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Celta de Vigo v Lyon : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00 BST, Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Claudio Giráldez González welcomes Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca to the Balaídos on Thursday night, as their Celta de Vigo and Lyon charges clash in the Europa League. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Celta or Lyon are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Celta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Celta 47%	21/20	23/20
Draw 25%	9/4	5/2
Lyon 28%	5/2	23/10
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Celta 1-0 10%	15/2	7/1
Celta 2-1 9%	8/1	15/2
Celta 2-0 8%	9/1	9/1
Lyon 1-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Lyon 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Celta 3-1 5%	16/1	14/1
Lyon 2-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Celta 3-0 4%	18/1	16/1
Celta 3-2 3%	22/1	20/1
Lyon 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Lyon 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Celta 4-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	10/11	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	10/11	10/11
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/11	3/4
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/4	13/10
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	17/2
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 44%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1	29/10
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	19/4
Home/draw 72%	2/7	1/3
Away/draw 53%	8/11	7/10
Home/away 75%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	3/1	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	11/5	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	4/11	7/20
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5/1	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/8	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	17/2
Home DNB 64%	1/2	8/15
Away DNB 46%	6/4	11/8
Celta win to nil 24%	11/4	-
Lyon win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Celta / Celta 25%	9/4	11/5
Celta / Lyon 3%	28/1	22/1
Celta / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Celta 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Lyon 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Lyon / Celta 4%	22/1	18/1
Lyon / Lyon 15%	9/2	4/1
Lyon / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Celta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Celta are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Celta have conceded 5 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Celta have played 5 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Lyon lay in 1st place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lyon have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Lyon have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Celta Lyon
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	Mar 12	Mar 19	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	-	-	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	-	-
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	Mar 19	Mar 12
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	-	-
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	-	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	-	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	-
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	-	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Lyon have won 4 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta	1 - 0	PAOK
Celta	2 - 1	Lille
Celta	1 - 2	Bologna
Celta	2 - 1	Nice
Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
Celta	0 - 1	Man Utd
Celta	3 - 2	Genk
Celta	2 - 1	Krasnodar
Celta	0 - 1	Shakhtar
Celta	1 - 1	S. Liege
Celta	2 - 2	Ajax
Celta	2 - 0	Panathinaikos
Celta	0 - 1	W.Bremen
Celta	2 - 1	Spartak M
Celta	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
Celta	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Celta	3 - 0	S. Liege
Celta	2 - 3	Arsenal
Celta	1 - 1	Brugge
Celta	3 - 2	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Celta	1 - 0	PAOK
A	Celta	2 - 1	PAOK
A	Celta	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Celta	2 - 1	Lille
H	Celta	1 - 2	Bologna
A	Celta	2 - 3	Ludogorets
A	Celta	3 - 0	D. Zagreb
H	Celta	2 - 1	Nice
H	Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
A	Celta	1 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Celta	1 - 1	Man Utd
H	Celta	0 - 1	Man Utd
A	Celta	1 - 1	Genk
H	Celta	3 - 2	Genk
A	Celta	2 - 0	Krasnodar
H	Celta	2 - 1	Krasnodar
A	Celta	2 - 0	Shakhtar
H	Celta	0 - 1	Shakhtar
A	Celta	2 - 0	Panathinaikos
H	Celta	1 - 1	S. Liege

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Young Boys	0 - 1	Lyon
M. Tel-Aviv	0 - 6	Lyon
Real Betis	2 - 0	Lyon
Utrecht	0 - 1	Lyon
Man Utd	2 - 2	Lyon
FCSB	1 - 3	Lyon
Fenerbahce	0 - 0	Lyon
Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
Hoffenheim	2 - 2	Lyon
Rangers	1 - 4	Lyon
West Ham	1 - 1	Lyon
Porto	0 - 1	Lyon
Brondby	1 - 3	Lyon
Sparta	3 - 4	Lyon
Rangers	0 - 2	Lyon
Man City	1 - 3	Lyon
Juventus	2 - 1	Lyon
Zenit	2 - 0	Lyon
Benfica	2 - 1	Lyon
RB Leipzig	0 - 2	Lyon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lyon	4 - 2	PAOK
A	Lyon	1 - 0	Young Boys
H	Lyon	2 - 1	GA Eagles
A	Lyon	6 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Lyon	0 - 2	Real Betis
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Basel
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Salzburg
A	Lyon	1 - 0	Utrecht
A	Lyon	2 - 2	Man Utd
H	Lyon	2 - 2	Man Utd
H	Lyon	4 - 0	FCSB
A	Lyon	3 - 1	FCSB
H	Lyon	1 - 1	Ludogorets
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Lyon	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Lyon	4 - 1	Qarabag
A	Lyon	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Lyon	0 - 1	Besiktas
A	Lyon	4 - 1	Rangers
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Olympiakos

Goal Statistics

Celta de Vigo have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Lyon on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Celta 16th	Lyon 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Celta will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Lyon will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+46 Lyon have scored 46% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

CEL

LYN

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		18
Failed to score	4		2
Scored first	12		15
Goals scored	29		43
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2.2
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	18		20
Avg. XG for	1.6		2
KickOff rating		+24%

CEL

LYN

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		10
Clean sheets	9		10
Conceded first	6		4
Goals conceded	17		18
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+5%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celta v Lyon will show here when available.

