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Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Thursday night at the Villa Park, and it’s a Europa League showdown between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest. Unai Emery Etxegoien and Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira going all-out to ensure the win. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Europa League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Freiburg at 20:00 on Wednesday 20th May
Nottingham Forest's next match is v Man Utd at 12:30 on Sunday 17th May
The last European Europa League meeting between A Villa and Nottm Forest was on Thursday 7th May 2026
European Europa League
May 7th 2026
A Villa 4
0 Nottm Forest
 
O. Watkins 36'
E. Buendía 58'
J. McGinn 77'
J. McGinn 80'
 
AVL
NFO
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
6
3
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
13
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
A VillaNottm Forest
 

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think A Villa and Nottm Forest will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Unai Emery Etxegoien or Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
55%
8/111/50
Draw
24%
14/51/50
Nottm Forest
22%
15/41/50
A Villa 1-0
11%
11/22/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
A Villa 2-0
10%
15/219/20
A Villa 2-1
10%
7/111/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/15/1
Nottm Forest 1-0
7%
12/18/1
A Villa 3-0
6%
14/14/5
A Villa 3-1
6%
14/111/2
Nottm Forest 2-1
6%
14/120/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/133/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
3%
22/118/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
22/128/1
A Villa 4-0
2%
28/12/9
A Villa 4-1
2%
28/19/1
Nottm Forest 3-1
2%
40/155/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/114/5
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/1110/11
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/713/20
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/52/1
No 1st Goal
4%
10/119/4
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/520/1
BTTS - No
48%
19/201/1000
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/415/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/11/50
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/11/50
Home/draw
78%
2/111/50
Away/draw
45%
21/201/50
Home/away
76%
1/41/50
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/107/20
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/22/1
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/519/20
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/33/4
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/211/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/33
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/180/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/9
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/119/4
Home DNB
71%
2/71/50
Away DNB
38%
5/21/50
A Villa win to nil
30%
2/1-
Nottm Forest win to nil
11%
7/1-
A Villa / A Villa
56%
7/42/9
A Villa / Nottm Forest
5%
33/114/1
A Villa / Draw
11%
14/15/1
Draw / A Villa
9%
7/218/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
5%
17/233/1
Draw / Draw
8%
9/222/1
Nottm Forest / A Villa
2%
20/1125/1
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
3%
13/270/1
Nottm Forest / Draw
2%
14/1100/1
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Win / draw / win Europa League table

A Villa have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Europa League league table. A Villa have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 15 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Nottm Forest are in 13th position in the Europa League on 14 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Nottm Forest have conceded 9 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon87011321 
-
-
-
-
2
A Villa8701821 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
3
Midtjylland86111019 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
4
Real Betis8521617 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2A
5
Porto8521617 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
6
Braga8521617 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
7
Freiburg8521617 
-
May 20
-
-
8
Roma8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Genk8512416 
-
-
-
-
10
Bologna8431715 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
-
-
11
Stuttgart8503615 
-
-
-
-
12
Ferencvaros8431115 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
-
13
Nottm Forest8422814 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
Plzen8350514 
-
-
-
-
15
Red Star Bel.8422114 
-
-
-
-
16
Celta8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
PAOK8332312 
-
-
-
-
18
Lille8404312 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
19
Fenerbahce8332312 
-
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
20
Panathinaikos8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8323-211 
-
-
-
-
22
Ludogorets8314-310 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb8314-410 
-
-
-
-
24
Brann8233-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Young Boys8305-69 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
26
Sturm Graz8215-67 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
27
FCSB8215-77 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles8215-87 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
29
Feyenoord8206-46 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
-
30
Basel8206-46 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
-
31
Salzburg8206-56 
w
 
