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New York City v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 4th Jul, 00:30 BST, Yankee Stadium, New York City

the Yankee Stadium crowd welcome Toronto FC's travelling contingent on Friday morning, as Pascal Gastien's New York City take on Henk Fraser's side in the Major League Soccer. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
46%
--
Draw
24%
--
Toronto
31%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
NY City 2-1
9%
--
NY City 1-0
8%
--
Toronto 2-1
7%
--
NY City 2-0
7%
--
Toronto 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
NY City 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Toronto 2-0
4%
--
NY City 3-0
4%
--
NY City 3-2
4%
--
Toronto 3-1
3%
--
Toronto 3-2
3%
--
NY City 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
NY City win to nil
21%
--
Toronto win to nil
13%
--
Win / draw / win form
NY City 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Toronto 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
NY City have beaten Toronto in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Toronto
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
NYC
4
D
2
TOR
2
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY City
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
NYC
5
D
1
TOR
4
Goal Statistics

New York City's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday morning, not least because Toronto FC have conceded in each of their last 5 Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 1.7 for Pascal Gastien's side suggests that run should continue.

NY City 10th Toronto 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Toronto have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291037/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Toronto
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
12%
better
NYC
TOR
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score6
7
Scored first7
6
Goals scored24
18
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
14%
better
NYC
TOR
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+14%

NY City v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18834
J HaakH WolfJ HaakT Gray
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Haak MID183
3
-
M Moralez MID1822
2
-
J Fernández FWD1823
2
-
H Wolf FWD1882
1
-
A Ojeda FWD18
-
M Freese GLK17
2
-
T Martins DEF17
1
-
J. Shore MID17
1
-
M. Bakrar FWD172
1
-
A Martínez FWD1681
-
B Risa DEF15
1
-
K Parks MID1412
3
-
N. Cavallo DEF13
1
-
T Gray DEF11
4
-
K O'Toole DEF10
2
1
A Perea MID91
1
-
S Tanasijević DEF7
2
-
A O'Neill MID6
2
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID3
-
T Keubler GLK1
-
Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17435
S JohnsonF BernardeschiF BernardeschiF Bernardeschi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK17
1
-
D Flores MID1612
4
-
S Rosted DEF151
1
-
Alonso MID15
-
T Corbeanu FWD1531
-
F Bernardeschi FWD1543
5
-
K Thompson MID14
5
-
T. Spicer FWD141
-
K Long DEF13
2
-
R Petretta DEF12
3
-
J Osorio MID122
1
-
O Brynhildsen FWD1221
-
D Junior FWD121
1
-
L Insigne FWD1212
1
-
M Longstaff  MID10
1
-
Z. Monlouis DEF9
-
M Dominguez MID91
1
-
L Stefanovic DEF7
-
H Wingo DEF6
-
N Gomis DEF6
-
D Kerr FWD52
-
K Franklin DEF4
-
M Cimermancic MID4
-
C. Sharp FWD41
-
R Laryea DEF3
1
-
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