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Palmeiras v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 01:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Saturday morning at the Allianz Parque, and it’s a Serie A clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo. Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and Dorival Silvestre Júnior going all-out to guide their side to the win. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 59%	-	-
Draw 25%	-	-
Sao Paulo 16%	-	-
Palmeiras 1-0 16%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	-	-
Sao Paulo 1-0 7%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-0 7%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-1 5%	-	-
Sao Paulo 2-1 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 3%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-0 3%	-	-
Sao Paulo 2-0 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-1 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	-	-
Sao Paulo 3-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	-	-
No 1st Goal 7%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	-	-
BTTS - No 60%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	-	-
Home/draw 84%	-	-
Away/draw 41%	-	-
Home/away 75%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 76%	-	-
Away DNB 34%	-	-
Palmeiras win to nil 40%	-	-
Sao Paulo win to nil 10%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Remo	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Internacional	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Cortiba	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cortiba
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Gremio
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Remo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Corinthians
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Vitoria
H	Sao Paulo	4 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Chapecoense

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive league meetings

Palmeiras

Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

3 / 8

PAL

SAO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	5 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 1

Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

5 / 9

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Sao Paulo have conceded in each of their last 10 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for A. Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Sao Paulo fans, as should a 8 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Palmeiras 1st	Sao Paulo 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals	0 50% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 85% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-25 Sao Paulo have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

29%

better

PAL

SAO

view stats

Games scored	22		19
Failed to score	2		5
Scored first	18		12
Goals scored	44		29
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+29%

33%

better

PAL

SAO

view stats

Games conceded	15		20
Clean sheets	9		4
Conceded first	4		12
Goals conceded	20		28
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		8
Conversion rate against	9%		12%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+33%

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	8	11	5
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	24			3 -
M Freitas MID	24	2	1	5 -
A Pereira MID	24	1	11	3 -
Murilo DEF	22	1	1	3 1
G Portillo DEF	22	4	1	1 -
M Maurício MID	22	7	1	2 -
J López FWD	22	8	4	2 -
A. Andrade Elias FWD	21	4	3	3 1
A Giay DEF	20			3 -
L Evangelista MID	20		1	1 -
J Arias FWD	19	4	3	4 -
R Sosa FWD	19	4	2	3 -
F Anderson FWD	18	2	1	1 -
Khellven DEF	17			3 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	17			2 1
V Roque FWD	13	4	1	1 -
E Martínez MID	12			1 -
J Piquerez DEF	11		4	1 -
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
B Fuchs DEF	7			-
Paulinho FWD	6	2		1 -
A Barboza DEF	4			1 -
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	4			-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	3			2 -
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	3			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	18	11	7
J López	J López	A Pereira	A Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	8	18	4	4
M Maurício MID	7	17	1
G Portillo DEF	4	8	1	3
A. Andrade Elias FWD	4	15	3	2
J Arias FWD	4	12	3	2
R Sosa FWD	4	7	2	2
V Roque FWD	4	11	1	1
M Freitas MID	2	3	1	5
F Anderson FWD	2	3	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	6	11	7
Murilo DEF	1	5	1	1
A Giay DEF		2
L Evangelista MID		1	1	1
Khellven DEF				1
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		1
E Martínez MID		2
J Piquerez DEF		2	4	2
J Dias DEF			1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1417	35	149
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1417	21	39
Murilo DEF	1096	24	87
A Pereira MID	1072	22	57
G Portillo DEF	908	22	78
A Giay DEF	637	35	78
J Arias FWD	615	33	92
C Miguel GLK	523		21
M Maurício MID	512	14	46
A. Andrade Elias FWD	432	29	122
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	424	26	52
J Piquerez DEF	388	17	33
J López FWD	386	23	149
Khellven DEF	383	23	43
E Martínez MID	308	11	34
L Evangelista MID	263	10	32
B Fuchs DEF	254	9	13
F Anderson FWD	252	22	47
R Sosa FWD	245	4	65
A Barboza DEF	165	7	18
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	78		8
V Roque FWD	71	11	50
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	41		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	32	1	2
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	27	3	9
M Lomba GLK	27		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	7	3	7
Rafael	J Calleri	Wendell	E Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	24			1 -
Danielzinho MID	21	1	1	1 -
J Calleri FWD	21	7	1	5 -
Luciano FWD	20	7	2	4 -
Ferreira FWD	19	4		2 -
Sabino DEF	18	1	1	1 -
L Ramon DEF	18		1	2 1
M Antônio MID	18	1	2	1 -
Wendell DEF	16		3	4 -
D Bobadilla MID	16		2	3 -
P Maia MID	16	1		2 -
Artur FWD	15	2	1	1 -
Cauly MID	14	1		-
A Silva FWD	14			5 -
E Díaz DEF	13		1	7 -
R Arboleda DEF	11			1 -
C Soares DEF	8			1 -
L Moura FWD	8	1	1	-
Luan MID	7			1 -
R Tolói DEF	6			3 -
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	5		1	1 -
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	5			-
V Sá FWD	4		1	-
P. dos Santos FWD	4			1 -
L. Marques Alencar FWD	4			-
D Duarte DEF	3			-
Iago DEF	3			-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	3			-
D. Ferreira MID	3			1 -
G. Domingos Santana FWD	3	1		-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	2			-
A Buta DEF	1			-
N. Bosshardt DEF	1			-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	3	7
J Calleri	J Calleri	Wendell	M Antônio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Calleri FWD	7	17	1	3
Luciano FWD	7	14	2	3
Ferreira FWD	4	9		2
Artur FWD	2	12	1	3
Danielzinho MID	1	2	1	2
Sabino DEF	1	3	1	1
M Antônio MID	1	3	2	7
P Maia MID	1	1
Cauly MID	1	4		1
L Moura FWD	1	3	1	1
G. Domingos Santana FWD	1	4
L Ramon DEF		3	1	4
Wendell DEF		1	3	2
D Bobadilla MID		6	2	4
A Silva FWD		5
E Díaz DEF		2	1	1
R Arboleda DEF		2
R Tolói DEF		1
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF			1	1
V Sá FWD		1	1
L. Marques Alencar FWD				2
D Duarte DEF		2
Iago DEF		2
P. da Silva Ferreira MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1072	33	110
Danielzinho	E Díaz	J Calleri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1072	18	70
M Antônio MID	1010	23	52
Sabino DEF	803	32	90
P Maia MID	646	14	39
Rafael GLK	601	2	10
Wendell DEF	578	21	46
L Ramon DEF	560	28	86
D Bobadilla MID	542	25	38
Luciano FWD	496	22	71
R Arboleda DEF	451	26	53
Artur FWD	435	18	55
E Díaz DEF	429	33	67
Cauly MID	349	9	33
Ferreira FWD	309	8	55
R Tolói DEF	297	13	28
J Calleri FWD	292	11	110
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	251	5	13
D Duarte DEF	207	5	13
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	142	11	17
C Soares DEF	118	6	12
L Moura FWD	108	1	16
Iago DEF	100	5	9
A Silva FWD	94	3	18
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	78	2	4
Luan MID	49	3	4
V Sá FWD	41	3	12
L. Marques Alencar FWD	33	1	5
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	28	2	7
D. Ferreira MID	27	1	4
G. Domingos Santana FWD	17	1	7
P. dos Santos FWD	13	1	1
A Buta DEF	10	3	5
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	3
N. Bosshardt DEF	2