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Bahia v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 01:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

the Arena Fonte Nova plays host on Sunday morning, as Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia are visited by Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos's Botafogo in the Serie A. All of the important stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Bahia and Botafogo combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
42%
5/4
5%
-
Draw
27%
12/5
3%
-
Botafogo
32%
11/5
3%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
-
Bahia 1-0
11%
6/1
13%
-
Botafogo 1-0
9%
8/1
18%
-
Bahia 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
15%
-
Bahia 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Botafogo 2-1
7%
11/1-
Botafogo 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Bahia 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-0
3%
20/1-
Botafogo 3-1
3%
25/1-
Bahia 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
-
Botafogo 3-0
2%
33/1-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
7/10
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
9%
-
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2-
Home/draw
68%
1/3-
Away/draw
58%
4/6-
Home/away
73%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2
15%
-
Home DNB
60%
4/7
3%
-
Away DNB
50%
5/4
5%
-
Bahia win to nil
24%
11/4-
Botafogo win to nil
17%
9/2
8%
-
Bahia / Bahia
23%
11/4
4%
-
Bahia / Botafogo
2%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Bahia
15%
9/2-
Draw / Botafogo
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Botafogo / Bahia
3%
25/1
13%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
15%
9/2-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
5
Bahia have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
Botafogo have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
Botafogo 8TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
Bragantino1 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Internacional0 - 1Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
Bragantino0 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Juventude3 - 2Botafogo
Atletico Go1 - 4Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Vitoria0 - 1Botafogo
Cuiaba1 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
Criciuma2 - 1Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Botafogo
Corinthians0 - 1Botafogo
Fortaleza1 - 1Botafogo
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBotafogo2 - 0Fluminense
ABotafogo0 - 1A Mineiro
HBotafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
ABotafogo0 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo2 - 0Juventude
ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
HBotafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABotafogo1 - 0Internacional
ABotafogo3 - 1Palmeiras
HBotafogo1 - 1Vitoria
ABotafogo0 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo1 - 0Bragantino
HBotafogo1 - 1Criciuma
ABotafogo1 - 0Athletico PR
HBotafogo0 - 0Gremio
ABotafogo1 - 0Fluminense
HBotafogo2 - 1Corinthians
HBotafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
2
D
2
BOT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
3
BOT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 0
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 2
0 - 1Bahia
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th Botafogo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bahia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294518/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
25%
better
BAH
BOT
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score1
3
Scored first4
2
Goals scored6
6
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
11
Conversion rate for11
9
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
BAH
BOT
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded7
4
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%

Bahia v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Gilberto DEF61
1
-
L Juba DEF613
-
S Mingo DEF6
-
Erick MID61
2
-
Ademir FWD6
1
-
E Pulga FWD61
-
C Alexandre MID5
2
-
S Suay MID51
2
1
Cauly MID52
1
-
J Lucas MID5
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD5
1
-
D Duarte DEF4
-
W José FWD4
-
M Felipe GLK3
-
Iago DEF3
-
R Nestor MID3
-
N Acevedo MID3
-
Kayky FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6223
JohnJ SavarinoArturGregore
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK6
1
-
J Paula DEF6
-
Cuiabano DEF61
1
-
M Freitas MID6
1
-
Gregore MID6
3
-
J Savarino FWD621
1
-
Artur FWD62
1
-
I Jesus FWD621
-
Vitinho DEF51
-
A Telles  DEF5
-
A Barboza DEF5
3
-
P Paula MID5
-
M Martins FWD5
1
-
M Ponte DEF41
-
S Rodríguez MID3
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
Vitinho  FWD2
-
D Loiola DEF1
1
D Barbosa MID1
1
-
Allan MID1
-
Jeffinho FWD1
-