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River Plate v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Oct, 14:00 BST, Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

River Plate and their boss Marcelo Daniel Gallardo will be hoping for victory against Facundo Sava and his Sarmiento side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu in the Primera División. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by River Plate and Sarmiento combined during 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 77% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
River Plate 57%	9/20	10/21
Draw 25%	10/3	16/5
Sarmiento 17%	11/2	6/1
River Plate 1-0 15%	9/2	17/4
River Plate 2-0 12%	5/1	19/4
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 10%	17/2	7/1
River Plate 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Sarmiento 1-0 7%	12/1	11/1
River Plate 3-0 6%	17/2	15/2
River Plate 3-1 5%	12/1	11/1
Sarmiento 2-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Sarmiento 2-0 3%	33/1	25/1
River Plate 4-0 3%	18/1	14/1
River Plate 4-1 2%	25/1	20/1
River Plate 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Sarmiento 3-1 1%	50/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	21/20	21/20
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	3/4	7/10
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/9	2/5
Away 1st Goal 37%	9/4	13/5
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	7/1
BTTS - Yes 42%	6/5	5/4
BTTS - No 58%	8/13	4/7
BTTS - Home Win 20%	3/1	14/5
BTTS - Draw 15%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Away Win 7%	14/1	12/1
Home/draw 83%	1/9	1/11
Away/draw 43%	13/8	8/5
Home/away 75%	1/5	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	1/3	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	9/4	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	11/4	13/5
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/4	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	7/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	16/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/40	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/16	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	17/2	7/1
Home DNB 75%	1/6	2/15
Away DNB 35%	4/1	4/1
River Plate win to nil 38%	6/5	-
Sarmiento win to nil 11%	9/1	-
River Plate / River Plate 36%	5/4	6/5
River Plate / Sarmiento 2%	40/1	40/1
River Plate / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1
Draw / River Plate 20%	3/1	29/10
Draw / Sarmiento 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Sarmiento / River Plate 4%	22/1	18/1
Sarmiento / Sarmiento 7%	11/1	9/1
Sarmiento / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz
River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
River Plate	3 - 1	Platense
River Plate	1 - 1	Platense
River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
River Plate	0 - 2	Estudiantes
River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
River Plate	2 - 0	Independiente
River Plate	1 - 0	Instituto
River Plate	4 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
A	River Plate	0 - 2	A. Tucuman
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Estudiantes
H	River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Lanus
H	River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Independiente
H	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	River Plate	4 - 0	Instituto
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
H	River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
H	River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Sarmiento
H	River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Barracas	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Sarmiento
SM San Juan	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Sarmiento
Instituto	1 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Gimnasia	0 - 0	Sarmiento
Aldosivi	2 - 2	Sarmiento
Rosario	1 - 0	Sarmiento
A. Tucuman	5 - 0	Sarmiento
Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento
Independiente	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Banfield	1 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba	2 - 0	Sarmiento
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Newells	1 - 1	Sarmiento
Huracan	3 - 1	Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz	1 - 1	Sarmiento

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sarmiento	0 - 1	Gimnasia
A	Sarmiento	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Sarmiento	1 - 0	Barracas
H	Sarmiento	2 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Sarmiento	0 - 3	Deportivo Riestra
H	Sarmiento	2 - 2	A. Tucuman
A	Sarmiento	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Sarmiento	0 - 2	Lanus
A	Sarmiento	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Sarmiento	2 - 2	Independiente
H	Sarmiento	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Sarmiento	1 - 1	Instituto
H	Sarmiento	0 - 1	Platense
A	Sarmiento	1 - 0	Velez
H	Sarmiento	1 - 1	River Plate
A	Sarmiento	0 - 0	Gimnasia
H	Sarmiento	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Sarmiento	1 - 1	Barracas
A	Sarmiento	2 - 2	Aldosivi
A	Sarmiento	0 - 1	Rosario

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

River Plate

Sarmiento

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

0 / 2

RIV

SAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate		1 - 0
		1 - 2		Sarmiento

Sarmiento

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

2 / 4

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sarmiento
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	River Plate
	0 - 7	River Plate
	1 - 2	River Plate

Goal Statistics

	River Plate 5th	Sarmiento 26th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that River Plate will score 1 or more goals	0 47% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+29 River Plate have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted	-26 Sarmiento have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

33%

better

RIV

SAR

view stats

Games scored	20		14
Failed to score	7		10
Scored first	16		9
Goals scored	41		19
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.7
Avg. shots per game	11		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.5		1
KickOff rating		+33%

30%

better

RIV

SAR

view stats

Games conceded	13		16
Clean sheets	14		8
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	17		28
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		9
Conversion rate against	8%		11%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+30%

