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Ceará v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 22:30 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera plays host on Sunday night, as Leonardo Rodrigues Condé's Ceará welcome Davide Ancelotti's Botafogo in the Serie A. We've got the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Ceara and Botafogo go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Botafogo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceara 31%	7/4	7/4
Draw 31%	2/1 6%	2/1 3%
Botafogo 38%	7/4 8%	7/4 1%
Botafogo 1-0 15%	6/1 8%	11/2 8%
Draw 0-0 14%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Ceara 1-0 13%	6/1	11/2
Botafogo 2-0 8%	11/1 9%	10/1
Botafogo 2-1 7%	10/1	17/2
Ceara 2-1 6%	10/1	17/2
Ceara 2-0 6%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 3%	16/1 11%	14/1
Botafogo 3-0 3%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Botafogo 3-1 2%	25/1 13%	20/1
Ceara 3-1 2%	25/1	18/1
Ceara 3-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Botafogo 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Ceara 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 32%	6/4	29/20
Under 2.5 Goals 68%	1/2	1/2
Home 1st Goal 43%	11/10	11/10
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10 3%	11/10
No 1st Goal 9%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
BTTS - Yes 39%	21/20 2%	11/10
BTTS - No 61%	7/10 2%	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 10%	6/1	5/1 8%
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 5%	7/2 2%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 62%	2/5 4%	4/9
Away/draw 69%	2/5	4/9
Home/away 69%	4/11	4/11 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%	1/2	1/2
Under 1.5 Goals 41%	13/8	29/20 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%	4/1	18/5
Under 3.5 Goals 86%	1/6	1/6
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	10/1	17/2
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	22/1	18/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 86%	1/9 1%	1/10
Under 0.5 Goals 14%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Home DNB 53%	5/6 4%	5/6 2%
Away DNB 60%	5/6 2%	17/20 3%
Ceara win to nil 21%	3/1	-
Botafogo win to nil 26%	3/1 7%	-
Ceara / Ceara 18%	7/2	10/3
Ceara / Botafogo 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Ceara / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Ceara 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Botafogo 14%	5/1 9%	19/4
Draw / Draw 20%	10/3	29/10
Botafogo / Ceara 3%	33/1	25/1
Botafogo / Botafogo 18%	7/2 4%	10/3 5%
Botafogo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Ceara	1 - 0	America
Ceara	2 - 0	Avai
Ceara	2 - 1	Paysandu
Ceara	1 - 0	Ponte Preta
Ceara	1 - 0	Brusque
Ceara	4 - 0	Vila Nova
Ceara	2 - 1	Operario

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ceara	1 - 1	S. Recife
H	Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Vitoria
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Ceara	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Ceara	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Internacional
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Ceara	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Santos

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Botafogo
Juventude	1 - 3	Botafogo
Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
S. Recife	0 - 1	Botafogo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Botafogo
Bragantino	1 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Internacional	0 - 1	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Botafogo
Bragantino	0 - 1	Botafogo
Athletico PR	0 - 1	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
A	Botafogo	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
A	Botafogo	0 - 2	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	3 - 1	Juventude
H	Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Botafogo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	S. Recife
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Botafogo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Santos
A	Botafogo	0 - 0	Flamengo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ceara

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

CEA

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	1 - 3	Botafogo
Ceara	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Botafogo

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Ceará's defensive record is very strong, Leonardo Rodrigues Condé's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Botafogo makes sense in this context.

	Ceara 12th	Botafogo 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Ceara scoring 1 goal or less	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Ceara’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	0.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CEA

BOT

better

view stats

Games scored	18		16
Failed to score	9		12
Scored first	14		14
Goals scored	27		37
Avg. goals scored	1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+4%

better

CEA

BOT

view stats

Games conceded	18		17
Clean sheets	9		11
Conceded first	11		11
Goals conceded	25		26
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		9
Conversion rate against	10%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1
KickOff rating		0%

Ceara v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	5	7
Galeano	P Raul	L Mugni	F Sobral

