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VfB Stuttgart v FC Porto : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Sebastian Hoeneß and Francesco Farioli clash in the Europa League on Thursday evening, as VfB Stuttgart face FC Porto at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Stuttgart and Porto will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookies have it available at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stuttgart 47%	11/10	23/20
Draw 24%	23/10	5/2
Porto 30%	12/5	9/4
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2
Stuttgart 2-1 9%	8/1	15/2
Stuttgart 1-0 9%	8/1	15/2
Stuttgart 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Porto 2-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Porto 1-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1
Stuttgart 3-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	10/1
Porto 2-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Stuttgart 3-0 4%	18/1	16/1
Stuttgart 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Porto 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Porto 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Stuttgart 4-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	4/5	3/4
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	1/1	1/1
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	3/4
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5	5/4
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13	13/20
BTTS - No 41%	6/5	23/20
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3/1	14/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 16%	5/1	9/2
Home/draw 70%	3/10	1/3
Away/draw 53%	7/10	7/10
Home/away 76%	1/3	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1/4	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	3/1	14/5
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	2/1	9/5
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	2/5	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	9/2	4/1
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/7	1/7
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1	9/1
Home DNB 63%	1/2	8/15
Away DNB 46%	6/4	13/10
Stuttgart win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Porto win to nil 13%	11/2	-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart 25%	12/5	11/5
Stuttgart / Porto 3%	28/1	22/1
Stuttgart / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Stuttgart 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Porto 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	17/4
Porto / Stuttgart 4%	22/1	18/1
Porto / Porto 15%	9/2	4/1
Porto / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Stuttgart have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league. Stuttgart have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Stuttgart have conceded 2 goals, scored none, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stuttgart have played 5 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Porto lay in 5th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stuttgart Porto
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	-	-	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	-	-	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	Mar 12	Mar 19	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	-	-
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	Mar 19	Mar 12
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	-	-
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	l 0-1A	w 1-4F	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	-	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	-
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	-	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Porto have not lost in 5 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Celtic
Stuttgart	3 - 2	Young Boys
Stuttgart	4 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
Stuttgart	2 - 0	Feyenoord
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Celta
Stuttgart	1 - 4	PSG
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Young Boys
Stuttgart	0 - 2	Atalanta
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Sparta
Stuttgart	0 - 2	Lazio
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Genk
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Molde
Stuttgart	0 - 0	Kobenhavn
Stuttgart	2 - 2	Steaua
Stuttgart	0 - 2	Benfica
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Odense Boldklub
Stuttgart	1 - 0	Getafe
Stuttgart	3 - 0	Young Boys
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Barcelona
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Unirea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stuttgart	0 - 1	Celtic
A	Stuttgart	4 - 1	Celtic
H	Stuttgart	3 - 2	Young Boys
A	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Roma
H	Stuttgart	4 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Stuttgart	4 - 0	GA Eagles
H	Stuttgart	2 - 0	Feyenoord
A	Stuttgart	0 - 1	Fenerbahce
A	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Basel
H	Stuttgart	2 - 1	Celta
H	Stuttgart	1 - 4	PSG
A	Stuttgart	3 - 1	S. Bratislava
H	Stuttgart	5 - 1	Young Boys
A	Stuttgart	1 - 5	Red Star Bel.
H	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Atalanta
A	Stuttgart	1 - 0	Juventus
H	Stuttgart	1 - 1	Sparta
A	Stuttgart	1 - 3	Real Madrid
A	Stuttgart	1 - 3	Lazio
H	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Lazio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plzen	1 - 1	Porto
Utrecht	1 - 1	Porto
Nottm Forest	2 - 0	Porto
Salzburg	0 - 1	Porto
Roma	3 - 2	Porto
M. Tel-Aviv	0 - 1	Porto
Anderlecht	2 - 2	Porto
Lazio	2 - 1	Porto
Bodø	3 - 2	Porto
Arsenal	1 - 0	Porto
Barcelona	2 - 1	Porto
Antwerp	1 - 4	Porto
Shakhtar	1 - 3	Porto
Inter	1 - 0	Porto
Brugge	0 - 4	Porto
Leverkusen	0 - 3	Porto
A.Madrid	2 - 1	Porto
Lyon	1 - 1	Porto
Lazio	2 - 2	Porto
Liverpool	2 - 0	Porto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Porto	3 - 1	Rangers
A	Porto	1 - 1	Plzen
H	Porto	2 - 1	Malmö
H	Porto	3 - 0	Nice
A	Porto	1 - 1	Utrecht
A	Porto	0 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Porto	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Porto	1 - 0	Salzburg
A	Porto	2 - 3	Roma
H	Porto	1 - 1	Roma
A	Porto	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Porto	0 - 1	Olympiakos
H	Porto	2 - 0	Midtjylland
A	Porto	2 - 2	Anderlecht
A	Porto	1 - 2	Lazio
H	Porto	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
H	Porto	3 - 3	Man Utd
A	Porto	2 - 3	Bodø
A	Porto	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Porto	1 - 0	Arsenal

Goal Statistics

VfB Stuttgart have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against FC Porto on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Stuttgart 11th	Porto 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Stuttgart will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Stuttgart’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

VFB

PTO

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		20
Failed to score	4		0
Scored first	13		16
Goals scored	44		36
Avg. goals scored	2.2		1.8
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		17
Avg. XG for	2.3		1.9
KickOff rating		+12%

VFB

PTO

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		9
Clean sheets	7		11
Conceded first	6		4
Goals conceded	24		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		12
Conversion rate against	14%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.6		0.6
KickOff rating		+37%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Stuttgart v Porto will show here when available.

