Cincinnati's team badge Toronto FC's team badge

Cincinnati v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 23:00 BST, TQL Stadium, Ohio

Toronto FC pay Major League Soccer rivals Cincinnati a visit on Sunday night, as Robin Fraser leads his men into an away clash with Pat Noonan & co. at the TQL Stadium. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Major League Soccer match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cincinnati or Toronto are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cincinnati are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.76.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cincinnati
53%
19/253/4
Draw
23%
11/45/2
Toronto
24%
31/1014/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Cincinnati 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Cincinnati 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Cincinnati 2-0
9%
17/28/1
Toronto 2-1
6%
12/111/1
Cincinnati 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Toronto 1-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Cincinnati 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
Cincinnati 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Toronto 2-0
3%
22/118/1
Cincinnati 4-1
3%
25/120/1
Cincinnati 4-0
2%
28/122/1
Toronto 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/117/10
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
43/4021/20
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/133/5
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/58/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
43%
11/1021/20
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/212/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/26/1
Home/draw
76%
2/92/9
Away/draw
47%
19/2019/20
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/129/10
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/72/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
69%
1/37/20
Away DNB
40%
9/42/1
Cincinnati win to nil
27%
12/5-
Toronto win to nil
11%
7/1-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
30%
7/417/10
Cincinnati / Toronto
3%
33/128/1
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Cincinnati
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Toronto
9%
8/18/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Toronto / Cincinnati
4%
20/118/1
Toronto / Toronto
12%
6/111/2
Toronto / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Cincinnati 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
Cincinnati0 - 4Miami
Cincinnati2 - 1Columbus
Cincinnati1 - 0Columbus
Cincinnati3 - 0Montreal
Cincinnati1 - 1Orlando
Cincinnati2 - 1Nashville
Cincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
Cincinnati0 - 1NY City
Cincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
Cincinnati3 - 0Miami
Cincinnati2 - 4Columbus
Cincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Cincinnati1 - 2DC United
Cincinnati3 - 3Dallas
Cincinnati2 - 1Austin
Cincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
Cincinnati1 - 0New England
Cincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
Cincinnati2 - 0Toronto
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati0 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
HCincinnati0 - 4Miami
HCincinnati2 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati0 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati1 - 0Columbus
HCincinnati3 - 0Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati1 - 1Orlando
ACincinnati3 - 2LA Galaxy
HCincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati0 - 1NY City
ACincinnati3 - 2Portland
HCincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
ACincinnati0 - 0Miami
ACincinnati1 - 0Salt Lake
HCincinnati3 - 0Miami
HCincinnati2 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Toronto 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vancouver3 - 0Toronto
Dallas3 - 2Toronto
LAFC2 - 0Toronto
Chicago2 - 2Toronto
Columbus1 - 1Toronto
New England1 - 1Toronto
Atlanta0 - 0Toronto
Philadelphia1 - 1Toronto
Charlotte2 - 0Toronto
Nashville1 - 0Toronto
San Diego0 - 1Toronto
NY City3 - 1Toronto
Montreal1 - 6Toronto
Salt Lake0 - 1Toronto
Miami1 - 1Toronto
NY Red Bulls2 - 1Toronto
Cincinnati2 - 0Toronto
Orlando4 - 2Toronto
DC United2 - 2Toronto
Chicago1 - 1Toronto
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
HToronto4 - 2Orlando
AToronto0 - 2LAFC
AToronto2 - 2Chicago
HToronto1 - 1Miami
AToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1New England
HToronto1 - 1Montreal
AToronto0 - 0Atlanta
HToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1Philadelphia
AToronto0 - 2Charlotte
AToronto0 - 1Nashville
AToronto1 - 0San Diego
HToronto1 - 1Atlanta
AToronto1 - 3NY City
HToronto3 - 0Portland
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
HToronto0 - 2Charlotte
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cincinnati have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Cincinnati have not lost to Toronto in 8 consecutive league meetings
5
Cincinnati have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive home league meetings with Toronto
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
Toronto
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
CIN
4
D
1
TOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati3 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 5Toronto
League games at Toronto since 2019
Toronto
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
CIN
4
TOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
0 - 1Cincinnati
3 - 4Cincinnati
2 - 3Cincinnati
1 - 2Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Cincinnati's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Toronto FC have conceded in each of their last 8 Major League Soccer matches. A PG of 1.8 for P. Noonan's side suggests that run should continue.

Cincinnati 5th Toronto 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Cincinnati have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Toronto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Cincinnati
PG (predicted goals)
Toronto
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
CIN
TOR
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for2.3
0.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
64%
better
CIN
TOR
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded1
6
Avg. goals conceded0.5
3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
3
Conversion rate against6%
38%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+64%

Cincinnati v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE