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Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Soldier Field, Chicago

Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union take on one another at the Soldier Field on Thursday morning, with both Gregg Berhalter and Bradley Carnell aiming for victory in the Major League Soccer. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Chicago Fire's next match is v New England at 00:30 on Sunday 18th October
Philadelphia Union's next match is v Charlotte at 19:30 on Saturday 17th October

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Chicago and Philadelphia was on Thursday 15th October 2026

American Major League Soccer

October 15th 2026

Chicago 1	3 Philadelphia

M. Haile-Selassie 44'	49' M. Iloski
	55' B. Damiani
	67' B. Damiani

	CHI PHI
Shots On	4 8
Shots Off	2 6
Corners	2 7
Possession	49% 51%
Fouls	12 15
Yellow/red cards	3/1 2/0

Chicago	Philadelphia

C. Brady J. Elliott M. Mbokazi M. Pineda A. Salétros (S. Oregel Jr. 72') M. Haile-Selassie J. Gomez (P. Dithejane 68') R. Lewandowski (P. Zinckernagel 68') J. Bamba (A. Hanche-Olsen 46') R. Dean (L. Caetano Barroso 68') N. Allen	(B. Bender 80') C. Sullivan (I. Vassilev 57') J. Bueno Añez (E. Alladoh 80') B. Damiani (M. Jakupovic 90') M. Iloski A. Blake N. Harriel K. Wagner F. Westfield N. Pierre J. Lukić (J. Sery 90') Q. Sullivan

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Major League Soccer tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chicago 43%	7/5 6%	-
Draw 20%	31/10 5%	-
Philadelphia 37%	6/4 11%	-
Chicago 2-1 7%	9/1 9%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	-
Draw 1-1 7%	15/2	-
Philadelphia 2-1 7%	10/1 10%	-
Chicago 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Chicago 3-2 5%	18/1	-
Philadelphia 3-2 5%	18/1 12%	-
Philadelphia 3-1 5%	16/1 13%	-
Chicago 2-0 4%	16/1 11%	-
Chicago 1-0 4%	14/1 12%	-
Draw 3-3 3%	25/1	-
Philadelphia 1-0 3%	16/1 13%	-
Philadelphia 2-0 3%	18/1 12%	-
Chicago 4-1 3%	33/1	-
Chicago 4-2 3%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 77%	2/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 23%	15/8	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	10/11 6%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	22/1	-
BTTS - Yes 76%	4/11	-
BTTS - No 24%	2/1	-
BTTS - Home Win 30%	13/5 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 27%	11/4 10%	-
Home/draw 63%	1/2 4%	-
Away/draw 57%	8/15 2%	-
Home/away 80%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	1/10 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 9%	6/1 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 58%	10/11	-
Under 3.5 Goals 42%	4/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 39%	9/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 61%	1/3	-
Over 5.5 Goals 23%	9/2	-
Under 5.5 Goals 77%	1/7	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/66 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	20/1 9%	-
Home DNB 57%	5/6 9%	-
Away DNB 51%	5/6 6%	-
Chicago win to nil 12%	5/1 14%	-
Philadelphia win to nil 10%	11/2 8%	-
Chicago / Chicago 22%	11/4 6%	-
Chicago / Philadelphia 4%	20/1	-
Chicago / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Chicago 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Philadelphia 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1 7%	-
Philadelphia / Chicago 4%	20/1	-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 21%	3/1 11%	-
Philadelphia / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago	2 - 1	NY City
Chicago	3 - 1	Vancouver
Chicago	1 - 2	New England
Chicago	1 - 1	Miami
Chicago	2 - 1	Portland
Chicago	2 - 1	Charlotte
Chicago	2 - 1	Toronto
Chicago	1 - 3	NY Red Bulls
Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Chicago	5 - 0	Sporting KC
Chicago	1 - 0	Atlanta
Chicago	1 - 0	Nashville
Chicago	1 - 2	DC United
Chicago	3 - 0	Montreal
Chicago	0 - 3	Philadelphia
Chicago	3 - 1	Orlando
Chicago	2 - 2	Toronto
Chicago	2 - 0	Columbus
Chicago	1 - 3	NY City
Chicago	3 - 2	New England

