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Independiente v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Oct, 14:00 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

The Primera División is the focus for both Independiente and Lanús on Sunday afternoon, as managers Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Mauricio Pochettino battle it out at the Estadio Libertadores de América. For every Primera División match, KickOff explores the stats for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Independiente and Lanus during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Independiente 41%	4/3	-
Draw 34%	23/10	-
Lanus 25%	2/1	-
Draw 0-0 19%	11/2	-
Independiente 1-0 19%	5/1	-
Lanus 1-0 13%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Independiente 2-0 9%	9/1	-
Independiente 2-1 6%	9/1	-
Lanus 2-0 4%	12/1	-
Lanus 2-1 4%	11/1	-
Independiente 3-0 3%	22/1	-
Draw 2-2 2%	20/1	-
Independiente 3-1 2%	22/1	-
Lanus 3-0 1%	33/1	-
Lanus 3-1 1%	28/1	-
Independiente 4-0 1%	50/1	-
Independiente 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 23%	8/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 77%	19/40	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 15%	11/2	-
BTTS - Yes 30%	6/5	-
BTTS - No 70%	8/13	-
BTTS - Home Win 10%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	7/1	-
Home/draw 75%	4/11	-
Away/draw 59%	8/15	-
Home/away 66%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 49%	8/15	-
Under 1.5 Goals 51%	11/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 8%	9/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 92%	1/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	28/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 81%	1/9	-
Under 0.5 Goals 19%	11/2	-
Home DNB 65%	4/6	-
Away DNB 49%	11/10	-
Independiente win to nil 31%	12/5	-
Lanus win to nil 19%	10/3	-
Independiente / Independiente 21%	3/1	-
Independiente / Lanus 2%	33/1	-
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Independiente 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Lanus 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Lanus / Independiente 2%	33/1	-
Lanus / Lanus 15%	9/2	-
Lanus / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Independiente have not won in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Independiente	2 - 0	SM San Juan
Independiente	4 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Independiente	1 - 1	Racing Club
Independiente	2 - 0	Instituto
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Independiente	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Independiente	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor
Independiente	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	3 - 0	U Santa Fe
Independiente	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Independiente	3 - 1	Deportivo Riestra

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Independiente	0 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield
A	Independiente	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Independiente	1 - 2	Velez
H	Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	2 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Rosario
A	Independiente	0 - 2	A. Tucuman
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	2 - 0	SM San Juan
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Lanus
H	Independiente	4 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Independiente	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Independiente	2 - 1	San Lorenzo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Gimnasia	1 - 2	Lanus
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Lanus
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 0	Lanus
Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Lanus
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Lanus
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Lanus
San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Lanus
Platense	0 - 0	Lanus
Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Lanus
River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Lanus
Rosario	2 - 1	Lanus
Barracas	3 - 3	Lanus
Banfield	0 - 1	Lanus
Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
Tal Cordoba	1 - 2	Lanus
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Lanus
Newells	2 - 1	Lanus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Instituto
H	Lanus	2 - 1	Platense
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Lanus	0 - 3	Velez
H	Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
A	Lanus	2 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
A	Lanus	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
A	Lanus	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Lanus	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Banfield
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Lanus	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Lanus	4 - 1	Instituto
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Platense
A	Lanus	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Independiente

Lanus

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

2 / 4

LAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Lanus
	0 - 1	Lanus
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Lanus

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

IND

LAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Independiente
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lanus	1 - 0
Lanus	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Independiente of late. It has been 8 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Lanús.

	Independiente 7th	Lanus 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less	0 51% 1 34% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 51% probability that Lanus will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+15 Independiente have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted	-10 Lanus’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

17%

better

IND

LAN

view stats

Games scored	17		15
Failed to score	10		11
Scored first	11		8
Goals scored	30		22
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	13		9
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+17%

IND

LAN

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	12		11
Conceded first	11		13
Goals conceded	21		19
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		12
Conversion rate against	11%		9%
Avg. XG against	1		1
KickOff rating		+2%

Independiente v Lanus Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	3	10
R Rey	G Ávalos	P Galdames	I Marcone

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	28			1 -
F Loyola DEF	27	5	2	4 -
K Lomónaco DEF	26			3 1
L Cabral MID	26	2	1	5 1
D. Tarzia FWD	25		1	5 -
F Vera DEF	24			6 -
I Marcone MID	24			10 -
S Valdéz DEF	23			2 -
G Ávalos FWD	23	9	1	4 -
P Galdames MID	21	1	3	2 -
S Montiel FWD	20	1	1	6 -
G. Millán MID	19	1		1 -
R Fernández MID	14			4 1
F Mancuello MID	12	1	1	2 -
F Paredes DEF	8			2 -
I Pussetto FWD	8			3 -
W Mazzantti FWD	8			1 -
F Zabala DEF	6			1 -
L Godoy DEF	6		1	2 -
N Freire DEF	6	1		2 -
M Abaldo FWD	6			-
J. De Irastorza DEF	2			1 -
M Valenzuela DEF	2			-
A. Medina MID	1			1 -
E. Taborda FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	17	3	7
G Ávalos	G Ávalos	P Galdames	G. Millán

