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Rosario Central v River Plate : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña, Rosario

Rosario Central are in Primera División action on Sunday afternoon, as Ariel Enrique Holan attempts to outsmart Marcelo Daniel Gallardo and his River Plate side at the Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Primera División match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Rosario and River Plate during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 35% chance of River Plate coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rosario 33%	2.65	-
Draw 32%	2.75	-
River Plate 35%	3.00	-
Draw 0-0 15%	6.50	-
River Plate 1-0 15%	7.50	-
Rosario 1-0 14%	7.00	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5.50	-
River Plate 2-0 7%	13.00	-
River Plate 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Rosario 2-0 6%	12.00	-
Rosario 2-1 6%	11.00	-
Draw 2-2 3%	17.00	-
River Plate 3-0 2%	29.00	-
River Plate 3-1 2%	29.00	-
Rosario 3-0 2%	26.00	-
Rosario 3-1 2%	26.00	-
River Plate 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Rosario 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 30%	2.50	-
Under 2.5 Goals 70%	1.50	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.05	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.20	-
No 1st Goal 10%	6.50	-
BTTS - Yes 38%	2.05	-
BTTS - No 62%	1.70	-
BTTS - Home Win 10%	6.50	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	7.50	-
Home/draw 65%	1.36	-
Away/draw 67%	1.44	-
Home/away 68%	1.40	-
Over 1.5 Goals 57%	1.50	-
Under 1.5 Goals 43%	2.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 13%	5.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 87%	1.17	-
Over 4.5 Goals 4%	11.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 96%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	26.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 85%	1.11	-
Under 0.5 Goals 15%	6.50	-
Home DNB 55%	1.80	-
Away DNB 58%	1.91	-
Rosario win to nil 23%	4.00	-
River Plate win to nil 25%	4.33	-
Rosario / Rosario 19%	4.33	-
Rosario / River Plate 2%	34.00	-
Rosario / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Rosario 14%	6.00	-
Draw / River Plate 14%	6.00	-
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	-
River Plate / Rosario 2%	34.00	-
River Plate / River Plate 18%	4.75	-
River Plate / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Rosario have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rosario	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 0	Newells
Rosario	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Rosario	0 - 0	SM San Juan
Rosario	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Rosario	0 - 1	Huracan
Rosario	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Rosario	1 - 0	Independiente
Rosario	3 - 0	Instituto
Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
Rosario	2 - 1	Gimnasia
Rosario	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Rosario	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Rosario	2 - 1	Lanus
Rosario	2 - 1	Belgrano
Rosario	0 - 2	Racing Club
Rosario	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
Rosario	0 - 1	Barracas
Rosario	1 - 1	Banfield

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Rosario	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Rosario	1 - 0	Newells
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Rosario	0 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	Rosario	0 - 0	SM San Juan
A	Rosario	1 - 0	Lanus
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
H	Rosario	0 - 1	Huracan
H	Rosario	2 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Rosario	1 - 0	Independiente
A	Rosario	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Rosario	3 - 0	Instituto
A	Rosario	0 - 0	Platense
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
A	Rosario	2 - 2	River Plate
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Gimnasia
A	Rosario	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Rosario	0 - 1	Boca Juniors

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. Tucuman	2 - 0	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Instituto	0 - 4	River Plate
Gimnasia	0 - 3	River Plate
Sarmiento	1 - 1	River Plate
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 0	River Plate
SM San Juan	0 - 2	River Plate
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	River Plate
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	River Plate
Platense	1 - 1	River Plate
Racing Club	1 - 0	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 1	River Plate
Instituto	2 - 3	River Plate
Defensa	0 - 0	River Plate
Platense	0 - 0	River Plate
Boca Juniors	0 - 1	River Plate
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
A	River Plate	0 - 2	A. Tucuman
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Estudiantes
H	River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Lanus
H	River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Independiente
H	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	River Plate	4 - 0	Instituto
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
H	River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
H	River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Sarmiento
H	River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Rosario

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

ROS

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Rosario	3 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	River Plate
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

River Plate

Rosario

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

ROS

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
River Plate	4 - 0
River Plate	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Rosario
River Plate	3 - 0
River Plate	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Rosario

Goal Statistics

Rosario Central's defensive record is to be admired, Ariel Enrique Holan's men having conceded 1 or less in 16 consecutive Primera División outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for River Plate makes sense in this context.

	Rosario 20th	River Plate 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Rosario scoring 1 goal or less	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of River Plate scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Rosario have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 River Plate’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	0.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

ROS

RIV

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		20
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	16		16
Goals scored	30		41
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+10%

16%

better

ROS

RIV

view stats

Games conceded	12		13
Clean sheets	14		14
Conceded first	4		6
Goals conceded	13		17
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	16		12
Conversion rate against	6%		8%
Avg. XG against	0.9		0.9
KickOff rating		+16%

Rosario v River Plate Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	5	6	9
A Sández	J Campaz	I Malcorra	F Ibarra

