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Instituto v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Feb, 00:15 BST, Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba

Wednesday morning sees Daniel Oldrá’s Instituto and Mauricio Pellegrino’s Lanús go head to head in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Daniel Oldrá and Mauricio Pellegrino to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Instituto and Lanus go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we recommend.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Instituto 34%	9/5	2/1
Draw 30%	9/5	15/8
Lanus 37%	8/5	17/10
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	9/2
Lanus 1-0 13%	5/1	19/4
Instituto 1-0 12%	11/2	5/1
Draw 0-0 12%	5/1	17/4
Lanus 2-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Lanus 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Instituto 2-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Instituto 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	16/1
Lanus 3-1 3%	28/1	22/1
Lanus 3-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Instituto 3-1 2%	28/1	25/1
Instituto 3-0 2%	33/1	25/1
Lanus 3-2 1%	40/1	33/1
Instituto 3-2 1%	40/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	17/10	19/10
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	4/9	4/11
Home 1st Goal 45%	6/5	6/5
Away 1st Goal 47%	21/20	11/10
No 1st Goal 8%	5/1	17/4
BTTS - Yes 43%	6/5	11/8
BTTS - No 57%	8/13	11/20
BTTS - Home Win 12%	7/1	13/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 13%	6/1	11/2
Home/draw 63%	4/9	4/9
Away/draw 66%	2/5	2/5
Home/away 70%	2/5	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	4/7	8/13
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	5/4	23/20
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	5/1	5/1
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/8	1/9
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	14/1	12/1
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/33	1/50
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	28/1	25/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/150	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/8	2/15
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	5/1	17/4
Home DNB 54%	10/11	19/20
Away DNB 57%	4/5	3/4
Instituto win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Lanus win to nil 24%	11/4	-
Instituto / Instituto 16%	4/1	19/5
Instituto / Lanus 3%	33/1	25/1
Instituto / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Instituto 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Lanus 14%	5/1	9/2
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	13/5
Lanus / Instituto 3%	33/1	25/1
Lanus / Lanus 18%	7/2	16/5
Lanus / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Instituto	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Instituto	1 - 3	Rosario
Instituto	2 - 0	A. Tucuman
Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
Instituto	2 - 0	Argentinos
Instituto	0 - 0	Independiente
Instituto	0 - 4	U Santa Fe
Instituto	1 - 1	Platense
Instituto	0 - 4	River Plate
Instituto	1 - 1	Sarmiento
Instituto	3 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Instituto	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Instituto	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Instituto	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
Instituto	2 - 0	Velez
Instituto	3 - 0	Gimnasia
Instituto	1 - 3	Godoy Cruz
Instituto	2 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Instituto	1 - 0	Argentinos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Instituto	1 - 2	Platense
H	Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
H	Instituto	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Instituto	1 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Instituto	1 - 3	Rosario
A	Instituto	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
H	Instituto	2 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Instituto	0 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
A	Instituto	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
H	Instituto	2 - 0	Argentinos
H	Instituto	0 - 0	Independiente
A	Instituto	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Instituto	0 - 4	U Santa Fe
H	Instituto	1 - 1	Platense
A	Instituto	0 - 0	Velez
H	Instituto	0 - 4	River Plate
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Instituto	1 - 3	Argentinos
A	Instituto	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo	2 - 3	Lanus
SM San Juan	1 - 1	Lanus
Banfield	2 - 1	Lanus
Independiente	0 - 2	Lanus
Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Gimnasia	1 - 2	Lanus
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Lanus
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 0	Lanus
Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Lanus
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Lanus
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Lanus
San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Lanus
Platense	0 - 0	Lanus
Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Lanus
River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Lanus
Rosario	2 - 1	Lanus
Barracas	3 - 3	Lanus
Banfield	0 - 1	Lanus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lanus	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Lanus	3 - 2	San Lorenzo
H	Lanus	0 - 1	Tig
H	Lanus	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Lanus	1 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Lanus	1 - 2	Banfield
H	Lanus	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
A	Lanus	2 - 0	Independiente
H	Lanus	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Instituto
H	Lanus	2 - 1	Platense
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Lanus	0 - 3	Velez
H	Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
A	Lanus	2 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
A	Lanus	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Boca Juniors

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Instituto of late. It has been 5 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday morning against Lanús.

	Instituto 13th	Lanus 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Instituto have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Lanus have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

LAN

72%

better

view stats

Games scored	1		2
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	0		2
Goals scored	1		5
Avg. goals scored	0.5		2.5
Avg. shots per game	9		13
Avg. shots per goal	18		5
Conversion rate for	6		20
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+72%

LAN

20%

better

view stats

Games conceded	2		2
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	2		0
Goals conceded	3		3
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		8
Conversion rate against	20%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+20%