Stuttgart Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	5	6	5
A Nübel	B Khannouss	D Undav	J Chabot

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Hendriks DEF	10			-
C Führich MID	10		1	-
J Leweling FWD	10	3	1	-
A Nübel GLK	9		1	-
F. Jeltsch DEF	9			-
M Mittelstädt DEF	9	1	1	2 -
A Stiller MID	9		3	2 -
B Khannouss MID	9	5		3 -
B Bouanani FWD	9	2	1	1 -
J Vagnoman DEF	8	1		-
L Assignon DEF	8	1	3	1 -
A Karazor MID	8			1 -
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	8	1		1 -
D Undav FWD	8	2	6	2 -
T Tomás FWD	7	2		-
L Jaquez DEF	6			-
J Chabot DEF	6			5 -
E Demirovic FWD	6	1		1 -
N Nartey MID	3		1	-
L. Jovanović FWD	3			1 -
F Bredlow GLK	1			-
D Zagadou DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	6	6
B Khannouss	D Undav	D Undav	D Undav

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Khannouss MID	5	9		1
J Leweling FWD	3	8	1	1
B Bouanani FWD	2	7	1
D Undav FWD	2	10	6	6
T Tomás FWD	2	5		1
M Mittelstädt DEF	1	2	1	3
J Vagnoman DEF	1	1		3
L Assignon DEF	1	4	3	4
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	1	6		2
E Demirovic FWD	1	4
R Hendriks DEF		2
C Führich MID		3	1	3
A Nübel GLK			1	1
F. Jeltsch DEF		1		1
A Stiller MID			3	1
J Chabot DEF		2		1
N Nartey MID			1	1
L. Jovanović FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
579	24	49
A Stiller	M Mittelstädt	M Mittelstädt

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Stiller MID	579	10	34
F. Jeltsch DEF	468	6	25
M Mittelstädt DEF	420	24	49
R Hendriks DEF	411	12	29
A Nübel GLK	348		3
A Karazor MID	323	6	28
J Chabot DEF	310	10	41
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	271	12	31
B Khannouss MID	258	9	21
L Assignon DEF	258	7	27
L Jaquez DEF	249	1	16
C Führich MID	242	4	11
D Undav FWD	183	2	18
B Bouanani FWD	180	2	13
J Leweling FWD	179	7	34
T Tomás FWD	111	8	32
J Vagnoman DEF	105	1	8
E Demirovic FWD	81	3	19
N Nartey MID	30	1	6
L. Jovanović FWD	26	2	9
F Bredlow GLK	25
D Zagadou DEF	14		1

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	3	2
D Costa	S. Omorodion Aghehowa	Pepê	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Costa GLK	8			-
J Bednarek DEF	8			2 -
V. Froholdt MID	8		1	1 -
P Rosario MID	8			1 -
Pepê FWD	8		3	1 -
B Sainz FWD	8	1	1	1 -
A Baio DEF	7			2 -
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	7		1	1 -
R. Mora Carvalho MID	7	2	1	1 -
G Veiga MID	7	2		1 -
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	7	2		1 -
D Gül FWD	7	1	1	-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	7	3		-
F Moura DEF	6	1		1 -
J Kiwior DEF	6		1	1 -
A Varela MID	5			-
Zaidu DEF	4			-
D. Prpić DEF	2			2 -
L Jong FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	3	3
S. Omorodion Aghehowa	D Gül	Pepê	Pepê

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	3	6
R. Mora Carvalho MID	2	4	1	2
G Veiga MID	2	6
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	2	4		1
B Sainz FWD	1	5	1	1
D Gül FWD	1	7	1	1
F Moura DEF	1	1		2
V. Froholdt MID		2	1	1
P Rosario MID				1
Pepê FWD		2	3	3
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF		1	1
J Kiwior DEF		2	1
A Varela MID		1
D. Prpić DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
531	18	33
J Bednarek	M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes	J Bednarek

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bednarek DEF	531	3	33
J Kiwior DEF	472	6	25
P Rosario MID	382	12	32
D Costa GLK	258		1
F Moura DEF	198	6	15
Pepê FWD	188	8	24
A Varela MID	182	8	19
A Baio DEF	180	15	30
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	167	18	31
V. Froholdt MID	161	8	23
D. Prpić DEF	160	4	11
G Veiga MID	158	9	22
B Sainz FWD	140	9	20
Zaidu DEF	136	5	10
R. Mora Carvalho MID	104	8	18
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	86	4	32
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	85	4	13
D Gül FWD	59	1	11
L Jong FWD	5		2

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Panathinaikos v Real Betis

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45

Genk v Freiburg

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00

Nottm Forest v Midtjylland

VfB Stuttgart v FC Porto : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stuttgart have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league. Stuttgart have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Porto lay in 5th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Stuttgart v Porto will show here when available.

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