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Vitória v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 8th Sep, 00:00 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Gremio are on the road on Tuesday morning, as manager Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro takes his side to visit Vitória and Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura at the Estádio Manoel Barradas in the Serie A. For every Serie A match preview, KickOff delves into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Vitoria and Gremio during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vitoria 52%	21/20	-
Draw 28%	9/4	-
Gremio 21%	12/5	-
Vitoria 1-0 16%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 12%	15/2	-
Vitoria 2-0 11%	17/2	-
Gremio 1-0 9%	8/1	-
Vitoria 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Vitoria 3-0 5%	18/1	-
Gremio 2-1 5%	11/1	-
Vitoria 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Gremio 2-0 3%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	14/1	-
Vitoria 4-0 2%	40/1	-
Vitoria 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Vitoria 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Gremio 3-1 1%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	23/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	4/6	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 8%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 60%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	13/2	-
Home/draw 79%	3/10	-
Away/draw 48%	7/10	-
Home/away 72%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	11/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	15/2	-
Home DNB 71%	8/15	-
Away DNB 40%	11/8	-
Vitoria win to nil 35%	5/2	-
Gremio win to nil 13%	9/2	-
Vitoria / Vitoria 24%	5/2	-
Vitoria / Gremio 2%	33/1	-
Vitoria / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Vitoria 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Gremio 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	-
Gremio / Vitoria 3%	25/1	-
Gremio / Gremio 15%	9/2	-
Gremio / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Gremio have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	0 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Ceara
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Remo
A	Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Vitoria	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
A Mineiro	3 - 0	Gremio
Mirassol	2 - 1	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
Athletico PR	0 - 0	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Gremio
Internacional	0 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
S. Recife	0 - 4	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Internacional	2 - 3	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Remo
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vitoria have drawn with Gremio in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Vitoria

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Gremio

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

0 / 4

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio		2 - 0
Gremio		3 - 1
Gremio		2 - 0
Gremio		4 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Vitória of late. It has been 8 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday morning against Gremio.

	Vitoria 13th	Gremio 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Vitoria have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Gremio have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

VIT

GRE

view stats

Games scored	16		15
Failed to score	9		8
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	24		24
Avg. goals scored	1		1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		13
Avg. XG for	1		1
KickOff rating		+3%

better

VIT

GRE

view stats

Games conceded	16		18
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	13		14
Goals conceded	37		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+1%

