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Vitória v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

the Estádio Manoel Barradas masses welcome Gremio's supporters on Sunday night, as Thiago Carpini Barbosa's Vitória clash with Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato's troops in the Serie A. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Vitória's next match is v Ceara at 22:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Gremio's next match is v Santos at 20:00 on Sunday 4th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Vitoria and Gremio was on Sunday 27th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 27th 2025
Vitoria 1
1 Gremio
 
C. de Lima 66'20' J. de Jesus Nascimento
 
VIT
GRE
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
6
2
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
20
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
VitoriaGremio
 
L. Assis Arcanjo
J. Santos de Jesus
C. Coelho Salvático
L. Halter
J. Alves Luis
R. dos Santos Lopes
M. Martins Fogaça de Paula (R. Ribeiro Lino Silva 88')
J. Vilardi Pinto (G. Baralhas dos Santos 56')
E. de Arruda Serafim (F. do Rosário dos Santos 46')
G. Henric da Silva (C. de Lima 46')
J. de Carvalho Costa (L. Braga Ribeiro 74')
T. Volpi
W. Calvelo de Souza
M. Rodrigues Xavier
football iconJ. de Jesus Nascimento
I. Schlemper
(G. Cuéllar Gallego 75') M. Villasanti Rolón
D. Moreira Fagundes
(M. Monsalve Gonzáles 59') F. Cristaldo
(N. de Souza 59') E. Andrade dos Santos
(Andre Martins 75') M. Braithwait
(A. Aravena Guzmán 84') C. Olivera Ibarra

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a relatively tight affair here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Vitoria and Gremio go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
41%
13/10
6%
-
Draw
28%
21/10
6%
-
Gremio
31%
9/4
16%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
-
Vitoria 1-0
13%
11/2-
Gremio 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1
7%
-
Vitoria 2-1
8%
9/1-
Vitoria 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Gremio 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
-
Gremio 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Vitoria 3-1
3%
22/1-
Vitoria 3-0
3%
22/1-
Gremio 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Gremio 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Vitoria 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gremio 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
7%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
15%
-
Home/draw
69%
1/3
5%
-
Away/draw
59%
4/7
3%
-
Home/away
72%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
7%
-
Home DNB
61%
8/13
6%
-
Away DNB
50%
6/5
10%
-
Vitoria win to nil
25%
5/2
7%
-
Gremio win to nil
19%
7/2
4%
-
Vitoria / Vitoria
22%
3/1
8%
-
Vitoria / Gremio
2%
33/1-
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Vitoria
15%
9/2-
Draw / Gremio
12%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Gremio / Vitoria
3%
28/1-
Gremio / Gremio
15%
9/2
10%
-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
10
Gremio have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Vitoria1 - 0Juventude
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria1 - 0Cuiaba
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria0 - 1Botafogo
Vitoria2 - 1Criciuma
Vitoria0 - 1Athletico PR
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 1Internacional
Vitoria0 - 2Atletico Go
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
HVitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria1 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio 18TH
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Internacional1 - 0Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Bragantino2 - 2Gremio
Criciuma0 - 1Gremio
Cuiaba1 - 3Gremio
Athletico PR0 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Juventude3 - 0Gremio
Atletico Go1 - 1Gremio
Fortaleza1 - 0Gremio
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio1 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 4Mirassol
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
AGremio1 - 1Cruzeiro
HGremio2 - 2Juventude
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 1Atletico Go
AGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 2A Mineiro
HGremio3 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 0Botafogo
HGremio1 - 2Criciuma
HGremio3 - 2Flamengo
AGremio2 - 2Bragantino
Goal Statistics
Vitoria 16th Gremio 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294508/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.2
1
Attack rating
26%
better
VIT
GRE
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
2
Scored first2
2
Goals scored6
4
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for18
10
Avg. XG for0.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
9%
better
VIT
GRE
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded8
10
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

Vitoria v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
L HalterMatheuzinhoJamersonClaudinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK5
-
Claudinho DEF6
2
-
L Halter DEF61
1
-
Z Marcos DEF6
-
Jamerson DEF62
-
Ronald MID4
1
-
Pepê MID4
1
-
Erick MID62
-
Matheuzinho MID52
1
-
G Mosquito  MID52
-
J Costa FWD61
1
-
Subs
Fintelman GLK
-
Hugo DEF
-
R Cáceres DEF1
1
-
Edu DEF1
-
Neris DEF1
1
-
G Baralhas MID5
1
-
R Ryller MID6
1
-
Osvaldo FWD3
-
L Braga FWD21
-
F Fabrício FWD51
-
L Pereira FWD3
-
Carlinhos FWD11
1
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6113
T VolpiJemersonWagnerM Villasanti
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK6
1
-
I. Schlemper DEF3
1
-
Jemerson DEF61
2
-
Wagner DEF61
1
-
Marlon DEF2
1
-
Dodi MID4
1
-
M Villasanti MID6
3
-
C Olivera MID3
1
-
F Cristaldo MID5
-
Edenilson MID61
2
-
M Braithwaite FWD41
1
-
Subs
J Lucas DEF1
-
W Kannemann DEF1
-
L Esteves DEF4
-
V Lopes DEF1
-
G Cuéllar MID1
-
M Monsalve MID4
1
-
Nathan MID1
-
Camilo MID5
-
A Guzmán FWD3
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD3
-
André FWD4
-