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Inter Miami v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Inter Miami CF Stadium, Fort Lauderdale

Nick Cushing pays counterpart Gerardo Daniel Martino a visit on Saturday night in the Major League Soccer, as their New York City and Inter Miami sides go head to head at the Inter Miami CF Stadium. Analysing both sides' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Inter Miami's next match is v New England at 00:30 on Sunday 28th April
New York City's next match is v Charlotte at 00:30 on Sunday 28th April
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Miami and NY City was on Saturday 30th March 2024
American Major League Soccer
March 30th 2024
Miami 1
1 NY City
 
L. Suárez Díaz 14'34' A. Martínez Batista
 
MIA
NYC
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
9
5
Corners
7
2
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
MiamiNY City
 
D. Callender
M. Weigandt
R. Sailor
Y. Bright (T. Avilés 65')
J. Alba Ramos
D. Ruiz
J. Gressel (J. de Abadal 77')
S. Busquets i Burgos
D. Gómez Amarilla
R. Taylor (Leonardo Afonso 77')
L. Suárez Díazfootball icon
F. Matthew
T. Martins Bueno
(K. O'Toole 67') M. Ilenčič
T. Gray
(M. Jones 85') S. Tanasijević
J. Sands
S. Rodríguez Molina
K. Alexander Parks
(A. Perea Castañeda 85') football iconA. Martínez Batista
H. Wolf
(J. Fernández 67') M. Bakrar
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Miami and NY City will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Gerardo Daniel Martino or Nick Cushing has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.62 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Miami are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Miami
50%
19/20
2%
17/209/1022/25
7%
Draw
23%
11/4
4%
12/511/4
10%
14/5
1%
NY City
26%
11/4
1%
5/21/2
57%
11/4
12%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/213/2
7%
6/1
Miami 2-1
10%
15/213/214/1
88%
15/2
Miami 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
7/1
6%
8/1
6%
Miami 2-0
8%
9/18/1
5%
9/1
9%
9/1
11%
NY City 2-1
7%
12/110/113/2
38%
23/2
11%
NY City 1-0
6%
12/110/15/1
54%
12/1
7%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/114/1
25%
12/1
Miami 3-1
6%
14/111/140/1
173%
13/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/111/1
8%
13/1
Miami 3-0
5%
16/112/166/1
294%
15/1
14%
NY City 2-0
4%
20/114/1
12%
20/118/1
10%
Miami 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
40/1
116%
20/1
NY City 3-1
3%
28/120/1
11%
11/1
54%
25/1
10%
Miami 4-1
2%
28/120/1
11%
28/125/1
4%
NY City 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
20/1
28%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
4%
-8/11
4%
7/10
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
3%
-Evs
5%
11/10
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7-4/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4-7/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
3%
13/20
3%
10/11
18%
13/20
1%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
4/5
18%
23/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
3%
5/2
6%
9/1
186%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
17/5
2%
9/2
27%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/25/111/2
8%
-
Home/draw
74%
1/41/46/4
94%
7/25
4%
Away/draw
50%
4/5
2%
17/201/8
38%
10/11
6%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
2/72/9
5%
27/100
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
-2/7
6%
1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
-5/2
13%
10/3
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4
5%
-9/4
24%
9/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
-1/3
8%
21/50
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
-5/1
20%
17/4
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
-1/9
3%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
-9/1
11%
10/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-1/25
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-1/25
8%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-9/1
82%
12/1
Home DNB
67%
2/52/52/5
3%
11/25
7%
Away DNB
43%
7/417/107/4
5%
9/5
11%
Miami win to nil
25%
5/2
7%
-12/5
6%
-
NY City win to nil
12%
6/1
13%
-6/1
7%
-
Miami / Miami
19%
21/10
3%
2/1
3%
2/119/10
7%
Miami / NY City
3%
28/125/1
13%
20/1
38%
35/1
12%
Miami / Draw
7%
12/111/112/112/1
7%
Draw / Miami
18%
4/119/512/1
160%
17/4
4%
Draw / NY City
13%
15/213/2
6%
17/2
6%
15/2
11%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/117/49/2
8%
5/1
NY City / Miami
4%
20/116/150/1
143%
22/1
NY City / NY City
15%
5/119/4
4%
5/4
63%
5/1
13%
NY City / Draw
6%
14/111/114/1
15%
13/1
7%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Miami 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
NY City 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Miami since 2020
Miami
NY City
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
MIA
1
D
1
NYC
3
All league games since 2020
Miami
NY City
Goals: Scored
7
15
Games: Scored
4 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
4 / 8
MIA
1
D
1
NYC
6
Goal Statistics

Inter Miami's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because New York City have conceded in each of their last 5 Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 1.8 for G. Martino's side suggests that run should continue.

Miami 1st NY City 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Miami will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that NY City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Miami’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-47
NY City have scored 47% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Major League Soccer - 2024/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268999/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Miami
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
34%
better
MIA
NYC
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score1
3
Scored first3
4
Goals scored26
11
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal4
9
Conversion rate23%
11%
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
MIA
NYC
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded16
10
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate15%
10%
KickOff rating
+20%

Miami v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Miami Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9634
J GresselL SuárezJ GresselD Amarilla
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Callender GLK8
-
M Weigandt DEF3
1
-
R Sailor DEF3
1
-
S Busquets DEF91
2
-
J Alba DEF911
2
-
D Ruiz MID82
-
Y. Bright MID3
-
D Amarilla MID822
4
-
J Gressel FWD93
2
-
L Suárez FWD863
2
-
R Taylor FWD72
-
Subs
C Santos GLK1
-
T Avilés DEF9
4
-
N Allen DEF6
3
-
F Negri DEF21
1
-
L Sunderland MID51
-
J. de Abadal MID2
-
S Borgelin FWD4
-
Leonardo Afonso FWD31
-
L Campana FWD721
2
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8314
M FreeseS RodríguezT MartinsK Parks
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK8
1
-
T Gray DEF5
1
-
T Martins DEF81
1
-
S Tanasijević DEF2
1
-
M Ilenič MID7
2
-
K Parks MID71
3
1
J Sands MID7
3
1
H Wolf MID81
-
A Martínez FWD41
-
M. Bakrar FWD7
-
S Rodríguez FWD83
1
-
Subs
L Barraza GLK
-
C McFarlane DEF
-
A Perea MID6
2
-
A Jasson MID2
-
J Haak MID3
1
-
J Fernández FWD811
-
K O'Toole FWD811
-
A Ojeda FWD41
-
M. Jones FWD3
1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds