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Defensa y Justicia v Estudiantes : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 2nd Feb, 22:45 BST, Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela

It's an away match for Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Estudiantes side on Monday night, as they travel to the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello for a Primera División clash with Mariano Soso's Defensa y Justicia. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Defensa and Estudiantes both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Estudiantes coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Defensa 28%	12/5	11/5
Draw 29%	15/8	19/10
Estudiantes 43%	6/5	29/20
Estudiantes 1-0 14%	9/2	17/4
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Draw 0-0 12%	5/1	9/2
Defensa 1-0 11%	13/2	5/1
Estudiantes 2-0 9%	17/2	8/1
Estudiantes 2-1 8%	9/1	9/1
Defensa 2-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Defensa 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Estudiantes 3-0 4%	20/1	18/1
Estudiantes 3-1 3%	22/1	20/1
Defensa 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Defensa 3-0 2%	40/1	25/1
Estudiantes 3-2 2%	40/1	33/1
Defensa 3-2 1%	50/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	17/10	15/8
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	4/9	4/11
Home 1st Goal 43%	7/5	13/10
Away 1st Goal 50%	10/11	19/20
No 1st Goal 8%	5/1	9/2
BTTS - Yes 43%	6/5	11/8
BTTS - No 57%	8/13	8/15
BTTS - Home Win 10%	8/1	7/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	11/2
Home/draw 57%	8/13	8/15
Away/draw 72%	3/10	1/3
Home/away 71%	2/5	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	8/15	8/13
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	11/8	23/20
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	9/2	19/4
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/7	1/9
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	12/1	12/1
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/50
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	28/1	28/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/150	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/8	1/8
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	5/1	9/2
Home DNB 49%	5/4	23/20
Away DNB 63%	4/7	13/20
Defensa win to nil 18%	4/1	-
Estudiantes win to nil 28%	12/5	-
Defensa / Defensa 15%	5/1	4/1
Defensa / Estudiantes 3%	33/1	25/1
Defensa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Defensa 12%	6/1	11/2
Draw / Estudiantes 16%	4/1	17/4
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	11/4
Estudiantes / Defensa 2%	40/1	28/1
Estudiantes / Estudiantes 21%	11/4	29/10
Estudiantes / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Estudiantes have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Defensa	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
Defensa	1 - 3	Huracan
Defensa	1 - 0	Argentinos
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Defensa	1 - 2	Platense
Defensa	2 - 1	Belgrano
Defensa	1 - 1	Newells
Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Defensa	2 - 0	Aldosivi
Defensa	1 - 2	Racing Club
Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
Defensa	1 - 2	Tig
Defensa	1 - 0	Estudiantes
Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
Defensa	2 - 1	Central Cor
Defensa	0 - 1	Banfield
Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
Defensa	2 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Defensa	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Defensa	2 - 1	Argentinos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
A	Defensa	0 - 0	Aldosivi
H	Defensa	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Defensa	1 - 3	Huracan
A	Defensa	0 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Argentinos
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Tig
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Estudiantes
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Platense
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Belgrano
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
H	Defensa	1 - 1	Newells
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
A	Defensa	1 - 2	Central Cor
H	Defensa	2 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Defensa	0 - 0	Banfield
A	Defensa	2 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Racing Club

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Racing Club	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Gimnasia	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Central Cor	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Rosario	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Tig	1 - 0	Estudiantes
Belgrano	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Newells	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Central Cor	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Banfield	3 - 2	Estudiantes
Racing Club	0 - 1	Estudiantes
U Santa Fe	1 - 0	Estudiantes
Rosario	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Argentinos	4 - 0	Estudiantes
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Gimnasia	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Barracas	2 - 1	Estudiantes
Defensa	1 - 0	Estudiantes
River Plate	0 - 2	Estudiantes
Aldosivi	2 - 2	Estudiantes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Central Cor
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Rosario
H	Estudiantes	1 - 2	Argentinos
A	Estudiantes	0 - 1	Tig
H	Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
H	Estudiantes	2 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Belgrano
H	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Barracas
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
H	Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Central Cor
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Estudiantes	2 - 3	Banfield
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Racing Club

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Defensa have not lost to Estudiantes in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Defensa

Estudiantes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

DEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Defensa	1 - 0
Defensa	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Defensa	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Estudiantes

Defensa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

DEF

EST

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes
Estudiantes	1 - 0
Estudiantes	1 - 0
Estudiantes	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Defensa
	1 - 2	Defensa

Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Defensa y Justicia fans, as should a 8 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Goals have been an issue for Estudiantes of late. It has been 8 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday night against Defensa y Justicia.

	Defensa	Estudiantes
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Estudiantes will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Defensa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-14 Estudiantes have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

DEF

EST

50%

better

view stats

Games scored	1		2
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	1		3
Avg. goals scored	0.5		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	12		6
Conversion rate for	8		17
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+50%

56%

better

DEF

EST

view stats

Games conceded	0		2
Clean sheets	2		0
Conceded first	0		1
Goals conceded	0		2
Avg. goals conceded	0		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		8
Conversion rate against	0%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+56%