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Estudiantes v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 2nd Mar, 22:15 BST, Estadio Florencio Solá, Buenos Aires

the Estadio Florencio Solá masses welcome Vélez Sarsfield's travelling contingent on Monday night, as Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Estudiantes go head to head with Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team in the Primera División. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Estudiantes and Velez during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

Estudiantes leading the game at half time, and going on to win the match at full time is the most probable outcome according to KickOff’s predictive algorithm. We place ‘Estudiantes/Estudiantes’ at 23% probability, and the bookies’ best price on it is 3.60.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estudiantes 45%	2.15	2.20
Draw 29%	2.65	2.88
Velez 26%	4.33	3.90
Estudiantes 1-0 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw 1-1 13%	5.50	5.50
Draw 0-0 12%	5.50	5.25
Velez 1-0 10%	8.50	7.00
Estudiantes 2-0 9%	9.00	8.50
Estudiantes 2-1 8%	10.00	9.50
Velez 2-1 6%	15.00	13.00
Velez 2-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Estudiantes 3-0 4%	21.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	17.00
Estudiantes 3-1 3%	23.00	17.00
Velez 3-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Estudiantes 3-2 1%	41.00	34.00
Velez 3-0 1%	41.00	34.00
Estudiantes 4-0 1%	41.00	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	2.88	2.80
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	1.40	1.40
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.83	1.80
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.63	2.62
No 1st Goal 9%	5.50	5.25
BTTS - Yes 41%	2.25	2.30
BTTS - No 59%	1.57	1.55
BTTS - Home Win 15%	6.50	5.75
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.50	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11.00	9.00
Home/draw 74%	1.20	1.25
Away/draw 55%	1.67	1.65
Home/away 71%	1.44	1.40
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	1.57	1.60
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	2.25	2.20
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	6.00	5.50
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1.13	1.12
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	15.00	12.00
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1.03	1.02
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	29.00	26.00
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1.14	1.13
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	5.50	5.50
Home DNB 66%	1.44	1.44
Away DNB 46%	2.63	2.50
Estudiantes win to nil 30%	3.25	-
Velez win to nil 16%	5.50	-
Estudiantes / Estudiantes 23%	3.60	3.40
Estudiantes / Velez 2%	41.00	34.00
Estudiantes / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Estudiantes 16%	5.00	5.00
Draw / Velez 11%	7.50	7.50
Draw / Draw 21%	4.00	3.60
Velez / Estudiantes 3%	34.00	26.00
Velez / Velez 13%	6.50	6.00
Velez / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Half time / full time form

Home

Overall

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Away

Overall

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time / full time head to head (H2H)

Half time

Full time

EST won

Drawn

VEL won

Half time

Full time

EST won

Drawn

VEL won

Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield's defensive record is very strong, G. Barros Schelotto's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Primera División matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Estudiantes makes sense in this context.

With a PG of just 0.9, Vélez Sarsfield look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Estudiantes have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive Primera División matches, and it could be a long night for G. Barros Schelotto's men.

	Estudiantes 14th	Velez 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Estudiantes will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Estudiantes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-12 Velez have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

EST

VEL

17%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		6
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	4		4
Goals scored	7		8
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	11		8
Conversion rate for	9		13
Avg. XG for	1.6		0.9
KickOff rating		+17%

39%

better

EST

VEL

view stats

Games conceded	2		4
Clean sheets	5		3
Conceded first	1		2
Goals conceded	2		4
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	28		17
Conversion rate against	4%		6%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.7
KickOff rating		+39%

