Fluminense's team badge Sao Paulo's team badge

Fluminense v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 00:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Hernán Jorge Crespo pays counterpart Luis Francisco Zubeldía a visit on Sunday morning in the Serie A, as their Sao Paulo and Fluminense sides go head to head at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Fluminense and Sao Paulo have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
50%
1.811.91
Draw
26%
3.303.50
Sao Paulo
24%
4.104.00
Fluminense 1-0
12%
6.506.50
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Fluminense 2-0
9%
8.508.00
Fluminense 2-1
9%
8.508.00
Draw 0-0
8%
9.008.00
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
11.009.50
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
Fluminense 3-0
5%
15.0013.00
Fluminense 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
21.0015.00
Fluminense 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
34.0023.00
Fluminense 4-0
2%
34.0023.00
Fluminense 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.052.00
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.751.75
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.671.65
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.502.60
No 1st Goal
5%
9.008.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.911.91
BTTS - No
51%
1.911.83
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.334.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.60
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.507.50
Home/draw
76%
1.221.22
Away/draw
50%
1.911.85
Home/away
74%
1.331.30
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.403.10
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.753.40
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.291.29
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.101.09
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.008.50
Home DNB
68%
1.361.36
Away DNB
42%
3.002.88
Fluminense win to nil
29%
3.00-
Sao Paulo win to nil
14%
7.00-
Fluminense / Fluminense
27%
3.002.88
Fluminense / Sao Paulo
3%
34.0029.00
Fluminense / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Fluminense
17%
4.754.80
Draw / Sao Paulo
10%
8.508.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.004.80
Sao Paulo / Fluminense
4%
23.0019.00
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
12%
7.006.00
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense2 - 2Vitoria
Fluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
Fluminense1 - 2Flamengo
Fluminense3 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 0Mirassol
Fluminense1 - 0Ceara
Fluminense1 - 0Internacional
Fluminense1 - 0Juventude
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense2 - 2Vitoria
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
AFluminense3 - 2Santos
HFluminense1 - 2Flamengo
AFluminense1 - 1Cortiba
HFluminense3 - 1Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Fluminense have beaten Sao Paulo in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Fluminense have not lost to Sao Paulo in 5 consecutive home league meetings
3
Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Sao Paulo
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
FLU
5
D
1
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense6 - 0
Fluminense2 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense3 - 1
Fluminense2 - 1
1 - 2Sao Paulo
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
FLU
1
D
3
SAO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo3 - 1
0 - 2Fluminense
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Fluminense 3rd Sao Paulo 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Fluminense have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Sao Paulo have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.5
1
Attack rating
13%
better
FLU
SAO
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first8
7
Goals scored23
19
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
FLU
SAO
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded18
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%

Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE