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Dallas v SJ Earthquakes : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Jun, 01:30 BST, Toyota Stadium, St. Louis

Home advantage makes a difference in the Major League Soccer, and Eric Orie’s Dallas will have the blessing of it on Thursday morning. Bruce Arena’s SJ Earthquakes are their opponents at the Toyota Stadium. All of the important stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Dallas and San Jose have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of San Jose coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dallas
34%
2.30-
Draw
27%
3.60-
San Jose
38%
2.88-
Draw 1-1
13%
7.00-
San Jose 1-0
11%
12.00-
Dallas 1-0
10%
11.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
15.00-
San Jose 2-1
8%
11.00-
Dallas 2-1
8%
9.50-
San Jose 2-0
7%
17.00-
Dallas 2-0
6%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
12.00-
San Jose 3-1
3%
21.00-
Dallas 3-1
3%
17.00-
San Jose 3-0
3%
29.00-
Dallas 3-0
2%
23.00-
San Jose 3-2
2%
26.00-
Dallas 3-2
2%
21.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1.65-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
2.20-
Home 1st Goal
46%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.10-
No 1st Goal
5%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.53-
BTTS - No
50%
2.38-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.00-
Home/draw
62%
1.40-
Away/draw
66%
1.57-
Home/away
73%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.18-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
2.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.50-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.18-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.06-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15.00-
Home DNB
53%
1.67-
Away DNB
57%
2.10-
Dallas win to nil
19%
4.50-
San Jose win to nil
22%
6.00-
Dallas / Dallas
23%
3.60-
Dallas / San Jose
3%
26.00-
Dallas / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Dallas
14%
6.00-
Draw / San Jose
12%
7.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
San Jose / Dallas
4%
23.00-
San Jose / San Jose
18%
4.50-
San Jose / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win form
Dallas
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
San Jose
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Dallas have not lost to San Jose in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Dallas since 2018
Dallas
San Jose
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
DAL
2
D
3
SJE
1
League games at San Jose since 2018
San Jose
Dallas
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
7 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
0 / 7
D
4
SJE
3
Goal Statistics
Dallas San Jose
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Dallas will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that San Jose will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Dallas’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
San Jose have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291016/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dallas
PG (predicted goals)
San Jose
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
DAL
SJE
40%
better
view stats
Games scored9
15
Failed to score7
2
Scored first3
7
Goals scored18
34
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
DAL
SJE
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first11
9
Goals conceded26
28
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%

Dallas v San Jose Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Dallas Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15436
S IbeaghaA JulioP MusaRamiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ibeagha DEF161
3
-
O Urhoghide  DEF151
4
-
S Moore DEF1511
1
-
L Acosta MID153
5
-
Ramiro MID15
6
-
L. Farrington FWD1511
1
-
M Paes GLK14
-
A Julio FWD1341
1
-
P Musa FWD1343
3
-
L Abubakar DEF12
2
1
P Delgado MID121
-
T Ntsabeleng MID121
-
Pedrinho FWD1223
1
-
B Kamungo FWD12
1
-
K. da Silva Ferreira MID11
5
-
M Farfán DEF9
1
-
N Norris DEF7
2
-
S Lletget MID71
1
-
Show MID6
2
-
L Chú FWD41
-
M. Collodi GLK2
-
P Pomykal MID2
-
T Scott FWD2
-
San Jose Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16964
D RomneyC ArangoC EspinozaV Costa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B. Leroux MID1723
2
-
M Kaye MID171
2
-
O Bouda FWD1731
3
-
D Romney DEF16
3
-
C Espinoza FWD1646
2
-
I Harkes MID1512
2
-
J Martínez FWD1472
-
Daniel GLK13
1
-
V Costa DEF1312
4
-
P Judd FWD1321
1
-
C Arango FWD1391
1
-
Rodrigues DEF1211
2
-
A Pellegrino FWD1211
-
D Munie DEF1011
1
-
N Lima DEF9
1
-
J. Ricketts DEF811
-
B Wilson DEF8
1
-
M. Floriani DEF8
2
-
E Jr. GLK6
1
-
D Jones DEF613
-
R. Roberts DEF6
1
-
N Tsakiris MID61
-
H López MID5
1
1
N Buck MID2
-
N. Fernandez MID2
-
P Marie DEF1
-
J Skahan MID1
-
B Kikanovic FWD1
1
-