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Bahia v Ceará : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni welcomes Leonardo Rodrigues Condé to the Arena Fonte Nova on Tuesday morning, as their Bahia and Ceará charges meet in the Serie A. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for every betting markets using the tabs.

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Bahia's next match is v Botafogo at 01:00 on Sunday 4th May
Ceará's next match is v Vitoria at 22:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Ceara was on Tuesday 22nd April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 22nd 2025
Bahia 1
0 Ceara
 
É. de Barros Ribeiro 90'
 
BAH
CEA
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
3
4
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
14
18
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
BahiaCeara
 
M. de Freitas Monteiro
G. Moraes Junior
D. de Duarte Macedo
I. Amaral Borduchi (Luciano 59')
S. Ramos Mingo
E. Conrado Carvalho
R. Bertalia (É. de Barros Ribeiro 59')
C. Oliveira Souza (T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho 59')
N. Acevedo Tabárez
L. Rodríguez Rosales (E. da Costa Farias 46')
A. da Silva Santos Junior (R. Barbosa Sousa 82')
F. Kaufmann
R. Figueiredo Ramos
F. de Souza Silva
W. Estefani Machado
M. Gonçalves Jerônimo Borges
J. Ibraim Fagundes
(R. Azevedo Simão 74') L. Mugni
(L. Lima da Silva 90') F. Pereira do Nascimento
(G. Oliveira da Silva 44') A. Tavella
(M. de Araujo Andrade 74') A. Galeano Ferreira
P. Garay da Silva

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bahia or Ceara are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
55%
4/5
10%
-
Draw
24%
27/10
19%
-
Ceara
21%
7/2
10%
-
Bahia 1-0
12%
6/1
27%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
17%
-
Bahia 2-0
10%
7/1-
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/2
11%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
54%
-
Ceara 1-0
7%
11/1
33%
-
Bahia 3-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-1
6%
14/1
21%
-
Ceara 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
21%
-
Ceara 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/1
37%
-
Bahia 4-0
2%
28/1
29%
-
Bahia 4-1
2%
28/1
29%
-
Ceara 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/20
25%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/20
25%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
54%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11
9%
-
BTTS - No
50%
10/11
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
15%
-
Home/draw
79%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
45%
19/20
8%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
13%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/2
34%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
32%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3
14%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
41%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
43%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
5%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
54%
-
Home DNB
72%
1/3
5%
-
Away DNB
38%
9/4
18%
-
Bahia win to nil
31%
2/1-
Ceara win to nil
11%
7/1
33%
-
Bahia / Bahia
30%
15/8
11%
-
Bahia / Ceara
2%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
19%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Ceara
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
27%
-
Ceara / Bahia
4%
22/1
21%
-
Ceara / Ceara
10%
13/2
7%
-
Ceara / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
ABahia2 - 0Gremio
Ceara 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventude2 - 1Ceara
Bragantino2 - 2Ceara
Guarani0 - 0Ceara
Botafogo1 - 4Ceara
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Ituano1 - 2Ceara
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
Cortiba3 - 1Ceara
Chapecoense2 - 1Ceara
Amazonas1 - 1Ceara
CRB0 - 2Ceara
Goias2 - 1Ceara
America 2 - 2Ceara
Avai0 - 1Ceara
Paysandu2 - 1Ceara
Ponte Preta3 - 1Ceara
Brusque1 - 0Ceara
Vila Nova3 - 2Ceara
Operario0 - 0Ceara
Novorizontin0 - 3Ceara
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCeara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACeara1 - 2Juventude
HCeara2 - 0Gremio
ACeara2 - 2Bragantino
ACeara0 - 0Guarani
HCeara1 - 0America
ACeara4 - 1Botafogo
HCeara2 - 0Avai
HCeara2 - 1Paysandu
ACeara0 - 1Santos
ACeara2 - 1Ituano
HCeara1 - 0Ponte Preta
ACeara1 - 2S. Recife
HCeara1 - 0Brusque
HCeara4 - 0Vila Nova
ACeara1 - 3Cortiba
ACeara1 - 2Chapecoense
HCeara2 - 1Operario
ACeara1 - 1Amazonas
HCeara1 - 0Novorizontin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Ceara
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
BAH
1
D
1
CEA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Ceara
1 - 2Ceara
Bahia2 - 1
League games at Ceara since 2018
Ceara
Bahia
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
BAH
2
D
1
CEA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
1 - 2Bahia
Ceara2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Bahia
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th Ceara 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Ceara scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bahia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Ceara have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294498/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Ceara
1.7
1
Attack rating
BAH
CEA
44%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
4
Goals scored4
7
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
BAH
CEA
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
0
Goals conceded7
5
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%

Bahia v Ceara Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK3
-
Gilberto DEF61
1
-
D Duarte DEF4
-
S Mingo DEF6
-
Iago DEF3
-
N Acevedo MID3
-
Erick MID61
2
-
Cauly MID52
1
-
Ademir FWD6
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD5
1
-
R Nestor FWD3
-
Subs
D Fernandes  GLK
-
L Juba DEF613
-
K. Fernandes Braga DEF
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
S Suay MID51
2
1
C Alexandre MID5
2
-
Rezende MID
-
J Lucas MID5
1
-
E Pulga FWD61
-
Kayky FWD31
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6423
MarllonP RaulL MugniF Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Miguel GLK3
-
F Silva DEF5
3
-
Marllon DEF61
-
W Machado DEF6
1
-
R Ramos DEF4
1
-
F Sobral MID6
2
-
Diego MID61
-
Galeano MID6
2
-
L Mugni MID52
1
-
Aylon MID51
-
P Raul FWD64
2
-
Subs
Keiller GLK
-
Éder DEF1
-
R Menezes  DEF
-
M Araújo MID511
-
Romulo MID4
-
L Lima MID2
-
L Lourenço MID5
-
P Henrique FWD21
1
-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD31
-
Lelê FWD2
-