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Copetti FWD	27	3	3	4 -
A Sández DEF	26	2		6 -
J Broun GLK	25			2 -
E Coronel DEF	25		3	6 -
F Ibarra MID	25		1	9 -
C Quintana DEF	24	1	2	6 -
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	23	2		1 -
I Malcorra MID	22	4	6	8 -
J Komar DEF	21			1 -
J Campaz MID	21	5	1	6 -
F Navarro MID	19			3 -
E Giménez MID	16	2		2 -
L Giaccone MID	15	1	2	-
S Lopez FWD	15	2		2 -
F Mallo DEF	14			3 -
T O'Connor MID	13			2 -
M Lovera FWD	11		1	-
A Véliz FWD	9	3		3 -
Ángel Di María FWD	9	5	2	4 -
S Ferreira FWD	9	2		-
J. Elordi DEF	8		1	1 -
J. Giménez DEF	7			1 -
G. Cantizano MID	7			1 -
A Solari MID	6			-
K Ortíz MID	6			-
S. Segovia MID	5		1	-
A. Bravo DEF	3			1 -
J Gómez MID	3			1 -
A Werner GLK	2			-
K. Gutiérrez MID	1			-
F Celso MID	1			-
L Dupuy FWD	1			-
A. Módica FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	6	9
J Campaz	J Campaz	I Malcorra	I Malcorra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Campaz MID	5	17	1	7
Ángel Di María FWD	5	9	2	4
I Malcorra MID	4	11	6	9
E Copetti FWD	3	11	3	5
A Véliz FWD	3	11
A Sández DEF	2	6		5
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	2	11		1
E Giménez MID	2	4		1
S Lopez FWD	2	6		3
S Ferreira FWD	2	5
C Quintana DEF	1	4	2	4
L Giaccone MID	1	3	2	3
E Coronel DEF		2	3	3
F Ibarra MID		4	1	1
J Komar DEF		4
F Navarro MID				2
T O'Connor MID		2		2
M Lovera FWD		4	1	3
J. Elordi DEF		1	1	1
G. Cantizano MID		3
K Ortíz MID				1
S. Segovia MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
982	107	190
F Ibarra	F Ibarra	F Ibarra

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Ibarra MID	982	107	190
A Sández DEF	925	49	109
I Malcorra MID	809	17	45
C Quintana DEF	787	30	111
E Coronel DEF	734	59	131
F Navarro MID	671	46	59
J Komar DEF	654	21	105
J Broun GLK	565		2
J Campaz MID	553	44	130
F Mallo DEF	481	14	46
E Copetti FWD	374	23	125
E Giménez MID	306	31	61
Ángel Di María FWD	304	5	52
S Lopez FWD	224	20	60
L Giaccone MID	196	5	30
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	188	20	56
J. Giménez DEF	170	3	14
T O'Connor MID	157	13	20
M Lovera FWD	150	9	32
J. Elordi DEF	140	4	12
A Véliz FWD	103	4	56
S. Segovia MID	81	7	15
A Solari MID	75	12	18
A. Bravo DEF	67	1	15
S Ferreira FWD	59	2	17
G. Cantizano MID	48	6	17
J Gómez MID	42		4
K Ortíz MID	38	5	7
A Werner GLK	36		1
K. Gutiérrez MID	12		1
F Celso MID	2
A. Módica FWD	2		1
L Dupuy FWD	1		1

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	4	12
F Armani	M Borja	G Montiel	L Quarta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Borja FWD	27	6	1	4 -
F Armani GLK	26			1 -
F Colidio FWD	24	6	3	4 -
M Acuña DEF	22	1	1	7 -
E Pérez MID	22			5 1
L Quarta DEF	19	1		11 1
G Montiel DEF	18	2	4	3 -
G Galoppo MID	18	5	1	2 -
S Driussi FWD	18	5	1	2 -
P Díaz DEF	17	1	1	3 -
G Pezzella DEF	17			3 -
K Castaño MID	17		1	6 -
F Bustos DEF	14			1 -
M Casco DEF	12		2	1 -
N Fernández MID	12	3	3	1 -
M Meza FWD	12		1	4 -
I. Subiabre FWD	10	1	1	2 -
P Martínez MID	9		2	1 -
S. Lencinas MID	9	3		2 -
M Fonda MID	7			3 -
J Quintero MID	7		1	-
M Salas FWD	7	2	2	2 1
J Portillo MID	6			1 -
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	5			2 -
S Boselli DEF	3			-
B. Dadín FWD	3		1	-
J Ledesma GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	23	4	9
M Borja	M Borja	G Montiel	F Colidio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Borja FWD	6	23	1	8
F Colidio FWD	6	17	3	9
G Galoppo MID	5	11	1	3
S Driussi FWD	5	10	1	3
N Fernández MID	3	5	3	2
S. Lencinas MID	3	3		2
G Montiel DEF	2	4	4	6
M Salas FWD	2	8	2
M Acuña DEF	1	4	1	8
L Quarta DEF	1	8		3
P Díaz DEF	1	5	1
I. Subiabre FWD	1	4	1	3
E Pérez MID				2
G Pezzella DEF		4		1
K Castaño MID		1	1	1
F Bustos DEF		3		2
M Casco DEF		1	2	1
M Meza FWD		4	1	2
P Martínez MID		2	2	2
M Fonda MID		1		1
J Quintero MID		2	1	3
J Portillo MID		4		1
B. Dadín FWD		3	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1128	53	126
L Quarta	E Pérez	E Pérez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	1128	41	126
M Acuña DEF	1054	38	108
E Pérez MID	1031	53	126
P Díaz DEF	962	15	98
K Castaño MID	893	34	70
G Montiel DEF	760	35	80
G Pezzella DEF	704	10	56
F Bustos DEF	559	20	40
F Colidio FWD	518	24	120
F Armani GLK	497	1	11
G Galoppo MID	480	27	79
M Meza FWD	458	24	80
M Casco DEF	440	15	38
N Fernández MID	372	21	45
J Quintero MID	354	2	5
S Driussi FWD	348	13	50
M Borja FWD	303	14	73
J Portillo MID	261	19	40
S. Lencinas MID	257	15	21
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	248	12	39
P Martínez MID	166	5	32
M Fonda MID	151	15	37
M Salas FWD	122	10	26
S Boselli DEF	119	6	12
I. Subiabre FWD	113	6	22
J Ledesma GLK	39		1
B. Dadín FWD	22	3	4