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chicago	2 - 1	NY City
H	Chicago	3 - 1	Vancouver
A	Chicago	1 - 0	Charlotte
A	Chicago	0 - 3	Nashville
H	Chicago	1 - 2	New England
H	Chicago	1 - 1	Miami
A	Chicago	4 - 4	Toronto
A	Chicago	2 - 2	Seattle
A	Chicago	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Chicago	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Portland
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Charlotte
A	Chicago	1 - 3	NY City
A	Chicago	2 - 3	Miami
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Toronto
A	Chicago	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Chicago	3 - 1	DC United
H	Chicago	1 - 3	NY Red Bulls
H	Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Chicago	5 - 0	Sporting KC

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sporting KC	3 - 4	Philadelphia
San Diego	0 - 5	Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls	1 - 3	Philadelphia
Austin	1 - 1	Philadelphia
NY City	2 - 3	Philadelphia
Miami	6 - 4	Philadelphia
Orlando	4 - 3	Philadelphia
New England	2 - 1	Philadelphia
Columbus	2 - 0	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 1	Philadelphia
Atlanta	3 - 1	Philadelphia
DC United	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Chicago	0 - 3	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 0	Philadelphia
DC United	0 - 6	Philadelphia
Vancouver	7 - 0	Philadelphia
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls	1 - 0	Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Philadelphia	2 - 1	Salt Lake
H	Philadelphia	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	4 - 3	Sporting KC
A	Philadelphia	5 - 0	San Diego
H	Philadelphia	5 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Austin
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
A	Philadelphia	3 - 2	NY City
H	Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
H	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	4 - 6	Miami
H	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 4	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	New England
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 3	Toronto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Chicago

Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

3 / 9

CHI

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chicago
	0 - 3	Philadelphia
	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Chicago	4 - 3
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Chicago	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Philadelphia
Chicago	2 - 0
	3 - 4	Philadelphia

Philadelphia

Chicago

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

0 / 10

CHI

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
	1 - 2	Chicago
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Philadelphia	4 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Philadelphia	1 - 0
Philadelphia	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Philadelphia	2 - 1
Philadelphia	2 - 0
Philadelphia	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Chicago Fire in their meeting with Philadelphia Union, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Major League Soccer games.

	Chicago 4th	Philadelphia 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 63% probability that Chicago will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Chicago’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+42 Philadelphia have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

13%

better

CHI

PHI

view stats

Games scored	26		23
Failed to score	2		5
Scored first	18		14
Goals scored	51		56
Avg. goals scored	1.8		2
Avg. shots per game	10		13
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	18		16
Avg. XG for	1.9		2
KickOff rating		+13%

14%

better

CHI

PHI

view stats

Games conceded	21		22
Clean sheets	7		6
Conceded first	9		12
Goals conceded	40		45
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		4
Conversion rate against	16%		23%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+14%

Chicago v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	10	9	5
P Zinckernagel	M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	J Elliott

