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Toronto FC v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

BMO Field, Toronto

Pascal Gastien guides his New York City troops to the BMO Field in the Major League Soccer on Saturday evening, with Henk Fraser's Toronto FC their rivals. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Major League Soccer performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

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Toronto FC's next match is v DC United at 21:30 on Saturday 10th May
New York City's next match is v Montreal at 00:30 on Sunday 11th May
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Toronto and NY City was on Saturday 26th April 2025
American Major League Soccer
April 26th 2025
Toronto 0
1 NY City
 
64' A. Martínez Batista
 
TOR
NYC
Shots On
4
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
6
7
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
10
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
TorontoNY City
 
S. Johnson
R. Petretta
S. Rosted
K. Long
J. Osorio
M. Dominguez (L. Insigne 67')
K. Thompson
D. Flores (A. Coello Camarero 66')
T. Corbeanu
C. Sharp (M. Longstaff 87')
F. Bernardeschi (T. Spicer 70')
F. Matthew
T. Gray
(N. Cavallo 65') K. O'Toole
T. Martins Bueno
(A. Perea Castañeda 78') M. Moralez
(B. Risa 78') J. Shore
K. Alexander Parks
J. Haak
H. Wolf
(M. Bakrar 90') football iconA. Martínez Batista
(J. Fernández 65') A. Ojeda

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
36%
15/8
28%
-
Draw
27%
2/1
6%
-
NY City
37%
7/4
19%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
-
NY City 1-0
10%
15/2
23%
-
Toronto 1-0
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
20%
-
NY City 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
-
Toronto 2-1
8%
10/1
22%
-
NY City 2-0
6%
12/1
24%
-
Toronto 2-0
6%
12/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
-
NY City 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Toronto 3-1
3%
22/1
35%
-
NY City 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Toronto 3-0
3%
28/1
38%
-
NY City 3-2
2%
33/1-
Toronto 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
7/10
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
21%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
10/11
17%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
39%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
15%
-
Home/draw
63%
2/5
8%
-
Away/draw
64%
2/5
14%
-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
9/4
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
-
Home DNB
55%
5/6
17%
-
Away DNB
56%
5/6
19%
-
Toronto win to nil
20%
7/2
13%
-
NY City win to nil
20%
10/3
28%
-
Toronto / Toronto
18%
7/2
25%
-
Toronto / NY City
3%
28/1-
Toronto / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Toronto
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / NY City
14%
5/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
14%
-
NY City / Toronto
3%
28/1
26%
-
NY City / NY City
19%
10/3
13%
-
NY City / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Toronto 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Toronto2 - 1Austin
Toronto1 - 3DC United
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto1 - 4Chicago
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto5 - 1Montreal
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Toronto3 - 1Dallas
Toronto1 - 0New England
Toronto1 - 3Sporting KC
Toronto2 - 0Atlanta
Toronto1 - 0Charlotte
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto1 - 0Salt Lake
HToronto0 - 0Minnesota
AToronto1 - 1Miami
HToronto0 - 0Vancouver
AToronto1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Cincinnati
AToronto2 - 4Orlando
AToronto2 - 2DC United
HToronto0 - 1Miami
HToronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 1Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Colorado
HToronto0 - 2Columbus
HToronto2 - 1Austin
HToronto1 - 3DC United
AToronto1 - 0Houston
AToronto1 - 0Montreal
AToronto1 - 3Miami
HToronto2 - 1Philadelphia
NY City 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England2 - 0NY City
Atlanta4 - 3NY City
Columbus0 - 0NY City
LAFC1 - 0NY City
Miami2 - 2NY City
Cincinnati0 - 0NY City
Cincinnati1 - 0NY City
Montreal2 - 0NY City
NY Red Bulls1 - 5NY City
DC United1 - 1NY City
Columbus4 - 2NY City
Orlando1 - 1NY City
Atlanta2 - 2NY City
Chicago0 - 0NY City
Austin2 - 1NY City
Nashville1 - 0NY City
LA Galaxy2 - 0NY City
New England0 - 1NY City
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 2Montreal
HNY City3 - 1Nashville
HNY City3 - 2Cincinnati
ANY City5 - 1NY Red Bulls
HNY City1 - 1Miami
HNY City1 - 5Philadelphia
ANY City1 - 1DC United
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
NY City have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY City
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
TOR
4
D
1
NYC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
2 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1NY City
1 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto4 - 0
2 - 3NY City
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Toronto
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
TOR
2
D
2
NYC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City2 - 1
NY City3 - 0
NY City5 - 4
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 2Toronto
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Toronto FC of late. It has been 7 Major League Soccer games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against New York City.

