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Palmeiras v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

It's an away trip for Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Cruzeiro side on Sunday morning, as they make their way to the Allianz Parque for a Serie A showdown with Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Palmeiras to win

We're predicting Palmeiras will claim victory after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the game draws to a close at Allianz Parque.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
63%
5/87/10
Draw
21%
13/527/10
Cruzeiro
16%
17/417/4
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
11/25/1
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
11/110/1
Palmeiras 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/215/2
Cruzeiro 1-0
5%
12/110/1
Cruzeiro 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Palmeiras 4-0
4%
25/118/1
Palmeiras 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Cruzeiro 2-0
2%
25/118/1
Palmeiras 5-0
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
58%
8/158/15
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/42/1
No 1st Goal
3%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
50%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3/111/4
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/18/1
Home/draw
84%
1/61/6
Away/draw
37%
23/2023/20
Home/away
79%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17/215/2
Home DNB
78%
1/41/4
Away DNB
31%
11/413/5
Palmeiras win to nil
36%
13/8-
Cruzeiro win to nil
8%
8/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
32%
8/56/4
Palmeiras / Cruzeiro
2%
40/133/1
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Palmeiras
18%
10/37/2
Draw / Cruzeiro
8%
9/19/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Cruzeiro / Palmeiras
4%
22/118/1
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
10%
8/113/2
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win form
21
Palmeiras have not lost in 21 consecutive home league games
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Home
21
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Cruzeiro 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Palmeiras have not lost to Cruzeiro in 5 consecutive home league meetings
4
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Cruzeiro
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
PAL
4
D
1
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
PAL
2
D
1
CRU
2
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 1st Cruzeiro 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Palmeiras have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Cruzeiro have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
2
0.9
Attack rating
30%
better
PAL
CRU
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first12
7
Goals scored24
18
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
38%
better
PAL
CRU
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first1
6
Goals conceded11
24
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
5
Conversion rate against9%
21%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+38%

Palmeiras v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE