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Milan v Benfica : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva will be hoping for a precious away win in the Europa League on Wednesday night, as he takes his Benfica side to the Giuseppe Meazza to visit Milan and Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Europa League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Milan's next match is v Lecce at 19:45 on Sunday 20th September
Benfica's next match is v Porto at 20:30 on Sunday 20th September
The last European Europa League meeting between Milan and Benfica was on Wednesday 16th September 2026
European Europa League
September 16th 2026
Milan 0
2 Benfica
 
16' D. Lukebakio
53' J. Kamiński
 
ACM
BEF
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
10
3
Corners
10
1
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
14
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
MilanBenfica
 
K. De Winter
M. Maignan
D. Bartesaghi (A. Saelemaekers 57')
S. Pavlović
F. Terracciano (M. Fuentes 46')
G. Ramos
A. Jashari (A. Rabiot 73')
A. Cisse (D. da Silva Moreira 57')
Y. Musah
O. Giraud-Hutchinson (C. Pulisic 46')
S. Chukwueze
A. Trubin
A. Circati
(L. Barreiro Martins 70') F. Aursnes
(G. Prestianni Gross 70') H. Sudakov
football iconD. Lukebakio
(A. Schjelderup 80') football iconJ. Kamiński
(S. Dahl 88') S. Elkarouani
T. Araújo
D. Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui
J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves
(V. Pavlidis 80') J. Durán Palacio

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Benfica and Milan supporters should get a chance to celebrate as their teams go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a much better pick than any bet on the WDW market. The two sides have plenty in attack, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, a sign of the qualities (or lack of) each side possesses. Both teams to score is our top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
46%
6/5
18%
-
Draw
23%
5/2
3%
-
Benfica
31%
9/4
14%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
-
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1
12%
-
Milan 1-0
8%
9/1
11%
-
Benfica 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Milan 2-0
7%
11/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
15%
-
Benfica 1-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
12/1-
Benfica 2-0
4%
18/1
19%
-
Milan 3-0
4%
20/1
35%
-
Milan 3-2
4%
20/1
10%
-
Benfica 3-1
3%
22/1
19%
-
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/1
10%
-
Milan 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10
9%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
38%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/2
17%
-
Home/draw
69%
1/3
5%
-
Away/draw
54%
4/6
13%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/7
16%
-
Away DNB
47%
5/4
20%
-
Milan win to nil
21%
10/3
20%
-
Benfica win to nil
13%
11/2
14%
-
Milan / Milan
25%
5/2
21%
-
Milan / Benfica
3%
25/1
10%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Milan
14%
9/2
9%
-
Draw / Benfica
11%
13/2
13%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Benfica / Milan
4%
20/1
10%
-
Benfica / Benfica
17%
4/1
18%
-
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
Milan 35TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Milan have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Benfica on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Milan 35th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Milan have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-26
Benfica have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
ACM
BEF
47%
better
view stats
Games scored14
20
Failed to score6
0
Scored first11
17
Goals scored25
59
Avg. goals scored1.3
3
Avg. shots per game10
15
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
20
Avg. XG for1.5
2.7
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
ACM
BEF
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded22
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Milan v Benfica will show here when available.

Milan Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
M Maignan S Pavlovic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK1
-
F Terracciano DEF1
-
K Winter DEF1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1
1
-
S Chukwueze MID1
-
Y Musah MID1
-
A Jashari MID1
-
D. Bartesaghi MID1
-
O Hutchinson FWD1
-
A Cissè FWD1
-
G Ramos FWD1
-
Subs
L. Torriani GLK
-
P Estupiñán DEF
-
F Tomori DEF
-
M Gila  DEF1
-
M Gabbia DEF
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID
-
C Pulisic MID1
-
A Rabiot MID1
-
L Modric MID
-
D Moreira FWD1
-
A Saelemaekers FWD1
-
F. Camarda FWD
-
Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7622
H SudakovV PavlidisJ KaminskiL Barreiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK3
-
D. Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui DEF1
1
-
T Araújo DEF51
1
-
A Circati DEF2
-
S Karouani DEF11
1
-
F Aursnes MID2
-
J Palhinha MID1
-
D Lukébakio MID421
-
H Sudakov MID71
-
J Kaminski MID612
-
J Durán FWD61
1
-
Subs
S Soares GLK4
-
C Lenglet DEF612
-
S Dahl DEF61
-
E Barrenechea MID6
-
Manu MID3
-
L Barreiro MID611
2
-
R Silva MID641
-
C Echeverri MID
-
V Pavlidis FWD661
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD611
-
G Prestianni FWD53
1
-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD
-