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England v Argentina : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 15th Jul, 20:00 BST, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

England and Argentina meet at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Wednesday night, with both Thomas Tuchel and Lionel Sebastián Scaloni seeking a win in the World Cup. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top World Cup Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. England and Argentina have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
England
39%
2.55-
Draw
28%
3.00-
Argentina
34%
3.00-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00-
England 1-0
11%
7.50-
Argentina 1-0
10%
8.50-
Draw 0-0
9%
7.50-
England 2-1
8%
11.00-
Argentina 2-1
7%
12.00-
England 2-0
7%
12.00-
Argentina 2-0
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
England 3-1
3%
23.00-
England 3-0
3%
26.00-
Argentina 3-1
3%
29.00-
Argentina 3-0
2%
34.00-
England 3-2
2%
41.00-
Argentina 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.30-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.62-
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.95-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.10-
No 1st Goal
6%
7.50-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.95-
BTTS - No
51%
1.80-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.50-
Home/draw
66%
1.36-
Away/draw
61%
1.50-
Home/away
72%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.40-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.33-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.22-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.07-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.08-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7.50-
Home DNB
58%
1.73-
Away DNB
53%
2.00-
England win to nil
23%
4.00-
Argentina win to nil
19%
4.50-
England / England
19%
4.33-
England / Argentina
2%
34.00-
England / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / England
14%
6.00-
Draw / Argentina
13%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
19%
4.50-
Argentina / England
3%
29.00-
Argentina / Argentina
18%
4.75-
Argentina / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win form
England
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Argentina
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goal Statistics

Argentina's defensive record is to be admired, L. Scaloni's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive World Cup games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for England makes sense in this context.

England Argentina
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that England will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Argentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
England
PG (predicted goals)
Argentina
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
ENG
ARG
12%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score2
1
Scored first16
17
Goals scored43
44
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.2
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for2.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
5%
better
ENG
ARG
view stats
Games conceded7
9
Clean sheets13
11
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded11
11
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded5
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against0.6
0.6
KickOff rating
+5%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between England v Argentina will show here when available.

England World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6632
J PickfordJ BellinghamB SakaD Rice
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pickford GLK6
-
M Guéhi DEF6
1
-
E Konsa DEF6
-
N. O'Reilly DEF6
1
-
D Spence DEF6
-
E Anderson MID61
-
J Bellingham MID661
1
-
B Saka FWD63
-
H Kane FWD661
-
D Rice MID51
2
-
M Rogers MID5
-
N Madueke FWD5
-
A Gordon FWD53
-
J Stones DEF4
-
E Eze MID4
-
M Rashford FWD41
-
R James  DEF3
-
J Quansah DEF2
1
1
D Burn DEF2
-
J Henderson MID1
1
-
O Watkins FWD1
-
Argentina World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5811
E MartínezL MessiA Mac AllisterF Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK5
-
A Mac Allister MID51
-
J Álvarez FWD5
-
L Martínez FWD511
-
L Messi FWD581
-
F Medina DEF41
1
-
L Martínez  DEF411
-
N Tagliafico DEF4
-
N Otamendi DEF4
-
C Romero DEF41
-
N Molina DEF4
-
R Paul MID41
-
E Fernández MID41
-
L Paredes MID4
1
-
T Almada FWD4
-
N González FWD41
-
G Montiel DEF31
1
-
N Paz MID2
-
M Senesi DEF1
-
G Celso MID11
-
V Barco MID1
-
E Palacios MID1
-
J López FWD1
-
G Simeone FWD1
-
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