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Galeano FWD	27	5	3	2 -
W Machado DEF	26			3 -
Diego DEF	25		2	3 -
P Raul FWD	25	8	1	4 -
F Silva DEF	24		1	6 -
F Sobral MID	24	1		7 -
L Lourenço MID	24	2	1	2 -
L Mugni MID	22	2	5	5 -
Bruno GLK	20			2 -
Marllon DEF	20	2		2 -
P Henrique FWD	20	4	2	5 -
M Bahia DEF	18		1	4 -
Aylon FWD	17	2		2 -
R Ramos DEF	15			2 -
Richardson MID	12			3 -
Nicolas DEF	11			1 -
L Lima MID	11			-
Fernandinho FWD	11		1	2 -
M Araújo MID	10	1	1	-
F Miguel GLK	8			-
M Victor DEF	7			-
Vina MID	7			1 -
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	7		1	1 -
P Baya FWD	7			-
V Zanocelo MID	4			-
Rodriguinho FWD	3			1
Éder DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	30	5	5
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	L Mugni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	8	30	1	4
Galeano FWD	5	14	3	4
P Henrique FWD	4	13	2	2
L Lourenço MID	2	10	1	3
L Mugni MID	2	4	5	5
Marllon DEF	2	2
Aylon FWD	2	8
F Sobral MID	1	1		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
W Machado DEF		5		1
Diego DEF		3	2	4
F Silva DEF		1	1	2
M Bahia DEF		2	1	1
R Ramos DEF		1
Richardson MID		1		1
Nicolas DEF		1
Fernandinho FWD		4	1	1
Vina MID		3
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
P Baya FWD		4		3
V Zanocelo MID		1
Éder DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
906	51	159
W Machado	Diego	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	906	30	111
Diego DEF	800	51	159
F Silva DEF	744	30	93
Marllon DEF	617	23	66
Galeano FWD	599	30	118
F Sobral MID	580	38	73
M Bahia DEF	549	34	72
Bruno GLK	497		18
L Lourenço MID	483	20	64
L Mugni MID	454	34	80
P Raul FWD	402	12	133
Richardson MID	257	13	25
M Victor DEF	247	8	24
Nicolas DEF	230	14	27
R Ramos DEF	219	26	41
P Henrique FWD	203	29	64
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
Aylon FWD	159	16	60
Vina MID	95		6
Éder DEF	94		7
Fernandinho FWD	84	11	40
V Zanocelo MID	83	1	2
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
P Baya FWD	76	4	7
L Lima MID	70	7	15
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	30	5	15
Rodriguinho FWD	5		1

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	4	5	12
Vitinho	J Savarino	M Freitas	A Barboza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Vitinho DEF	26	1	1	1 -
M Freitas MID	26	1	5	6 -
J Savarino MID	21	4	2	1 -
A Telles DEF	20	3	3	1 -
Cuiabano DEF	20	3	2	3 -
Artur FWD	20	2	4	1 -
S Rodríguez MID	19	2	3	5 -
M Ponte DEF	18	1		2 -
A Barboza DEF	18			12 -
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	17	1		3 -
Allan MID	15			5 -
D Loiola DEF	14	1		2 1
M Martins FWD	14	1		3 -
A Cabral FWD	13	3	2	-
J Correa FWD	12			1 -
Jeffinho FWD	12	1	2	-
Kaio DEF	11			1 1
?. Montoro MID	11	2	2	3 -
M Marçal DEF	10	2		3 -
G Mastriani FWD	10	1		1 -
N Fernandes FWD	10	1	2	1 -
L Linck GLK	9			1 -
Danilo MID	7	1		2 -
C Ramos FWD	7	3		1
Neto GLK	3			-
G. Feitosa da Silva DEF	3			-
J Herrera MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	16	5	7
J Savarino	J Savarino	M Freitas	J Savarino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Savarino MID	4	16	2	7
A Telles DEF	3	5	3	6
Cuiabano DEF	3	8	2	2
A Cabral FWD	3	12	2	2
C Ramos FWD	3	6		1
Artur FWD	2	10	4	5
S Rodríguez MID	2	7	3	6
?. Montoro MID	2	6	2	3
M Marçal DEF	2	2		1
Vitinho DEF	1	3	1	1
M Freitas MID	1	6	5	3
M Ponte DEF	1	1
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	1	5
D Loiola DEF	1	1		1
M Martins FWD	1	8
Jeffinho FWD	1	3	2	1
G Mastriani FWD	1	3		1
N Fernandes FWD	1	5	2	2
Danilo MID	1	1
A Barboza DEF		3
Allan MID		1		1
J Correa FWD		5
Kaio DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1582	53	96
M Freitas	Vitinho	Vitinho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1582	35	57
A Barboza DEF	1085	36	90
D Loiola DEF	753	12	50
Vitinho DEF	737	53	96
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	666	24	58
J Savarino MID	602	7	32
A Telles DEF	563	12	35
Kaio DEF	542	10	52
M Marçal DEF	435	13	39
Artur FWD	412	12	63
Allan MID	406	24	37
S Rodríguez MID	367	23	80
Cuiabano DEF	357	21	53
?. Montoro MID	322	17	50
Danilo MID	244	10	17
M Ponte DEF	230	9	31
J Correa FWD	229	7	26
M Martins FWD	227	12	42
L Linck GLK	224		2
Jeffinho FWD	150	9	40
A Cabral FWD	149	11	65
N Fernandes FWD	115	5	23
G. Feitosa da Silva DEF	101	4	15
Neto GLK	75
C Ramos FWD	52	7	37
G Mastriani FWD	36	1	11
J Herrera MID	1	1	2