Atlético Mineiro's team badge Fluminense's team badge

Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 21:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Alexi Stival welcomes Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes to the Arena MRV on Sunday night, as their Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense sides go head to head in the Serie A. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest A Mineiro and Fluminense both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
49%
19/20
3%
-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Fluminense
23%
3/1
2%
-
A Mineiro 1-0
15%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
11%
6/1-
A Mineiro 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Fluminense 1-0
9%
15/2-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
17/2-
Fluminense 2-1
5%
14/1-
A Mineiro 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
A Mineiro 3-1
4%
18/1-
Fluminense 2-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
40/1-
Fluminense 3-1
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro 4-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/8
4%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - No
57%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
77%
2/9-
Away/draw
51%
4/5
6%
-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
8/15-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
43%
7/4
8%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
32%
7/4
5%
-
Fluminense win to nil
14%
5/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
26%
11/5
3%
-
A Mineiro / Fluminense
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
18%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Fluminense
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Fluminense / A Mineiro
3%
28/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
11%
13/2-
Fluminense / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
A Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 4Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
A Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
A Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 0Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
HA Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
AA Mineiro1 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
Fluminense 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Atletico Go1 - 0Fluminense
Juventude2 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino0 - 1Fluminense
Cuiaba0 - 1Fluminense
Criciuma1 - 1Fluminense
Fortaleza1 - 0Fluminense
Gremio1 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro2 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
HFluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 2Gremio
AFluminense1 - 2Vitoria
HFluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Flamengo
HFluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Atletico Go
HFluminense0 - 1Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 2Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
AMN
5
D
1
FLU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro5 - 2
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
D
5
FLU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense5 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense1 - 0
Goal Statistics
A Mineiro 17th Fluminense 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Fluminense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Fluminense have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294527/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
AMN
FLU
16%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score2
2
Scored first1
4
Goals scored6
6
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal14
9
Conversion rate for7
11
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
AMN
FLU
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.6
KickOff rating
+18%

A Mineiro v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6213
EversonRonyG ScarpaHulk 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK6
-
Rubens DEF6
-
J Alonso  DEF6
-
Natanael DEF6
-
G Scarpa MID61
-
Bernard MID6
1
-
Rony FWD62
1
-
T Cuello FWD61
2
-
Hulk  FWD611
3
-
G Menino MID51
-
Lyanco DEF4
1
1
R Saravia DEF4
-
I Gomes MID41
-
F Vera MID41
-
G Arana DEF3
1
-
A Franco MID3
-
C Paulista MID3
1
-
J Santos FWD2
-
I Rabello  DEF1
-
R Junior DEF1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6112
F FábioRenêJ AriasF Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK6
-
Renê DEF61
-
J Freytes DEF6
1
-
J Arias MID611
1
-
Martinelli MID61
-
Everaldo FWD6
-
G Cano FWD61
1
-
A Canobbio FWD61
1
-
S Xavier DEF51
-
F Cruz MID5
2
-
Lima MID51
-
H Hércules MID4
1
-
Ganso MID4
1
-
K Serna FWD4
-
Ignacio DEF3
-
T Silva DEF3
-
Nonato MID3
1
-
T Santos MID3
-
Keno FWD3
-
Guga DEF2
-
P Baya FWD1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-