River Plate v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	4	12
F Armani	M Borja	G Montiel	L Quarta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Borja FWD	27	6	1	4 -
F Armani GLK	26			1 -
F Colidio FWD	24	6	3	4 -
M Acuña DEF	22	1	1	7 -
E Pérez MID	22			5 1
L Quarta DEF	19	1		11 1
G Montiel DEF	18	2	4	3 -
G Galoppo MID	18	5	1	2 -
S Driussi FWD	18	5	1	2 -
P Díaz DEF	17	1	1	3 -
G Pezzella DEF	17			3 -
K Castaño MID	17		1	6 -
F Bustos DEF	14			1 -
M Casco DEF	12		2	1 -
N Fernández MID	12	3	3	1 -
M Meza FWD	12		1	4 -
I. Subiabre FWD	10	1	1	2 -
P Martínez MID	9		2	1 -
S. Lencinas MID	9	3		2 -
M Fonda MID	7			3 -
J Quintero MID	7		1	-
M Salas FWD	7	2	2	2 1
J Portillo MID	6			1 -
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	5			2 -
S Boselli DEF	3			-
B. Dadín FWD	3		1	-
J Ledesma GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	23	4	9
M Borja	M Borja	G Montiel	F Colidio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Borja FWD	6	23	1	8
F Colidio FWD	6	17	3	9
G Galoppo MID	5	11	1	3
S Driussi FWD	5	10	1	3
N Fernández MID	3	5	3	2
S. Lencinas MID	3	3		2
G Montiel DEF	2	4	4	6
M Salas FWD	2	8	2
M Acuña DEF	1	4	1	8
L Quarta DEF	1	8		3
P Díaz DEF	1	5	1
I. Subiabre FWD	1	4	1	3
E Pérez MID				2
G Pezzella DEF		4		1
K Castaño MID		1	1	1
F Bustos DEF		3		2
M Casco DEF		1	2	1
M Meza FWD		4	1	2
P Martínez MID		2	2	2
M Fonda MID		1		1
J Quintero MID		2	1	3
J Portillo MID		4		1
B. Dadín FWD		3	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1128	53	126
L Quarta	E Pérez	E Pérez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	1128	41	126
M Acuña DEF	1054	38	108
E Pérez MID	1031	53	126
P Díaz DEF	962	15	98
K Castaño MID	893	34	70
G Montiel DEF	760	35	80
G Pezzella DEF	704	10	56
F Bustos DEF	559	20	40
F Colidio FWD	518	24	120
F Armani GLK	497	1	11
G Galoppo MID	480	27	79
M Meza FWD	458	24	80
M Casco DEF	440	15	38
N Fernández MID	372	21	45
J Quintero MID	354	2	5
S Driussi FWD	348	13	50
M Borja FWD	303	14	73
J Portillo MID	261	19	40
S. Lencinas MID	257	15	21
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	248	12	39
P Martínez MID	166	5	32
M Fonda MID	151	15	37
M Salas FWD	122	10	26
S Boselli DEF	119	6	12
I. Subiabre FWD	113	6	22
J Ledesma GLK	39		1
B. Dadín FWD	22	3	4

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	3	2	9
L Acosta	J Ardaiz	A Vigo	J Insaurralde

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Acosta GLK	26			1 -
I Bravo FWD	24	2	1	3 -
J Insaurralde DEF	23	1		8 1
F Roncaglia DEF	21			6 -
E. Giménez MID	20	2	1	4 -
C Villalba MID	20	1		9 -
A Vigo DEF	19		2	4 -
L Suhr FWD	18	1		2 1
G Díaz DEF	17		1	4 -
M García MID	17			6 -
J. Godoy DEF	16	1		4 -
F Frías FWD	16	1		1 -
R Barcos DEF	15			5 -
P Magnin FWD	12	2		1 -
F Paradela MID	10			3 -
J Contrera FWD	10		1	3 -
Y Arismendi FWD	10			-
J. Vallejos DEF	9			4 -
G González FWD	9	1	1	-
S Rodriguez FWD	9		1	-
S Morales DEF	8			1 -
J Gómez MID	8			5 -
J Ardaiz FWD	7	3	1	1 -
T. Guiacobini MID	5			2 -
L Pratto FWD	4			-
J Andrada MID	3			-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF	2			-
A. Ávalos Molina FWD	2			-
J. Rentería Arias FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	11	2	4
J Ardaiz	I Bravo	A Vigo	A Vigo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Ardaiz FWD	3	5	1	1
I Bravo FWD	2	11	1	3
E. Giménez MID	2	2	1
P Magnin FWD	2	5		1
J Insaurralde DEF	1	2		2
C Villalba MID	1	1		1
L Suhr FWD	1	4		3
J. Godoy DEF	1	3		1
F Frías FWD	1	5		2
G González FWD	1	3	1
F Roncaglia DEF		1
A Vigo DEF		5	2	4
G Díaz DEF			1	3
M García MID		2		3
R Barcos DEF		3
F Paradela MID		4		2
J Contrera FWD		1	1	2
Y Arismendi FWD				1
S Rodriguez FWD		5	1
S Morales DEF		1
J Gómez MID		4
L Pratto FWD		1
J. Rentería Arias FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
949	54	112
J Insaurralde	C Villalba	J Insaurralde

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Insaurralde DEF	949	26	112
F Roncaglia DEF	766	22	76
L Acosta GLK	753	2	10
C Villalba MID	601	54	101
E. Giménez MID	463	35	68
A Vigo DEF	458	39	91
R Barcos DEF	353	15	56
G Díaz DEF	345	24	44
S Morales DEF	343	14	38
M García MID	339	32	52
J. Godoy DEF	289	33	95
I Bravo FWD	263	11	66
G González FWD	214	11	52
J Gómez MID	190	6	25
J Contrera FWD	156	16	46
L Suhr FWD	152	11	64
T. Guiacobini MID	142	7	16
F Paradela MID	116	5	30
J. Vallejos DEF	116	21	43
S Rodriguez FWD	115	7	24
P Magnin FWD	101	7	26
F Frías FWD	99	4	31
J Ardaiz FWD	71	1	14
Y Arismendi FWD	69	7	16
J Andrada MID	56	1	4
L Pratto FWD	51		5
J. Rentería Arias FWD	13	1	8
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF	4	1	1
A. Ávalos Molina FWD	4		4