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Lanús v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 5th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

Boca Juniors are away from home on Thursday morning, as manager Claudio Fernando Úbeda takes his men to visit Lanús and Mauricio Pellegrino at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor in the Primera División. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Mauricio Pellegrino and Claudio Fernando Úbeda to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a glut of goals as Lanus and Boca Juniors go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Boca Juniors coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lanus 33%	2/1	19/10
Draw 29%	2/1	2/1
Boca Juniors 38%	31/20	13/8
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	9/2
Boca Juniors 1-0 13%	11/2	5/1
Lanus 1-0 12%	6/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 11%	5/1	5/1
Boca Juniors 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Boca Juniors 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Lanus 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Lanus 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Boca Juniors 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Boca Juniors 3-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Lanus 3-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Lanus 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Boca Juniors 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Lanus 3-2 1%	40/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	17/10	8/5
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	4/9	4/9
Home 1st Goal 45%	6/5	23/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	1/1	21/20
No 1st Goal 7%	5/1	5/1
BTTS - Yes 45%	11/10	23/20
BTTS - No 55%	4/6	13/20
BTTS - Home Win 12%	13/2	11/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 62%	1/2	10/21
Away/draw 67%	4/11	2/5
Home/away 71%	4/11	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	8/15	8/15
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	11/8	11/8
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	9/2	17/4
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	1/7	1/7
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/33
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	28/1	22/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/150	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/8	1/9
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	5/1	5/1
Home DNB 53%	1/1	19/20
Away DNB 58%	8/11	3/4
Lanus win to nil 20%	10/3	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 24%	11/4	-
Lanus / Lanus 17%	4/1	18/5
Lanus / Boca Juniors 3%	33/1	25/1
Lanus / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Lanus 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Boca Juniors 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Draw 20%	3/1	29/10
Boca Juniors / Lanus 3%	33/1	25/1
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 19%	10/3	3/1
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Lanus	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
Lanus	0 - 1	Tig
Lanus	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Lanus	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Lanus	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
Lanus	2 - 1	Platense
Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
Lanus	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Lanus	1 - 1	Banfield
Lanus	1 - 1	Independiente
Lanus	4 - 1	Instituto
Lanus	0 - 0	Velez
Lanus	0 - 0	Gimnasia
Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento
Lanus	0 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
Lanus	2 - 0	Instituto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lanus	0 - 2	Independiente
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	2 - 2	Instituto
H	Lanus	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Lanus	3 - 2	San Lorenzo
H	Lanus	0 - 1	Tig
H	Lanus	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Lanus	1 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Lanus	1 - 2	Banfield
H	Lanus	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
A	Lanus	2 - 0	Independiente
H	Lanus	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Instituto
H	Lanus	2 - 1	Platense
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Lanus	0 - 3	Velez
H	Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
A	Lanus	2 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Barracas	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Huracan	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
Argentinos	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
Tig	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Belgrano	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Banfield	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Huracan	0 - 0	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Racing Club
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Platense
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Velez
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Estudiantes
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Argentinos
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Tig
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	River Plate
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Barracas
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Belgrano
H	Boca Juniors	5 - 0	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Defensa
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Rosario
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Aldosivi

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lanus have not lost to Boca Juniors in 5 consecutive league meetings

Lanus

Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

LAN

BOJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
Lanus	1 - 0
Lanus	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Lanus	2 - 1

Boca Juniors

Lanus

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

LAN

BOJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Boca Juniors	4 - 2
Boca Juniors	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Lanus
Boca Juniors	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Lanus 17th	Boca Juniors 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Lanus’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+16 Boca Juniors have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

25%

better

LAN

BOJ

view stats

Games scored	4		4
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	2		2
Goals scored	8		5
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.7
Avg. shots per game	9		6
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+25%

LAN

BOJ

51%

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		2
Clean sheets	0		4
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	8		4
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		12
Conversion rate against	15%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.3		0.8
KickOff rating		+51%

Lanus v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	3	3
N Losada	M Moreno	R Castillo	S Marcich