Vitoria v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	5	4	8
L Arcanjo	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Matheuzinho MID	23	3	1	4 -
Erick FWD	23	3	4	1 -
L Arcanjo GLK	21			1 -
E Martínez MID	21			8 -
Ramon DEF	20	2		5 -
Caique MID	20			3 -
D. Tarzia FWD	20	2	2	2 -
Cacá DEF	19	1		5 1
G Baralhas MID	18	2	3	4 -
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	18	5	1	2 -
L Cândido DEF	17		2	1 1
R Kayzer FWD	17	4	1	3 -
J. Silva Neves MID	16	1		4 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
Jamerson DEF	13			1 -
Marinho FWD	12			1 -
F Fabrício FWD	10		1	-
Camutanga DEF	8			-
T Pochettino MID	8			-
E Brítez DEF	6			1 -
Walace MID	6			-
Matheusinho DEF	5			-
L Silva FWD	4			1 -
A. Santos FWD	4			1 -
F Silva DEF	3			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
Edu DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	4	9
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	5	20	1	1
R Kayzer FWD	4	8	1	1
Matheuzinho MID	3	14	1	2
Erick FWD	3	10	4	9
Ramon DEF	2	5
D. Tarzia FWD	2	10	2	2
G Baralhas MID	2	5	3	5
Cacá DEF	1	2
J. Silva Neves MID	1	3		1
Dudu MID	1	1
E Martínez MID		2
Caique MID		1
L Cândido DEF		3	2	1
N Mendes DEF			1	1
Marinho FWD		2
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
Camutanga DEF		1		1
T Pochettino MID		3		1
Walace MID		1		1
Matheusinho DEF				1
A. Santos FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
726	41	148
Caique	J. Silva Neves	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Caique MID	726	39	82
E Martínez MID	702	31	76
Ramon DEF	647	35	72
Cacá DEF	625	18	50
L Arcanjo GLK	615		4
Erick FWD	579	14	91
J. Silva Neves MID	564	41	148
G Baralhas MID	539	27	62
L Cândido DEF	530	18	58
Matheuzinho MID	437	11	73
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
Jamerson DEF	307	20	63
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
D. Tarzia FWD	172	17	55
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	156	7	59
E Brítez DEF	134	8	20
Walace MID	129	3	6
R Kayzer FWD	114	3	32
Marinho FWD	99	14	38
Dudu MID	75	4	18
T Pochettino MID	73	11	16
Matheusinho DEF	73	5	16
F Silva DEF	73	2	9
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	22	8	23
A. Santos FWD	16	5	8
L Silva FWD	9	1	3
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	10	4	5
Weverton	C Vinícius	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vinícius FWD	23	10	1	4 -
Weverton GLK	22		1	2 -
F Amuzu FWD	22	1	3	-
C Pavón FWD	22	2	4	5 -
J Enamorado FWD	19		3	3 -
Tetê FWD	19	2		1 -
E Mola MID	17	1	1	3 -
G Martins DEF	16	2	2	4 -
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	16	2		3 -
M Braithwaite FWD	16			-
J Nardoni MID	15	1	1	2 -
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	13		1	4 -
Marlon DEF	10	1	1	3 -
Wagner DEF	10			2 1
C Paulista DEF	9			-
Dodi MID	8			2 -
F Balbuena DEF	7			-
J Pedro DEF	6			-
M Rocha DEF	5			-
M Villasanti MID	5			1 -
D Santos DEF	4	1		1 -
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	4	1		1 -
W Kannemann DEF	4			4 -
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	3			1 1
F Krovinovic MID	3			-
J Cabral FWD	3		1	-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	2			-
D Barbosa MID	2			-
Roger FWD	2			-
T. Stallbaum GLK	1			1
G Grando GLK	1			-
T. Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	4	5
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	C Pavón	F Amuzu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	10	22	1	2
C Pavón FWD	2	6	4	5
Tetê FWD	2	11
G Martins DEF	2	4	2	1
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	2	3		1
F Amuzu FWD	1	9	3	5
E Mola MID	1	4	1
J Nardoni MID	1	3	1
Marlon DEF	1	3	1	2
D Santos DEF	1	1
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	1	1
Weverton GLK			1
J Enamorado FWD		3	3	2
M Braithwaite FWD		1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF		3	1	2
C Paulista DEF				1
M Villasanti MID		2
F Krovinovic MID		1
J Cabral FWD		1	1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF		1
Roger FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
814	38	96
C Pavón	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Pavón FWD	814	38	96
E Mola MID	754	23	67
G Martins DEF	736	19	70
Weverton GLK	619	1	10
Wagner DEF	456	11	24
F Amuzu FWD	407	7	54
Tetê FWD	403	10	59
Marlon DEF	387	31	47
F Balbuena DEF	363	8	21
J Nardoni MID	339	17	48
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	294	21	37
C Paulista DEF	226	8	24
M Villasanti MID	221	6	17
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	215	3	20
J Enamorado FWD	207	25	67
C Vinícius FWD	165	3	58
W Kannemann DEF	165	5	11
F Krovinovic MID	163	2	3
D Santos DEF	153	5	13
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	150	16	57
J Pedro DEF	122	3	12
M Braithwaite FWD	104	6	25
Dodi MID	92	4	7
M Rocha DEF	90	2	5
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	87	4	6
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	44	2	7
D Barbosa MID	35		2
J Cabral FWD	28		3
G Grando GLK	27
T. Gonçalves MID	26
T. Stallbaum GLK	17		1
Roger FWD	9	1	1