3-2A
-
-
-
32
Rangers8116-94 
-
-
-
-
33
Nice8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Utrecht8017-101 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
35
Malmö8017-111 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
36
M. Tel-Aviv8017-201 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa4 - 0Bologna
A Villa2 - 0Lille
A Villa3 - 2Salzburg
A Villa2 - 1Young Boys
A Villa2 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
A Villa1 - 0Bologna
A Villa3 - 2PSG
A Villa3 - 0Brugge
A Villa4 - 2Celtic
A Villa0 - 0Juventus
A Villa2 - 0Bologna
A Villa1 - 0Bayern
A Villa2 - 4Olympiakos
A Villa2 - 1Lille
A Villa4 - 0Ajax
A Villa2 - 1L. Warsaw
A Villa2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
A Villa1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
A Villa3 - 0Hibernian
A Villa2 - 3Rapid Wien
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa4 - 0Bologna
AA Villa3 - 1Bologna
HA Villa2 - 0Lille
AA Villa1 - 0Lille
HA Villa3 - 2Salzburg
AA Villa1 - 0Fenerbahce
AA Villa2 - 1Basel
HA Villa2 - 1Young Boys
HA Villa2 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AA Villa1 - 2GA Eagles
AA Villa2 - 0Feyenoord
HA Villa1 - 0Bologna
HA Villa3 - 2PSG
AA Villa1 - 3PSG
HA Villa3 - 0Brugge
AA Villa3 - 1Brugge
HA Villa4 - 2Celtic
AA Villa0 - 1Monaco
AA Villa3 - 2RB Leipzig
Nottm Forest 13TH
7 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
Conceded
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
Failed to score
2 / 7
Won
3
Draw
3
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 1Nottm Forest
Midtjylland1 - 2Nottm Forest
Fenerbahce0 - 3Nottm Forest
Braga1 - 0Nottm Forest
Utrecht1 - 2Nottm Forest
Sturm Graz0 - 0Nottm Forest
Real Betis2 - 2Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
12 / 15
Conceded
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
Failed to score
3 / 15
Won
8
D
3
Lost
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNottm Forest1 - 0A Villa
HNottm Forest1 - 0Porto
ANottm Forest1 - 1Porto
ANottm Forest2 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest0 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest1 - 2Fenerbahce
ANottm Forest3 - 0Fenerbahce
HNottm Forest4 - 0Ferencvaros
ANottm Forest0 - 1Braga
ANottm Forest2 - 1Utrecht
HNottm Forest3 - 0Malmö
ANottm Forest0 - 0Sturm Graz
HNottm Forest2 - 0Porto
HNottm Forest2 - 3Midtjylland
ANottm Forest2 - 2Real Betis
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's defensive record is very strong, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa League matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Nottingham Forest makes sense in this context.

A Villa 2nd Nottm Forest 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Nottm Forest scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
A Villa have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Nottm Forest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.7
1
Attack rating
AVL
NFO
1%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first12
9
Goals scored29
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
AVL
NFO
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
12
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded26
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between A Villa v Nottm Forest will show here when available.

A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11552
E BuendíaO WatkinsE BuendíaM Rogers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Buendía MID1435
1
-
M Rogers MID1424
2
-
O Watkins FWD1452
-
L Bogarde MID13
1
-
J Sancho FWD1211
-
M Cash DEF111
2
-
E Konsa DEF112
1
-
P Torres DEF11
-
A Onana MID11
1
-
J McGinn MID1151
2
-
E Martínez GLK10
1
-
L Digne DEF101
2
-
I Maatsen DEF101
1
-
V Lindelöf DEF9
2
-
Y Tielemans MID813
2
-
B Kamara MID61
-
D Luiz MID5
1
-
L Bailey FWD51
-
M Bizot GLK4
1
-
T Mings DEF41
-
H Elliot MID4
-
T Abraham FWD31
-
A García DEF1
-
R Barkley MID1
-
Nottm Forest Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13734
MoratoI JesusM Gibbs-WhiteI Jesus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Milenković DEF1511
-
N Williams DEF151
1
-
Morato DEF14
3
-
I Sangaré MID141
1
-
M Gibbs-White MID1433
2
-
Murillo DEF131
2
-
N Domínguez MID131
1
-
I Jesus FWD1371
4
-
E Anderson MID121
3
1
R Yates MID1222
2
-
D Ndoye FWD1211
1
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD111
-
J McAtee MID1011
-
O Aina  DEF81
-
O Hutchinson MID8
1
-
D Bakwa FWD8
-
S Ortega GLK7
-
Z Abbott DEF7
1
-
M Sels GLK6
-
L Lucca FWD5
1
-
C Wood FWD52
-
J Paula DEF4
1
-
N. Savona DEF4
-
John GLK3
-
W Boly DEF1
-
European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Freiburg v A Villa
Wed 20th May, 20:00