Estudiantes v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	4
E Meza	F. Pérez Escudero	J. Tobio Burgos	L Pírez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Meza DEF	7			2 -
G Taffarel DEF	7		1	2 -
L Pírez DEF	7	1		4 -
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	7	2		2 -
E Piovi MID	6			1 -
A Castro MID	6	1		-
F Muslera GLK	5			1 -
T Palacios DEF	5			1 -
E Mancuso DEF	5			1 -
M. Amondarain MID	5			-
C Medina MID	5		1	-
G Carrillo FWD	5	1		-
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	5		2	-
F Farías MID	4			-
G Neves MID	4			-
T Palacios FWD	4	1		1 -
E Cetré FWD	4			-
F Iacovich GLK	3			-
S Nuñez DEF	3	1		1 1
A Gaich FWD	3		1	-
B Aguirre FWD	3		1	-
J Sosa MID	2			-
L Alario FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	2	3
F. Pérez Escudero	G Carrillo	J. Tobio Burgos	G Taffarel

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	2	6		2
L Pírez DEF	1	3
A Castro MID	1	1
G Carrillo FWD	1	9		1
T Palacios FWD	1	2		2
S Nuñez DEF	1	1
E Meza DEF		1		2
G Taffarel DEF			1	3
E Piovi MID		2
E Mancuso DEF				1
M. Amondarain MID		1
C Medina MID		3	1	1
J. Tobio Burgos FWD			2	1
F Farías MID		1
G Neves MID		1
E Cetré FWD		1
A Gaich FWD		2	1
B Aguirre FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
318	18	37
L Pírez	G Taffarel	L Pírez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pírez DEF	318	11	37
G Taffarel DEF	269	18	29
T Palacios DEF	255	7	36
E Piovi MID	246	12	20
C Medina MID	169	11	31
E Meza DEF	136	8	23
M. Amondarain MID	128	7	16
G Neves MID	128	10	12
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	116	14	31
F Muslera GLK	115		2
S Nuñez DEF	101	3	11
G Carrillo FWD	83	6	32
T Palacios FWD	73	2	11
J Sosa MID	68	1	8
A Castro MID	66	5	15
F Iacovich GLK	65
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	45	2	9
E Mancuso DEF	41	2	5
F Farías MID	36		5
E Cetré FWD	27	2	8
A Gaich FWD	25		5
B Aguirre FWD	18	1	4
L Alario FWD	3		1

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	2
Álvaro Montero	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	E Gómez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Álvaro Montero GLK	7			-
E Gómez DEF	7			2 -
L Magallán DEF	7			-
E Mammana DEF	7			-
C Baeza MID	7			2 -
T. Andrada MID	7	1		2 -
M Lanzini MID	7	2		1 -
L Robertone MID	7			1 -
R Aliendro MID	7			1 -
J García DEF	5	1		-
D Valdés MID	5		2	-
F Monzón FWD	5			-
M Pellegrini FWD	5	3	1	1 -
D. Godoy FWD	4		1	-
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-
A Quirós DEF	3			-
I Machuca FWD	3			1 -
B Romero FWD	3			1 -
M. Arias MID	2		1	-
T. Silvero DEF	1			-
M. Carrizo FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	3
M Pellegrini	M Lanzini	D Valdés	M Lanzini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Pellegrini FWD	3	5	1	1
M Lanzini MID	2	6		3
T. Andrada MID	1	2		1
J García DEF	1	2
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
D Valdés MID		2	2	1
F Monzón FWD		4
D. Godoy FWD		1	1	2
I Machuca FWD				1
B Romero FWD		1
M. Arias MID		1	1
M. Carrizo FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
332	20	49
C Baeza	C Baeza	T. Andrada

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Baeza MID	332	20	33
L Magallán DEF	324	10	21
T. Andrada MID	297	19	49
E Gómez DEF	293	9	38
M Lanzini MID	249	8	32
E Mammana DEF	211	5	12
J García DEF	169	7	14
Álvaro Montero GLK	143		4
R Aliendro MID	138	11	27
L Robertone MID	120	5	19
D Valdés MID	113	5	25
M Pellegrini FWD	110	5	30
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
A Quirós DEF	91	2	5
F Monzón FWD	76	4	19
D. Godoy FWD	41	3	10
I Machuca FWD	40		4
B Romero FWD	29	1	10
M. Arias MID	25		1
M. Carrizo FWD	11		4
T. Silvero DEF	6		1