Toronto 14th NY City 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that NY City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Toronto have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
NY City have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290887/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
TOR
NYC
2%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score3
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
11
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
10%
better
TOR
NYC
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded13
13
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%

Toronto v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11223
S JohnsonF BernardeschiF BernardeschiK Thompson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK11
1
-
R Petretta DEF8
2
-
K Long DEF8
2
-
S Rosted DEF91
1
-
K Thompson MID9
3
-
J Osorio MID91
-
M Dominguez MID4
-
D Flores MID101
3
-
T Corbeanu MID91
-
F Bernardeschi FWD1122
3
-
C. Sharp FWD2
-
Subs
L Gavran GLK
-
N Gomis DEF6
-
K Franklin DEF3
-
L Stefanovic DEF3
-
M Longstaff  MID7
1
-
Alonso MID10
-
M Cimermancic MID4
-
T. Spicer FWD8
-
L Insigne FWD71
1
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11623
M FreeseA MartínezJ FernándezK O'Toole
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK11
2
-
T Gray DEF4
2
-
J Haak DEF11
1
-
T Martins DEF10
-
K O'Toole DEF9
2
1
K Parks MID111
2
-
J. Shore MID10
1
-
M Moralez MID111
1
-
H Wolf FWD1131
1
-
A Martínez FWD106
-
A Ojeda FWD11
-
Subs
G Ranjitsingh GLK
-
T Keubler GLK
-
N. Cavallo DEF6
-
B Risa DEF9
1
-
S Tanasijević DEF4
1
-
A Perea MID5
-
M. Bakrar FWD11
1
-
J Fernández FWD1122
1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Chicago v Atlanta
Sat 10th May, 19:30
Toronto v DC United
Sat 10th May, 21:30
Minnesota v Miami
Sat 10th May, 21:30
Cincinnati v Austin
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Orlando v New England
Sun 11th May, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v LA Galaxy
Sun 11th May, 00:30
NY City v Montreal
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v Columbus
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Saint Louis City v San Diego
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Nashville v Charlotte
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Houston v Seattle
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Dallas v Salt Lake
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Colorado v San Jose
Sun 11th May, 02:30
Portland v Sporting KC
Sun 11th May, 03:30
Vancouver v LAFC
Mon 12th May, 00:00
Toronto v Cincinnati
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v LA Galaxy
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Orlando v Charlotte
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Montreal v Columbus
Thu 15th May, 00:30
DC United v NY City
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Austin v Atlanta
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Nashville v NY Red Bulls
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Houston v Minnesota
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Saint Louis City v Sporting KC
Thu 15th May, 01:45
Salt Lake v Portland
Thu 15th May, 02:30
San Jose v Miami
Thu 15th May, 03:30
LAFC v Seattle
Thu 15th May, 03:30
San Diego v Colorado
Thu 15th May, 03:30
Montreal v Toronto
Sat 17th May, 19:30
NY City v NY Red Bulls
Sat 17th May, 21:30
Columbus v Cincinnati
Sun 18th May, 00:00
Atlanta v Philadelphia
Sun 18th May, 00:30
Charlotte v Chicago
Sun 18th May, 00:30
New England v San Jose
Sun 18th May, 00:30
Dallas v Houston
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Austin v Vancouver
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Nashville v DC United
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Minnesota v Saint Louis City
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Colorado v Salt Lake
Sun 18th May, 02:30
Portland v Seattle
Sun 18th May, 02:30
San Diego v Sporting KC
Sun 18th May, 03:30
Miami v Orlando
Mon 19th May, 00:00
LA Galaxy v LAFC
Mon 19th May, 02:00