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KRC Genk v Sport-Club Freiburg : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00 BST, Cristal Arena, Genk

Thursday night sees Thorsten Fink’s KRC Genk and Julian Schuster’s Sport-Club Freiburg go up against one another in a Europa League battle at the Cristal Arena. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Genk and Freiburg will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Thorsten Fink or Julian Schuster has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Genk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Genk 39%	8/5	0/1
Draw 25%	23/10	0/1
Freiburg 36%	13/8	0/1
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Genk 2-1 9%	9/1	8/1
Genk 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Freiburg 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
Freiburg 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1
Genk 2-0 6%	12/1	11/1
Freiburg 2-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1	10/1
Genk 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Freiburg 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Genk 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1
Genk 3-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Freiburg 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1
Freiburg 3-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	4/5	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	1/1	19/20
Home 1st Goal 49%	10/11	19/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	20/21	1/1
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 58%	8/13	13/20
BTTS - No 42%	6/5	23/20
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 19%	4/1	7/2
Home/draw 64%	4/9	10/21
Away/draw 61%	1/2	10/21
Home/away 75%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	3/1	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2/1	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	2/5	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	9/2	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/7	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	9/1
Home DNB 56%	5/6	17/20
Away DNB 54%	5/6	17/20
Genk win to nil 19%	4/1	-
Freiburg win to nil 17%	4/1	-
Genk / Genk 20%	3/1	29/10
Genk / Freiburg 3%	25/1	20/1
Genk / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Genk 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Freiburg 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Freiburg / Genk 3%	25/1	20/1
Freiburg / Freiburg 19%	10/3	29/10
Freiburg / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Genk have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 1. Genk have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Genk have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Genk Freiburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	-	-	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	-	-	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	Mar 12	Mar 19	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	Mar 19	Mar 12
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	-	-
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	-	-
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	-	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	d 3-3A	w 1-3F	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	-	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	-
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	-	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genk	1 - 3	D. Zagreb
Genk	2 - 1	Malmö
Genk	2 - 1	Basel
Genk	0 - 0	Real Betis
Genk	0 - 1	Ferencvaros
Genk	1 - 2	Lech Poznan
Genk	2 - 0	Cukaricki
Genk	0 - 0	Ferencvaros
Genk	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Genk	2 - 1	Adana
Genk	1 - 1	Olympiakos
Genk	2 - 2	Servette
Genk	0 - 1	Rapid Wien
Genk	2 - 2	West Ham
Genk	0 - 3	D. Zagreb
Genk	1 - 2	Shakhtar
Genk	1 - 4	Salzburg
Genk	1 - 4	Liverpool
Genk	0 - 0	Napoli
Genk	1 - 4	Slavia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Genk	1 - 3	D. Zagreb
A	Genk	3 - 1	D. Zagreb
H	Genk	2 - 1	Malmö
A	Genk	2 - 0	Utrecht
A	Genk	0 - 1	Midtjylland
H	Genk	2 - 1	Basel
A	Genk	4 - 3	Braga
H	Genk	0 - 0	Real Betis
H	Genk	0 - 1	Ferencvaros
A	Genk	1 - 0	Rangers
H	Genk	1 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	Genk	5 - 1	Lech Poznan
H	Genk	2 - 0	Cukaricki
A	Genk	1 - 2	Fiorentina
A	Genk	1 - 1	Ferencvaros
H	Genk	0 - 0	Ferencvaros
A	Genk	2 - 0	Cukaricki
H	Genk	2 - 2	Fiorentina
A	Genk	0 - 1	Adana
H	Genk	2 - 1	Adana

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 16

Conceded

11 / 16

Clean sheets

5 / 16

Failed to score

8 / 16

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	1 - 0	Freiburg
Plzen	0 - 0	Freiburg
Nice	1 - 3	Freiburg
Bologna	1 - 1	Freiburg
West Ham	5 - 0	Freiburg
Lens	0 - 0	Freiburg
West Ham	2 - 0	Freiburg
Backa Topola	1 - 3	Freiburg
Olympiakos	2 - 3	Freiburg
Juventus	1 - 0	Freiburg
Qarabag	1 - 1	Freiburg
Nantes	0 - 4	Freiburg
Olympiakos	0 - 3	Freiburg
Liberec	1 - 2	Freiburg
Estoril	0 - 0	Freiburg
Sevilla	2 - 0	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Freiburg	0 - 1	Lille
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	Salzburg
A	Freiburg	0 - 0	Plzen
A	Freiburg	3 - 1	Nice
H	Freiburg	2 - 0	Utrecht
A	Freiburg	1 - 1	Bologna
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	Basel
A	Freiburg	0 - 5	West Ham
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	West Ham
H	Freiburg	2 - 2	Lens
A	Freiburg	0 - 0	Lens
A	Freiburg	0 - 2	West Ham
H	Freiburg	5 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Freiburg	5 - 0	Backa Topola
A	Freiburg	3 - 1	Backa Topola
H	Freiburg	1 - 2	West Ham
A	Freiburg	3 - 2	Olympiakos
H	Freiburg	0 - 2	Juventus
A	Freiburg	0 - 1	Juventus

Goal Statistics

	Genk 9th	Freiburg 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Genk will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Freiburg will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-45 Genk have scored 45% fewer goals at home than predicted	+11 Freiburg have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

GNK

SCF

view stats

Games scored	16		13
Failed to score	4		7
Scored first	11		10
Goals scored	31		25
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	2		1.7
KickOff rating		+15%

GNK

SCF

17%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		13
Clean sheets	3		7
Conceded first	9		9
Goals conceded	30		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+17%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Genk v Freiburg will show here when available.