Celta Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	4	3	4
I Aspas	W Swedberg	I Aspas	I Moriba

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Iglesias FWD	10	2	1	-
I Aspas FWD	10	3	3	1 -
C Starfelt DEF	9	1		-
I Radu GLK	8			2 -
Óscar Mingueza DEF	8		1	2 -
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF	8			-
J. Rueda García DEF	8		1	2 -
M. Román González MID	8		2	2 -
F Jutglà FWD	8			-
M Alonso DEF	7			1 -
I Moriba MID	7		1	4 -
B Zaragoza FWD	7	1	3	-
S Carreira DEF	6			-
W Swedberg MID	6	4	2	3 -
P Durán FWD	6	3		-
M Ristić DEF	5			-
H Álvarez FWD	5			1 -
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	5	1		-
H Sotelo MID	4			1
F Beltrán MID	4			-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF	3			1 -
Y. Lago Amil DEF	3			1 -
C Domínguez DEF	3			-
D Rodríguez MID	3			-
I Villar GLK	2			-
F Cervi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	3	5
W Swedberg	I Aspas	I Aspas	I Aspas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Swedberg MID	4	8	2	1
I Aspas FWD	3	9	3	5
P Durán FWD	3	4
B Iglesias FWD	2	6	1	1
C Starfelt DEF	1	1
B Zaragoza FWD	1	2	3	2
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	1	2		1
Óscar Mingueza DEF			1	4
J. Rueda García DEF		2	1	3
M. Román González MID		1	2	2
F Jutglà FWD		1		2
M Alonso DEF		1
I Moriba MID		4	1	1
H Álvarez FWD		1
F Beltrán MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
493	19	42
M Alonso	I Moriba	J. Rueda García

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Alonso DEF	493	7	26
C Starfelt DEF	491	7	23
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF	357	17	35
Óscar Mingueza DEF	329	11	18
I Aspas FWD	294	6	21
S Carreira DEF	256	5	18
M. Román González MID	250	5	12
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF	250	5	8
I Moriba MID	231	19	37
M Ristić DEF	216	7	14
J. Rueda García DEF	191	14	42
I Radu GLK	188		3
F Beltrán MID	148	2	5
D Rodríguez MID	134	1	2
B Iglesias FWD	120	4	16
B Zaragoza FWD	110	2	16
C Domínguez DEF	100	4	8
Y. Lago Amil DEF	83	1	2
F Jutglà FWD	82	4	15
W Swedberg MID	78	13	24
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	77	1	4
H Álvarez FWD	75	3	9
P Durán FWD	57	3	10
H Sotelo MID	49	1	5
I Villar GLK	44
F Cervi FWD	3	1	1

Lyon Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	4	4	2
M Niakhaté	C Tolisso	A Karabec	T Morton

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Maitland-Niles DEF	8	1	1	1 -
A Karabec MID	8	2	4	-
K. Merah MID	8	1	1	-
T Morton MID	8		1	2 -
M. de Carvalho MID	8		1	1 -
M Niakhaté DEF	7	1		1 -
C Mata DEF	7			2 -
T Tessmann MID	7	1		1 -
P Sulc MID	7	1	3	1 -
N Tagliafico DEF	6			1 -
R Kluivert DEF	6	1		2 -
M Satriano FWD	6	1		-
A Moreira FWD	6	2	2	1 -
Abner DEF	5	1	1	1 -
C Tolisso MID	5	4	1	-
D Greif GLK	4			-
R Descamps GLK	4			-
M Fofana FWD	3			-
A. Gomes Rodriguez FWD	3	1		1 -
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	2			-
T. Barišić DEF	1			1 -
O Mangala MID	1			-
R Ghezzal FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	4	4
C Tolisso	A Moreira	A Karabec	P Sulc

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Tolisso MID	4	8	1
A Karabec MID	2	2	4	3
A Moreira FWD	2	8	2	1
A Maitland-Niles DEF	1	2	1	2
K. Merah MID	1	1	1
M Niakhaté DEF	1	2		1
T Tessmann MID	1	6
P Sulc MID	1	3	3	4
R Kluivert DEF	1	3
M Satriano FWD	1	2		1
Abner DEF	1	1	1	1
A. Gomes Rodriguez FWD	1	1
T Morton MID		2	1	1
M. de Carvalho MID		1	1	2
N Tagliafico DEF		1
M Fofana FWD		2		2
E. Honoré Molébé FWD		1
R Ghezzal FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
637	15	40
M Niakhaté	A Maitland-Niles	M. de Carvalho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Niakhaté DEF	637	7	23
C Mata DEF	518	4	21
M. de Carvalho MID	406	15	40
T Morton MID	373	13	20
R Kluivert DEF	350	10	24
T Tessmann MID	348	4	21
A Maitland-Niles DEF	324	15	23
N Tagliafico DEF	293	13	32
K. Merah MID	243	5	14
C Tolisso MID	230	7	23
A Karabec MID	184	5	16
D Greif GLK	146
A Moreira FWD	144	8	19
P Sulc MID	139	4	23
Abner DEF	135	3	7
M Satriano FWD	131	4	24
R Descamps GLK	116		1
M Fofana FWD	50	4	9
O Mangala MID	30	3	4
T. Barišić DEF	22		2
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	16		3
R Ghezzal FWD	7
A. Gomes Rodriguez FWD	6	1	4

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Celta de Vigo v Lyon : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Celta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Celta are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Lyon lay in 1st place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celta v Lyon will show here when available.

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