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Palmeiras v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 22:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

the Allianz Parque is the stage on Saturday night, as Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras are visited by Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Sao Paulo in the Serie A. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 79% chance of Palmeiras and Sao Paulo 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 57%	5/8	-
Draw 25%	27/10	-
Sao Paulo 18%	15/4	-
Palmeiras 1-0 15%	11/2	-
Palmeiras 2-0 12%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	17/2	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Sao Paulo 1-0 7%	11/1	-
Palmeiras 3-0 6%	12/1	-
Palmeiras 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Sao Paulo 2-1 4%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	18/1	-
Sao Paulo 2-0 3%	22/1	-
Palmeiras 4-0 2%	25/1	-
Palmeiras 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Sao Paulo 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	21/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	3/4	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/15	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 58%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	9/1	-
Home/draw 82%	2/11	-
Away/draw 43%	23/20	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	17/2	-
Home DNB 74%	1/4	-
Away DNB 36%	11/4	-
Palmeiras win to nil 37%	13/8	-
Sao Paulo win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 32%	13/8	-
Palmeiras / Sao Paulo 2%	40/1	-
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Palmeiras 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Sao Paulo 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Sao Paulo / Palmeiras 4%	22/1	-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo 10%	15/2	-
Sao Paulo / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Remo	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Internacional	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Cortiba	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cortiba
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Gremio
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Remo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Corinthians
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Vitoria
H	Sao Paulo	4 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive league meetings

Palmeiras

Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

3 / 8

PAL

SAO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	5 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 1

Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

5 / 9

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras

Goal Statistics

	Palmeiras 2nd	Sao Paulo 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals	0 47% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-25 Sao Paulo have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

27%

better

PAL

SAO

view stats

Games scored	23		20
Failed to score	2		5
Scored first	18		13
Goals scored	45		31
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+27%

28%

better

PAL

SAO

view stats

Games conceded	16		20
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	5		12
Goals conceded	21		28
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		8
Conversion rate against	9%		12%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+28%

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	8	11	6
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	25			3 -
M Freitas MID	25	2	1	6 -
A Pereira MID	25	1	11	3 -
G Portillo DEF	23	4	1	1 -
M Maurício MID	23	7	1	2 -
J López FWD	23	8	4	2 -
Murilo DEF	22	1	1	3 1
A Giay DEF	21			3 -
L Evangelista MID	21		1	1 -
J Arias FWD	20	4	3	4 -
R Sosa FWD	19	4	2	3 -
F Anderson FWD	19	2	1	1 -
Khellven DEF	18			3 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	17			2 1
V Roque FWD	14	4	1	1 -
E Martínez MID	13			1 -
J Piquerez DEF	12		4	1 -
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
B Fuchs DEF	7			-
Paulinho FWD	6	2		1 -
A Barboza DEF	5			2 1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	5			-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	3			2 -
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	11	7
J López	M Maurício	A Pereira	A Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	8	18	4	4
M Maurício MID	7	19	1
G Portillo DEF	4	8	1	3
J Arias FWD	4	12	3	2
R Sosa FWD	4	7	2	2
V Roque FWD	4	11	1	1
M Freitas MID	2	3	1	5
F Anderson FWD	2	3	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	8	11	7
Murilo DEF	1	5	1	1
A Giay DEF		2
L Evangelista MID		1	1	1
Khellven DEF				1
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		1
E Martínez MID		2
J Piquerez DEF		2	4	3
J Dias DEF			1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1509	38	157
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1509	22	40
A Pereira MID	1134	25	62
Murilo DEF	1092	24	86
G Portillo DEF	978	25	89
A Giay DEF	689	38	81
J Arias FWD	624	33	94
M Maurício MID	545	18	50
C Miguel GLK	542		21
J Piquerez DEF	448	19	35
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	424	26	52
J López FWD	409	24	157
Khellven DEF	394	23	44
L Evangelista MID	314	10	36
E Martínez MID	312	11	34
F Anderson FWD	303	26	55
B Fuchs DEF	254	9	13
R Sosa FWD	245	4	65
A Barboza DEF	237	10	29
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	78		8
V Roque FWD	72	11	52
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	41		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	38	1	2
M Lomba GLK	27		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	8	3	7
Rafael	Luciano	Wendell	E Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	25			1 -
Danielzinho MID	22	1	1	2 -
J Calleri FWD	22	7	1	5 -
Luciano FWD	21	8	2	4 -
Ferreira FWD	20	4		2 -
Sabino DEF	19	1	1	1 -
L Ramon DEF	19		2	2 1
M Antônio MID	19	1	2	1 -
Wendell DEF	17		3	4 -
P Maia MID	17	1		2 -
D Bobadilla MID	16		2	3 -
Artur FWD	16	2	2	1 -
Cauly MID	14	1		-
A Silva FWD	14			5 -
E Díaz DEF	13		1	7 -
R Arboleda DEF	12			1 -
C Soares DEF	8			1 -
L Moura FWD	8	1	1	-
Luan MID	7			1 -
R Tolói DEF	6			3 -
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	5		1	1 -
D Duarte DEF	4			-
Iago DEF	4	1		-
D. Ferreira MID	4			2 -
P. dos Santos FWD	4			1 -
L. Marques Alencar FWD	4			-
G. Domingos Santana FWD	4	1		-
V Sá FWD	4		1	-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	3			-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	2			-
N. Bosshardt DEF	1			-
A Buta DEF	1			-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	17	3	7
Luciano	J Calleri	Wendell	M Antônio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Luciano FWD	8	16	2	3
J Calleri FWD	7	17	1	3
Ferreira FWD	4	9		2
Artur FWD	2	13	2	4
Danielzinho MID	1	2	1	2
Sabino DEF	1	3	1	1
M Antônio MID	1	3	2	7
P Maia MID	1	1
Cauly MID	1	4		1
L Moura FWD	1	3	1	1
Iago DEF	1	3
G. Domingos Santana FWD	1	4
L Ramon DEF		4	2	4
Wendell DEF		1	3	2
D Bobadilla MID		6	2	4
A Silva FWD		5
E Díaz DEF		2	1	1
R Arboleda DEF		3
R Tolói DEF		1
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF			1	1
D Duarte DEF		2
L. Marques Alencar FWD				2
V Sá FWD		1	1
P. da Silva Ferreira MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1125	34	117
Danielzinho	Sabino	J Calleri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1125	23	75
M Antônio MID	1080	29	59
Sabino DEF	865	34	96
P Maia MID	670	15	41
Rafael GLK	631	2	10
Wendell DEF	627	21	48
L Ramon DEF	594	28	88
D Bobadilla MID	542	25	38
Luciano FWD	522	22	72
R Arboleda DEF	498	26	58
Artur FWD	466	19	60
E Díaz DEF	429	33	67
Cauly MID	349	9	33
Ferreira FWD	311	8	55
J Calleri FWD	301	12	117
R Tolói DEF	297	13	28
D Duarte DEF	263	6	17
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	251	5	13
C Soares DEF	118	6	12
Iago DEF	114	4	10
L Moura FWD	108	1	16
A Silva FWD	94	3	17
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	78	2	4
Luan MID	49	3	4
V Sá FWD	41	3	12
G. Domingos Santana FWD	33	1	9
L. Marques Alencar FWD	33	1	5
D. Ferreira MID	30	1	4
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	28	2	7
P. dos Santos FWD	13	1	1
A Buta DEF	10	3	5
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	3
N. Bosshardt DEF	2