Genk Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	4	4	2
M Smets	H Oh	J Steuckers	M Smets

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Smets DEF	12		1	2 -
B Heynen MID	12	2	1	2 -
M Sadick DEF	11			2 -
K. Karetsas MID	11	2	3	1 -
Y Sor FWD	11	2	1	-
Y Medina DEF	10	1		2 -
J Steuckers FWD	10		4	1 -
H Oh FWD	10	4		1 -
Z Ouahdi DEF	9	3	1	2 -
J Kayembe DEF	9			1 -
D Heymans MID	8	4	4	2 -
P Hrosovsky MID	8	2		-
I. Bangoura MID	8			1 -
N Sattlberger MID	8		2	-
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD	7			1 -
J Ito FWD	7	2		1 -
H Crombrugge GLK	6			-
T Lawal GLK	6			-
R. Mirisola FWD	6			-
K Nkuba DEF	5			-
J Erabi FWD	5			-
A Bibout FWD	4			-
A. Palacios Hernández DEF	2			-
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	4	6
H Oh	H Oh	J Steuckers	J Steuckers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Oh FWD	4	13		1
D Heymans MID	4	10	4	2
Z Ouahdi DEF	3	7	1	5
B Heynen MID	2	2	1	3
K. Karetsas MID	2	10	3	4
Y Sor FWD	2	4	1	4
P Hrosovsky MID	2	6		2
J Ito FWD	2	5		4
Y Medina DEF	1	5		1
M Smets DEF		1	1	1
J Steuckers FWD		1	4	6
J Kayembe DEF				1
N Sattlberger MID			2	1
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD		1
R. Mirisola FWD		1
K Nkuba DEF		1
A Bibout FWD		2
A. Palacios Hernández DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
823	25	71
M Smets	B Heynen	B Heynen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Smets DEF	823	14	35
B Heynen MID	632	25	71
M Sadick DEF	525	20	35
J Kayembe DEF	401	13	26
Z Ouahdi DEF	318	22	51
Y Medina DEF	297	10	31
D Heymans MID	279	17	49
P Hrosovsky MID	275	9	25
K. Karetsas MID	262	8	35
H Crombrugge GLK	211	1	4
T Lawal GLK	203		1
J Steuckers FWD	202	3	8
J Ito FWD	186	14	21
I. Bangoura MID	183	13	22
Y Sor FWD	161	4	15
H Oh FWD	132	7	36
N Sattlberger MID	122	7	14
K Nkuba DEF	106	10	18
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD	92	11	27
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF	82	3	6
A Bibout FWD	44	3	9
A. Palacios Hernández DEF	43		1
R. Mirisola FWD	26	1	10
J Erabi FWD	12		3

Freiburg Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	2	2
N Atubolu	V Grifo	C Günter	P Lienhart

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Atubolu GLK	8			-
M Ginter DEF	8		1	-
V Grifo MID	8	2	1	1 -
J. Manzambi MID	8	1		-
M Eggestein MID	8	1		1
J Beste FWD	8			-
I Matanovic FWD	8	1		-
P Treu DEF	7			1 -
C Günter DEF	7		2	1 -
D Scherhant FWD	7	1		-
C Adamu FWD	7	1		-
P Osterhage MID	6	1		-
Y Suzuki FWD	6	1	1	1 -
P Lienhart DEF	5	1		2 -
L Kübler DEF	4			2 -
L Höler FWD	4			-
A Jung DEF	3			-
J Makengo DEF	3			1 -
M Rosenfelder DEF	3			-
N Höfler MID	3			1 -
E Dinkçi FWD	3			-
C. Irié FWD	2			-
B. Ogbus DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	2	3
V Grifo	D Scherhant	C Günter	V Grifo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Grifo MID	2	4	1	3
J. Manzambi MID	1	6		2
M Eggestein MID	1	5
I Matanovic FWD	1	4
D Scherhant FWD	1	8
C Adamu FWD	1	3
P Osterhage MID	1	1
Y Suzuki FWD	1	4	1	2
P Lienhart DEF	1	1
M Ginter DEF		1	1
J Beste FWD		2
P Treu DEF				1
C Günter DEF		2	2	2
N Höfler MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
418	15	45
M Ginter	J. Manzambi	J. Manzambi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Ginter DEF	418	10	31
N Atubolu GLK	363		3
M Eggestein MID	309	15	39
P Lienhart DEF	295	8	22
J. Manzambi MID	188	15	45
V Grifo MID	184	2	12
C Günter DEF	184	7	12
P Treu DEF	166	13	30
P Osterhage MID	150	6	22
J Beste FWD	143	13	37
Y Suzuki FWD	142	9	26
C Adamu FWD	99	12	38
L Kübler DEF	89	9	15
M Rosenfelder DEF	86	2	5
D Scherhant FWD	62	3	22
A Jung DEF	62	1	5
J Makengo DEF	60	2	6
I Matanovic FWD	56	5	28
B. Ogbus DEF	50	1	5
E Dinkçi FWD	21	1	1
L Höler FWD	20	2	6
N Höfler MID	19	5	6
C. Irié FWD	13	1	3

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Panathinaikos v Real Betis

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45

Genk v Freiburg

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00

Nottm Forest v Midtjylland

KRC Genk v Sport-Club Freiburg : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Genk have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Genk v Freiburg will show here when available.

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