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Losada GLK	5			2 -
T Guidara DEF	5		1	1 -
J Canale DEF	5			-
S Marcich DEF	5	1		3 -
A Cardozo MID	5			-
F Biafore MID	5			-
R Carrera MID	5	1	1	2 -
E Salvio FWD	5		1	-
C Izquierdoz DEF	4	1		2 -
D. Medina MID	4			1 -
M Moreno MID	4	3	1	-
M Sepúlveda MID	4			1 -
R Castillo FWD	4	1	3	-
R López DEF	3			-
B. Cabrera FWD	3			-
D Aquino FWD	3	1		1 -
W Bou FWD	3			-
G Pérez DEF	2			-
F Watson MID	2			-
L Besozzi FWD	2		1	-
N Morgantini DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	3	4
M Moreno	M Moreno	R Castillo	R Castillo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Moreno MID	3	9	1	3
S Marcich DEF	1	1
R Carrera MID	1	3	1	2
C Izquierdoz DEF	1	1
R Castillo FWD	1	4	3	4
D Aquino FWD	1	2
T Guidara DEF			1	1
J Canale DEF				1
A Cardozo MID		1		1
E Salvio FWD		4	1	1
L Besozzi FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
274	16	32
A Cardozo	R Carrera	R Carrera

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Cardozo MID	274	9	21
C Izquierdoz DEF	193	11	32
J Canale DEF	188	7	15
T Guidara DEF	165	10	25
D. Medina MID	163	10	16
S Marcich DEF	142	13	26
E Salvio FWD	139	5	16
N Losada GLK	130		2
R Carrera MID	129	16	32
M Moreno MID	114	5	13
R Castillo FWD	94	3	27
F Biafore MID	78	8	16
R López DEF	43		3
M Sepúlveda MID	36	1	8
D Aquino FWD	30		5
F Watson MID	25		7
W Bou FWD	17	2	3
N Morgantini DEF	17		2
L Besozzi FWD	14		1
B. Cabrera FWD	12	3	5
G Pérez DEF	9	1	1

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	1	2	2
A Marchesín	L Lollo	L Paredes	L Lollo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Marchesín GLK	7			-
L Lollo DEF	7	1		2 -
L Blanco DEF	7	1		-
A Costa DEF	7			1 -
M. Delgado MID	6			1 -
L Paredes MID	6	1	2	2 -
J Barinaga DEF	5			-
S Ascacibar MID	5			2 -
M Weigandt DEF	4			-
T Belmonte MID	4			-
A Herrera MID	4			-
W Cepeda MID	4			1 -
K Zenón FWD	4			-
M Merentiel FWD	4	1		-
Ángel Romero FWD	4			-
L Janson FWD	3			1 -
E Zeballos FWD	3	1	1	-
E Cavani FWD	2			-
A Velasco FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	2	3
L Lollo	L Lollo	L Paredes	L Blanco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Lollo DEF	1	3
L Blanco DEF	1	2		3
L Paredes MID	1	2	2	2
M Merentiel FWD	1	3
E Zeballos FWD	1	2	1	2
J Barinaga DEF		1
T Belmonte MID		1
A Herrera MID		1
W Cepeda MID		1		1
K Zenón FWD		1
Ángel Romero FWD		1		1
L Janson FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
482	19	53
L Lollo	L Blanco	L Lollo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Lollo DEF	482	14	53
L Paredes MID	439	11	29
A Costa DEF	341	13	48
L Blanco DEF	268	19	25
S Ascacibar MID	196	12	28
J Barinaga DEF	191	5	30
M. Delgado MID	182	13	22
A Herrera MID	165	1	7
A Marchesín GLK	164		1
M Weigandt DEF	110	10	18
W Cepeda MID	99	6	12
T Belmonte MID	96	3	19
K Zenón FWD	77	4	17
M Merentiel FWD	63	1	6
E Zeballos FWD	61	5	19
Ángel Romero FWD	55	4	21
L Janson FWD	55	3	17
A Velasco FWD	41	1	6
E Cavani FWD	19		2