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Nottingham Forest v FC Porto : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Apr, 20:00 BST, The City Ground, Nottingham

The City Ground masses welcome FC Porto's travelling contingent on Thursday night, as Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira's Nottingham Forest clash with Francesco Farioli's charges in the Europa League. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Europa League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nottm Forest
37%
--
Draw
26%
--
Porto
36%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Nottm Forest 1-0
10%
--
Porto 1-0
9%
--
Nottm Forest 2-1
8%
--
Porto 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Nottm Forest 2-0
6%
--
Porto 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Nottm Forest 3-1
4%
--
Porto 3-1
4%
--
Nottm Forest 3-0
3%
--
Porto 3-0
3%
--
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Nottm Forest win to nil
20%
--
Porto win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Nottm Forest
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon87011321 
-
-
-
-
2
A Villa8701821 
-
-
-
-
3
Midtjylland86111019 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
4
Real Betis8521617 
-
d
 
2-2A
-
-
5
Porto8521617 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 9
-
-
6
Braga8521617 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
7
Freiburg8521617 
-
-
-
-
8
Roma8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Genk8512416 
-
-
-
-
10
Bologna8431715 
-
-
-
-
11
Stuttgart8503615 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Ferencvaros8431115 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
13
Nottm Forest8422814 
-
-
Apr 9
l
 
2-0A
14
Plzen8350514 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
15
Red Star Bel.8422114 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
-
16
Celta8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
PAOK8332312 
-
-
-
-
18
Lille8404312 
-
-
-
-
19
Fenerbahce8332312 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
20
Panathinaikos8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8323-211 
-
-
-
-
22
Ludogorets8314-310 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb8314-410 
-
-
-
-
24
Brann8233-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Young Boys8305-69 
-
-
-
-
26
Sturm Graz8215-67 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
27
FCSB8215-77 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles8215-87 
-
-
-
-
29
Feyenoord8206-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Basel8206-46 
-
-
-
-
31
Salzburg8206-56 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
32
Rangers8116-94 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
-
33
Nice8107-83 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
34
Utrecht8017-101 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
d
 
1-1A
35
Malmö8017-111 
w
 
3-0F
-
w
 
2-1F
-
36
M. Tel-Aviv8017-201 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Nottm Forest 13TH
6 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
Conceded
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Failed to score
1 / 6
Won
3
Lost
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 1Midtjylland
Nottm Forest1 - 2Fenerbahce
Nottm Forest4 - 0Ferencvaros
Nottm Forest3 - 0Malmö
Nottm Forest2 - 0Porto
Nottm Forest2 - 3Midtjylland
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
Conceded
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
Failed to score
3 / 12
Won
6
D
2
Lost
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest2 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest0 - 1Midtjylland
HNottm Forest1 - 2Fenerbahce
ANottm Forest3 - 0Fenerbahce
HNottm Forest4 - 0Ferencvaros
ANottm Forest0 - 1Braga
ANottm Forest2 - 1Utrecht
HNottm Forest3 - 0Malmö
ANottm Forest0 - 0Sturm Graz
HNottm Forest2 - 0Porto
HNottm Forest2 - 3Midtjylland
ANottm Forest2 - 2Real Betis
Porto 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart1 - 2Porto
Plzen1 - 1Porto
Utrecht1 - 1Porto
Nottm Forest2 - 0Porto
Salzburg0 - 1Porto
Roma3 - 2Porto
M. Tel-Aviv0 - 1Porto
Anderlecht2 - 2Porto
Lazio2 - 1Porto
Bodø3 - 2Porto
Arsenal1 - 0Porto
Barcelona2 - 1Porto
Antwerp1 - 4Porto
Shakhtar1 - 3Porto
Inter1 - 0Porto
Brugge0 - 4Porto
Leverkusen0 - 3Porto
A.Madrid2 - 1Porto
Lyon1 - 1Porto
Lazio2 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 0Stuttgart
APorto2 - 1Stuttgart
HPorto3 - 1Rangers
APorto1 - 1Plzen
HPorto2 - 1Malmö
HPorto3 - 0Nice
APorto1 - 1Utrecht
APorto0 - 2Nottm Forest
HPorto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
APorto1 - 0Salzburg
APorto2 - 3Roma
HPorto1 - 1Roma
APorto1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPorto0 - 1Olympiakos
HPorto2 - 0Midtjylland
APorto2 - 2Anderlecht
APorto1 - 2Lazio
HPorto2 - 0Hoffenheim
HPorto3 - 3Man Utd
APorto2 - 3Bodø
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Europa League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Nottingham Forest makes sense in this context.

Nottm Forest 13th Porto 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games
=0
Nottm Forest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Porto have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Nottm Forest
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
NFO
PTO
42%
better
view stats
Games scored13
20
Failed to score7
0
Scored first6
16
Goals scored26
39
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
NFO
PTO
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first11
4
Goals conceded23
12
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+36%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Nottm Forest v Porto will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10734
MoratoI JesusM Gibbs-WhiteE Anderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Sangaré MID121
1
-
N Milenković DEF1111
-
N Williams DEF11
1
-
M Gibbs-White MID1123
2
-
Murillo DEF101
2
-
Morato DEF10
2
-
E Anderson MID101
3
1
D Ndoye FWD1011
1
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD101
-
R Yates MID922
2
-
N Domínguez MID91
1
-
I Jesus FWD971
4
-
J McAtee MID811
-
M Sels GLK6
-
O Aina  DEF61
-
Z Abbott DEF5
1
-
D Bakwa FWD5
-
N. Savona DEF4
-
O Hutchinson MID4
-
L Lucca FWD4
1
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
John GLK3
-
J Paula DEF2
-
W Boly DEF1
-
C Wood FWD11
-
Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10332
D CostaR. Mora CarvalhoPepêJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK10
-
J Bednarek DEF10
2
-
V. Froholdt MID1011
1
-
P Rosario MID10
2
-
Pepê FWD103
1
-
B Sainz FWD1013
1
-
A Baio DEF9
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID931
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD93
2
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF81
1
-
G Veiga MID82
1
-
D Gül FWD811
-
J Kiwior DEF71
1
-
A Varela MID7
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD73
-
F Moura DEF61
1
-
Zaidu  DEF61
2
-
D. Prpić DEF2
2
-
T Silva DEF2
1
-
S Fofana MID2
-
T Moffi FWD21
-
L Jong FWD1
-