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Brady GLK	26			1 -
J Dean DEF	24			3 1
J Elliott DEF	26		2	5 -
M. Mbokazi DEF	15			3 -
N Allen DEF	5			1 -
A Salétros MID	23	1	1	5 -
M Pineda MID	20			1 -
M Haile-Selassie MID	28	10	6	1 -
J Gómez FWD	6	1		-
R Lewandowski FWD	13	6	3	1 -
J Bamba FWD	21	3	2	2 -
Subs
J Gal GLK				-
J Cohen GLK	2			-
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	16		2	2 -
A Gutman DEF	21	1	4	3 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1			-
S Oregel MID	9			2 -
P Zinckernagel FWD	27	6	9	5 -
P Dithejane FWD	21	2	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	9	15
M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Haile-Selassie MID	10	24	6	11
R Lewandowski FWD	6	11	3	2
Subs
P Zinckernagel FWD	6	26	9	15
J Bamba FWD	3	14	2	7
Subs
P Dithejane FWD	2	10	1	2
A Salétros MID	1	7	1	7
J Gómez FWD	1	3
Subs
A Gutman DEF	1	2	4	4
J Dean DEF				1
J Elliott DEF		2	2	2
M. Mbokazi DEF		3
M Pineda MID		1
Subs
L. Caetano Barroso DEF		3	2	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1595	51	151
J Elliott	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Elliott DEF	1595	29	89
A Salétros MID	1242	31	53
C Brady GLK	807		11
Subs
P Zinckernagel FWD	806	51	151
M. Mbokazi DEF	775	27	65
M Haile-Selassie MID	750	21	70
J Dean DEF	701	36	83
Subs
A Gutman DEF	655	26	72
J Bamba FWD	571	26	76
M Pineda MID	506	25	42
Subs
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	425	30	49
S Oregel MID	270	5	17
N Allen DEF	191	5	10
R Lewandowski FWD	189	3	53
Subs
P Dithejane FWD	150	6	35
J Gómez FWD	82	3	11
Subs
J Cohen GLK	73		1

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	17	8	6
N Harriel	M Iloski	F. Westfield	J Bueno

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Blake GLK	26			-
F. Westfield DEF	23		8	2 -
N. Pierre DEF	12	4		2 -
N Harriel DEF	28	1	2	4 -
K Wagner DEF	13		3	4 -
C. Sullivan MID	25	7	6	2 1
J Bueno MID	22	1	1	6 -
J Lukic MID	26		1	6 -
Q Sullivan MID	13	1	3	3 -
M Iloski FWD	28	17	2	4 -
B Damiani FWD	28	9	2	6 -
Subs
A. Rick GLK	2			1 -
G. Martínez Turner DEF	7			2 -
J Larsen DEF	13	1		5 1
I Vassilev MID	27	4	5	1 -
A Bedoya MID	18		2	1 -
J Rafanello MID	5			1 -
B Bender MID	10	1	1	1 -
E. Alladoh FWD	24	1	1	2 1
M. Jakupovic FWD	8	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	40	8	13
M Iloski	M Iloski	F. Westfield	C. Sullivan

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Iloski FWD	17	40	2	7
B Damiani FWD	9	17	2	6
C. Sullivan MID	7	23	6	13
N. Pierre DEF	4	5
Subs
I Vassilev MID	4	10	5	8
N Harriel DEF	1	5	2	3
J Bueno MID	1	5	1	1
Q Sullivan MID	1	10	3	2
Subs
J Larsen DEF	1	2
B Bender MID	1	2	1
E. Alladoh FWD	1	5	1	1
M. Jakupovic FWD	1	1
F. Westfield DEF		3	8	12
K Wagner DEF		2	3	3
J Lukic MID			1	2
Subs
A Bedoya MID		2	2	2
J Rafanello MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1053	56	185
N Harriel	J Lukic	N Harriel

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
N Harriel DEF	1053	47	185
J Lukic MID	971	56	90
F. Westfield DEF	823	43	142
A Blake GLK	649	2	11
K Wagner DEF	610	14	44
B Damiani FWD	578	38	177
Subs
I Vassilev MID	578	23	71
M Iloski FWD	561	10	63
C. Sullivan MID	559	29	103
J Bueno MID	455	24	58
N. Pierre DEF	448	25	71
Subs
J Larsen DEF	353	18	42
E. Alladoh FWD	223	5	61
B Bender MID	213	14	31
Q Sullivan MID	192	10	24
Subs
G. Martínez Turner DEF	165	13	21
A Bedoya MID	120	7	26
J Rafanello MID	114	2	8
A. Rick GLK	51
M. Jakupovic FWD	17	2	10