoord
AMilan0 - 1Feyenoord
AMilan1 - 2D. Zagreb
HMilan1 - 0Girona
HMilan2 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMilan3 - 2S. Bratislava
AMilan3 - 1Real Madrid
HMilan3 - 1Brugge
AMilan0 - 1Leverkusen
HMilan1 - 3Liverpool
AMilan1 - 2Roma
HMilan0 - 1Roma
AMilan3 - 1Slavia
HMilan4 - 2Slavia
AMilan2 - 3Rennes
HMilan3 - 0Rennes
AMilan2 - 1Newcastle
HMilan1 - 3Dortmund
HMilan2 - 1PSG
AMilan0 - 3PSG
Benfica 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGF Aarhus1 - 3Benfica
Hearts1 - 1Benfica
St Gallen2 - 1Benfica
Real Madrid2 - 1Benfica
Juventus2 - 0Benfica
Ajax0 - 2Benfica
Newcastle3 - 0Benfica
Chelsea1 - 0Benfica
Fenerbahce0 - 0Benfica
Nice0 - 2Benfica
Barcelona3 - 1Benfica
Monaco0 - 1Benfica
Juventus0 - 2Benfica
Monaco2 - 3Benfica
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Red Star Bel.1 - 2Benfica
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
Rangers0 - 1Benfica
Toulouse0 - 0Benfica
Salzburg1 - 3Benfica
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica3 - 1AGF Aarhus
HBenfica3 - 1AGF Aarhus
ABenfica1 - 1Hearts
HBenfica6 - 1Hearts
HBenfica5 - 0St Gallen
ABenfica1 - 2St Gallen
ABenfica1 - 2Real Madrid
HBenfica0 - 1Real Madrid
HBenfica4 - 2Real Madrid
ABenfica0 - 2Juventus
HBenfica2 - 0Napoli
ABenfica2 - 0Ajax
HBenfica0 - 1Leverkusen
ABenfica0 - 3Newcastle
ABenfica0 - 1Chelsea
HBenfica2 - 3Qarabag
HBenfica1 - 0Fenerbahce
ABenfica0 - 0Fenerbahce
HBenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica2 - 0Nice
Goal Statistics

Milan have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Benfica on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Milan 22nd Benfica 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Milan have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-26
Benfica have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
ACM
BEF
47%
better
view stats
Games scored14
20
Failed to score6
0
Scored first12
17
Goals scored24
58
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.9
Avg. shots per game9
15
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
20
Avg. XG for1.5
2.6
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
ACM
BEF
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first7
3
Goals conceded21
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Milan v Benfica will show here when available.

Milan Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Torriani GLK
-
M Maignan  GLK
-
P Terracciano GLK
-
V. Vladimirov DEF
-
M Gabbia DEF
-
S Pavlovic DEF
-
F Tomori DEF
-
K Winter DEF
-
S. Bocoum DEF
-
M Gila  DEF
-
F Terracciano DEF
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF
-
P Estupiñán DEF
-
Y Musah MID
-
A Cissè MID
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID
-
D Moreira MID
-
A Saelemaekers MID
-
A Rabiot MID
-
L Modric MID
-
W Bondo MID
-
C. Comotto MID
-
A Jashari MID
-
F. Camarda FWD
-
S Chukwueze FWD
-
G Ramos FWD
-
C Pulisic FWD
-
O Hutchinson FWD
-
Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6621
C LengletV PavlidisC LengletA Bah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Lenglet DEF612
-
E Barrenechea MID6
-
H Sudakov MID61
-
R Silva FWD641
-
S Dahl DEF51
-
A Bah DEF52
1
-
L Barreiro MID511
1
-
J Durán FWD51
-
J Kaminski FWD51
-
A Schjelderup FWD511
-
V Pavlidis FWD561
1
-
S Soares GLK4
-
T Araújo DEF41
1
-
G Prestianni FWD43
1
-
Manu MID3
-
D Lukébakio FWD311
-
A Trubin GLK2
-
A Circati DEF1
-
J. Formoso Neto DEF11
-
F Aursnes MID1
-
S Karouani DEF
-
Gabriel Queiroz DEF
-
D. Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui DEF
-
J Palhinha MID
-
C Echeverri MID
-
Bruma  FWD
-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD
-