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Lille v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Unai Emery Etxegoien is aiming for a precious away win in the Europa League on Thursday evening, as he takes his Aston Villa side to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy to visit Lille and Bruno Génésio. Analysing both teams' last 20 Europa League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Lille and A Villa will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Bruno Génésio or Unai Emery Etxegoien has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lille 34%	15/8	15/8
Draw 25%	23/10	12/5
A Villa 41%	11/8	11/8
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
A Villa 1-0 9%	15/2	15/2
A Villa 2-1 9%	17/2	8/1
Lille 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Lille 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
A Villa 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Lille 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1
A Villa 3-1 4%	18/1	14/1
Lille 3-1 3%	22/1	18/1
A Villa 3-0 3%	22/1	18/1
A Villa 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1
Lille 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Lille 3-0 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	10/11	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	10/11	17/20
Home 1st Goal 47%	21/20	11/10
Away 1st Goal 49%	5/6	10/11
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1	17/2
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 44%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 20%	15/4	10/3
Home/draw 59%	8/15	11/20
Away/draw 66%	2/5	2/5
Home/away 75%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/7	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	5/2
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/1	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	17/2
Home DNB 51%	1/1	21/20
Away DNB 59%	8/11	7/10
Lille win to nil 17%	9/2	-
A Villa win to nil 21%	10/3	-
Lille / Lille 18%	15/4	10/3
Lille / A Villa 3%	25/1	20/1
Lille / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Lille 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / A Villa 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
A Villa / Lille 3%	28/1	22/1
A Villa / A Villa 21%	3/1	13/5
A Villa / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Lille have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 3. Lille have conceded 8 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lille have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A Villa lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lille A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	-	-	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	Mar 12	Mar 19	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	-	-
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	l 0-1A	w 0-2F	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	Mar 19	Mar 12
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	-	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	-	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	-
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	-	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

A Villa have won 5 consecutive european games

A Villa have not lost in 5 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	0 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Lille	1 - 0	Freiburg
Lille	4 - 0	D. Zagreb
Lille	3 - 4	PAOK
Lille	2 - 1	Brann
Lille	1 - 2	Dortmund
Lille	6 - 1	Feyenoord
Lille	3 - 2	Sturm Graz
Lille	1 - 1	Juventus
Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Lille	2 - 0	Slavia
Lille	2 - 1	Fenerbahce
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Lille	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
Lille	3 - 0	KI Klaksvik
Lille	2 - 1	S. Bratislava
Lille	2 - 0	Olimpija
Lille	2 - 1	Rijeka
Lille	1 - 2	Chelsea
Lille	1 - 0	Salzburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lille	1 - 0	Red Star Bel.
H	Lille	0 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Lille	1 - 0	Freiburg
A	Lille	1 - 2	Celta
A	Lille	0 - 1	Young Boys
H	Lille	4 - 0	D. Zagreb
A	Lille	0 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Lille	3 - 4	PAOK
A	Lille	1 - 0	Roma
H	Lille	2 - 1	Brann
H	Lille	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Lille	1 - 1	Dortmund
H	Lille	6 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Lille	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Lille	3 - 2	Sturm Graz
A	Lille	2 - 1	Bologna
H	Lille	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Lille	3 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
A	Lille	0 - 2	S. Lisbon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fenerbahce	0 - 1	A Villa
Basel	1 - 2	A Villa
GA Eagles	2 - 1	A Villa
Feyenoord	0 - 2	A Villa
PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 3	A Villa
Monaco	1 - 0	A Villa
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 0	A Villa
Young Boys	0 - 3	A Villa
Olympiakos	2 - 0	A Villa
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Ajax	0 - 0	A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	1 - 1	A Villa
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 4	A Villa
L. Warsaw	3 - 2	A Villa
Hibernian	0 - 5	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 1	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 0	A Villa
CSKA M	2 - 0	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A Villa	3 - 2	Salzburg
A	A Villa	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Basel
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Young Boys
H	A Villa	2 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	A Villa	1 - 2	GA Eagles
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Feyenoord
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
A	A Villa	1 - 3	PSG
H	A Villa	3 - 0	Brugge
A	A Villa	3 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Celtic
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Monaco
A	A Villa	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	A Villa	0 - 0	Juventus
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bayern
A	A Villa	3 - 0	Young Boys

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lille of late. It has been 7 Europa League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday evening against Aston Villa.

Aston Villa have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Lille on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Lille 18th	A Villa 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+22 Lille have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted	-3 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

LIL

AVL

23%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		16
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	8		9
Goals scored	22		31
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+23%

better

LIL

AVL

view stats

Games conceded	12		16
Clean sheets	8		4
Conceded first	11		10
Goals conceded	24		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lille v A Villa will show here when available.

