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Gremio v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 20:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro welcomes Pedro Emanuel dos Santos Martins Silva to the Arena do Grêmio on Saturday night, as their Gremio and Vasco da Gama charges go head to head in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Gremio and Vasco d Gama no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
50%
1/1-
Draw
25%
9/4-
Vasco d Gama
24%
13/5-
Gremio 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Gremio 2-0
9%
17/2-
Gremio 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
8%
17/2-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
6%
12/1-
Gremio 3-0
5%
18/1-
Gremio 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
16/1-
Gremio 3-2
2%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
28/1-
Gremio 4-0
2%
40/1-
Gremio 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
42%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11-
BTTS - No
50%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/7-
Away/draw
50%
8/11-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2-
Home DNB
68%
1/2-
Away DNB
42%
6/4-
Gremio win to nil
29%
12/5-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
13%
5/1-
Gremio / Gremio
24%
12/5-
Gremio / Vasco d Gama
2%
33/1-
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Gremio
17%
4/1-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Vasco d Gama / Gremio
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
14%
5/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Vasco d Gama 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Gremio have beaten Vasco d Gama in 7 consecutive home league meetings
3
Gremio have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Vasco d Gama
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
GRE
7
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Gremio
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
GRE
1
D
3
VDG
4
Goal Statistics
Gremio 15th Vasco d Gama 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Gremio have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Vasco d Gama have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.6
1
Attack rating
GRE
VDG
1%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score8
7
Scored first6
8
Goals scored27
27
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1
1.7
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
20%
better
GRE
VDG
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded32
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%

Gremio v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221045
WevertonC ViníciusC PavónC Pavón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vinícius FWD23101
4
-
Weverton GLK221
2
-
F Amuzu FWD2213
-
C Pavón FWD2224
5
-
J Enamorado FWD193
3
-
Tetê FWD192
1
-
E Mola MID1711
3
-
G Martins DEF1622
4
-
M Braithwaite FWD16
-
J Nardoni MID1511
2
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF131
4
-
Marlon DEF1011
3
-
Wagner DEF10
2
1
C Paulista DEF9
-
Dodi MID8
2
-
F Balbuena DEF7
-
J Pedro DEF6
-
M Rocha DEF5
-
M Villasanti MID5
1
-
W Kannemann DEF4
4
-
D Santos DEF41
1
-
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF41
1
-
F Krovinovic MID3
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
J Cabral FWD31
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
D Barbosa MID2
-
Roger FWD2
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
G Grando GLK1
-
T. Gonçalves MID1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24448
L JardimA GomezJ BebanzT Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK24
1
-
R Renan DEF231
3
-
T Mendes MID2131
8
-
A Gomez FWD2142
7
-
David  FWD2132
-
C Luz MID193
4
1
N Moreira FWD1911
3
-
T Tchê MID182
2
-
J Rojas MID171
3
-
J Bebanz DEF1624
3
-
P Henrique DEF162
4
-
L Piton  DEF161
-
C Spinelli FWD161
-
Cuiabano DEF1523
3
-
Brenner FWD1511
1
-
C Cuesta DEF141
1
1
Adson FWD13
1
-
M Hinestroza FWD13
-
A Saldivia DEF11
3
-
R. de Souza Barros MID62
-
J. Silva DEF4
-
L Freitas DEF31
1
-
S Sosa  MID3
-
Jair MID3
-
F Colidio FWD311
-