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Ávalos FWD	9	17	1	5
F Loyola DEF	5	13	2	4
L Cabral MID	2	7	1	3
P Galdames MID	1	6	3	2
S Montiel FWD	1	12	1	5
G. Millán MID	1	4		7
F Mancuello MID	1	3	1	1
N Freire DEF	1	2
K Lomónaco DEF		3
D. Tarzia FWD		6	1	4
F Vera DEF		1		4
I Marcone MID				1
S Valdéz DEF		5
R Fernández MID		1
I Pussetto FWD		3		1
W Mazzantti FWD		2
L Godoy DEF		1	1	1
M Abaldo FWD		1
A. Medina MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1474	53	144
K Lomónaco	F Loyola	F Loyola

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Lomónaco DEF	1474	33	140
I Marcone MID	1243	52	112
S Valdéz DEF	1074	28	114
F Loyola DEF	984	53	144
L Cabral MID	766	16	96
R Rey GLK	715	1	13
F Vera DEF	678	39	107
G. Millán MID	389	13	58
S Montiel FWD	381	27	94
P Galdames MID	363	25	37
N Freire DEF	342	4	23
R Fernández MID	310	14	41
D. Tarzia FWD	270	29	84
G Ávalos FWD	240	11	88
F Zabala DEF	186	9	34
F Paredes DEF	183	3	16
W Mazzantti FWD	106	8	32
M Abaldo FWD	103	4	12
L Godoy DEF	99	7	17
F Mancuello MID	80	5	11
J. De Irastorza DEF	65	3	6
I Pussetto FWD	61		22
A. Medina MID	26	4	6
M Valenzuela DEF	22	2	2
E. Taborda FWD	12	1	6

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	4	4	8
N Losada	M Moreno	S Marcich	A Cardozo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Losada GLK	26			-
S Marcich DEF	26		4	4 -
E Salvio FWD	26	3	1	-
A Cardozo MID	25			7 1
D Aquino FWD	25			2 -
C Izquierdoz DEF	23			1 1
M Moreno MID	23	4	1	1 -
A Canelo FWD	22	1	3	1 -
W Bou FWD	22	4	1	2 -
D. Medina MID	21			5 -
A Segovia FWD	20	1		-
G Pérez DEF	18		1	3 -
R López DEF	16			3 -
E Muñoz DEF	16		1	1 -
R Carrera MID	16	1	1	7 -
A Méndez DEF	14			5 -
J Ramírez MID	14			-
F Biafore MID	9		1	2 -
R Castillo FWD	9	4		1 1
F Watson MID	7	1	1	-
B. Cabrera FWD	6			2 -
L Acosta FWD	6	1		1 -
J Canale DEF	5	2		1 -
N Morgantini DEF	4			1 -
L Morales GLK	2			-
L. Cardozo DEF	2			2 -
O. Ontívero DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	18	4	11
M Moreno	E Salvio	S Marcich	S Marcich

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Moreno MID	4	15	1	11
W Bou FWD	4	16	1	3
R Castillo FWD	4	7
E Salvio FWD	3	18	1	7
J Canale DEF	2	2
A Canelo FWD	1	5	3	3
A Segovia FWD	1	5		1
R Carrera MID	1	10	1	1
F Watson MID	1	5	1	1
L Acosta FWD	1	1		1
S Marcich DEF		9	4	11
A Cardozo MID		4		3
D Aquino FWD		6		1
C Izquierdoz DEF		3		2
D. Medina MID		4		1
G Pérez DEF		1	1	2
R López DEF		2		2
E Muñoz DEF		1	1	1
A Méndez DEF		3		2
J Ramírez MID				1
F Biafore MID			1	1
B. Cabrera FWD		3
N Morgantini DEF		1
O. Ontívero DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1066	64	131
C Izquierdoz	S Marcich	S Marcich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Izquierdoz DEF	1066	30	108
A Cardozo MID	1042	43	112
S Marcich DEF	938	64	131
M Moreno MID	774	22	111
E Salvio FWD	680	22	88
N Losada GLK	642	2	16
D. Medina MID	631	41	77
R López DEF	584	14	69
E Muñoz DEF	539	11	77
R Carrera MID	490	20	90
G Pérez DEF	477	23	46
W Bou FWD	353	22	74
D Aquino FWD	309	23	75
A Segovia FWD	302	16	87
J Ramírez MID	279	8	37
F Biafore MID	266	6	34
A Méndez DEF	197	25	59
J Canale DEF	188	5	15
F Watson MID	187	4	16
A Canelo FWD	165	4	26
N Morgantini DEF	156	7	13
R Castillo FWD	129	7	37
B. Cabrera FWD	50	1	20
L Morales GLK	35
L. Cardozo DEF	34	2	4
L Acosta FWD	21	1	3
O. Ontívero DEF	19	1	3