Lille Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	4	2	3
B Özer	O Giroud	H Haraldsson	A. Bouaddi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Özer GLK	10			2 -
H Haraldsson MID	10	1	2	1 -
F Correia FWD	10	1	2	1 -
O Giroud FWD	10	4		1 -
A Mandi DEF	9			2 -
T Santos DEF	9		1	-
N Mukau MID	9	1		1 -
R Perraud DEF	8			1 -
A. Bouaddi MID	8			2 1
M Fernandez FWD	8		1	1 -
N Ngoy DEF	7	1		2 -
C Verdonk DEF	7		1	1 -
N Bentaleb MID	7			1 -
B André MID	7	2	1	1 -
T Meunier DEF	6		2	-
C Mbemba DEF	6		1	-
O Sahraoui FWD	5			-
I. Hamza FWD	5	4	1	1 -
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	2			-
M Broholm FWD	2			-
Alexsandro DEF	1			-
U Raghouber MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	2	5
O Giroud	O Giroud	H Haraldsson	H Haraldsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Giroud FWD	4	10		1
I. Hamza FWD	4	9	1	2
B André MID	2	4	1	1
H Haraldsson MID	1	2	2	5
F Correia FWD	1	3	2	1
N Mukau MID	1	3
N Ngoy DEF	1	1
A Mandi DEF		2
T Santos DEF		1	1	2
R Perraud DEF		1		1
M Fernandez FWD		4	1	3
C Verdonk DEF			1	2
N Bentaleb MID				1
T Meunier DEF			2	1
C Mbemba DEF		3	1
O Sahraoui FWD		2		1
E. Mbappé Lottin MID		2		1
M Broholm FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
565	17	51
A Mandi	B André	B André

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mandi DEF	565	10	32
B André MID	409	17	51
N Ngoy DEF	388	7	17
B Özer GLK	365		3
H Haraldsson MID	343	9	27
C Mbemba DEF	343	12	34
N Bentaleb MID	307	6	21
C Verdonk DEF	291	15	22
N Mukau MID	285	13	34
T Santos DEF	277	9	36
F Correia FWD	271	7	31
R Perraud DEF	245	13	24
A. Bouaddi MID	238	13	47
T Meunier DEF	224	6	14
O Sahraoui FWD	129	4	17
M Fernandez FWD	118	3	15
O Giroud FWD	114	2	31
M Broholm FWD	91	1	8
I. Hamza FWD	88	9	26
Alexsandro DEF	51
U Raghouber MID	46	1	2
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	26		1

A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	2
E Buendía	D Malen	E Buendía	V Lindelöf

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Buendía MID	8	1	2	1 -
M Rogers MID	8	1	2	1 -
O Watkins FWD	8			-
V Lindelöf DEF	7			2 -
L Bogarde MID	7			1 -
E Guessand FWD	7	2		1 -
J Sancho FWD	7	1		-
E Konsa DEF	6			1 -
I Maatsen DEF	6	1		1 -
M Cash DEF	6		1	2 -
A Onana MID	6			1 -
B Kamara MID	6		1	-
D Malen FWD	6	3		-
P Torres DEF	5			-
L Digne DEF	5			1 -
J McGinn MID	5	2		2 -
E Martínez GLK	4			-
M Bizot GLK	4			1 -
Y Tielemans MID	4	1	1	1 -
T Mings DEF	3	1		-
H Elliot MID	2			-
A García DEF	1			-
R Barkley MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	2	3
D Malen	D Malen	E Buendía	M Rogers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Malen FWD	3	8
E Guessand FWD	2	5		1
J McGinn MID	2	2
E Buendía MID	1	3	2	1
M Rogers MID	1	4	2	3
J Sancho FWD	1	6		1
I Maatsen DEF	1	2		2
Y Tielemans MID	1	2	1
T Mings DEF	1	2		1
O Watkins FWD		7		1
M Cash DEF		2	1	1
A Onana MID		2		1
B Kamara MID			1	1
H Elliot MID		1
R Barkley MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
375	14	32
V Lindelöf	I Maatsen	M Rogers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Lindelöf DEF	375	3	9
E Konsa DEF	340	3	20
L Bogarde MID	328	11	32
P Torres DEF	292	3	10
A Onana MID	260	13	26
J Sancho FWD	226	6	18
E Buendía MID	196	11	25
M Rogers MID	193	1	32
I Maatsen DEF	191	14	27
B Kamara MID	186	7	27
M Cash DEF	167	6	15
T Mings DEF	165	3	13
E Martínez GLK	165	1	2
L Digne DEF	161	4	10
M Bizot GLK	148		2
Y Tielemans MID	127	4	9
E Guessand FWD	119	11	23
J McGinn MID	98	1	7
O Watkins FWD	68	2	18
H Elliot MID	63	2	4
D Malen FWD	54	3	14
R Barkley MID	21	1	2
A García DEF	5	1	4

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Panathinaikos v Real Betis

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45

Genk v Freiburg

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00

Nottm Forest v Midtjylland

Lille v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Lille have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

A Villa lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lille v A Villa will show here when available.

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