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Fluminense v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Fernando Diniz Silva welcomes Dorival Silvestre Júnior to the Estádio Nilton Santos on Thursday morning, as their Fluminense and Sao Paulo teams meet in the Serie A. For every Serie A match, KickOff delves into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Fluminese and Sao Paulo was on Thursday 23rd November 2023
Brazillian Serie A
November 23rd 2023
Fluminese 1
0 Sao Paulo
 
G. Cano 54'
 
FLU
SAO
Shots On
8
1
Shots Off
9
Corners
3
4
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
23
14
Yellow/red cards
6/0
5/1
 
FlumineseSao Paulo
 
F. Lopes Maciel
D. Braz de Oliveira Filho (L. da Silva Genesio 46')
M. Vieira da Silva Júnior (A. Trindade da Costa Neto 82')
S. Brito (C. Rodrigues Gomes 65')
V. Moreira de Lima
T. dos Santos (D. Barbosa Mendanha 81')
P. Chagas de Lima
M. Martinelli
A. Gomes da Costa
Y. González Copete (L. Fernández López 74')
G. Canofootball icon
R. Monteiro
L. Lopes Beraldo
Welington
D. Costa Barbosa
M. Ferreira de Souza
(T. Santos Ribeiro 90') P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
G. Neves Perdomo
(W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 60') D. Correia da Fonseca
(T. Toledo Costa 75') A. de Freitas Castro
(N. de Souza Mendes 61') Juan
(E. de Souza 75') L. da Rocha Neves
Best Tip: Fluminese to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Fluminese. Their latest form stats show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Sao Paulo too. The odds point towards F. Diniz Silva's side coming out on top, and that's our strong prediction for Thursday morning too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminese are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Fluminese
51%
6/5
10%
6/5
2%
11/10
5%
6/5
7%
Draw
26%
21/10
6%
2/1
3%
2/1
3%
21/10
7%
Sao Paulo
23%
5/2
7%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
13/5
4%
Fluminese 1-0
14%
11/211/2
7%
5/1
8%
23/4
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
5/15/124/5
7%
Fluminese 2-0
10%
17/2
6%
9/117/217/2
6%
Fluminese 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
12%
13/2
12%
13/2
12%
7/1
11%
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
15/2
11%
8/1
5%
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
12/112/1
8%
11/112/1
Fluminese 3-0
5%
20/1
24%
20/118/1
12%
17/1
6%
Fluminese 3-1
5%
20/1
24%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
18/1
6%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/116/1
13%
14/115/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
16/114/1
12%
16/1
6%
Fluminese 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
40/1
21%
33/1
31%
30/1
7%
Fluminese 4-0
2%
40/160/1
9%
40/135/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
33/133/128/129/1
3%
Fluminese 4-1
2%
40/160/1
20%
40/140/1
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/20
9%
13/10
12%
5/4
7%
13/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7
6%
1/2
7%
4/7
6%
3/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
7%
17/20
1%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4
5%
29/20
3%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
12%
13/2
12%
13/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
3%
21/20
10%
Evs
9%
19/20
2%
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
3%
3/4
8%
8/11
5%
4/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/2
16%
17/4
9%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
7/2
2%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7/113/2
7%
13/2
7%
-
Home/draw
77%
2/7
3%
2/72/73/10
2%
Away/draw
49%
4/6
7%
3/54/6
3%
4/6
6%
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
1/3
2%
4/11
2%
4/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9
3%
2/5
5%
4/9
6%
2/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
8%
31/20
9%
13/8
12%
19/10
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
16/5
14%
10/3
15%
17/5
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
1/6
4%
1/5
4%
1/5
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
25%
8/1
20%
8/1
20%
17/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
2%
1/20
2%
1/20
2%
1/20
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
11%
22/1
21%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/80
1%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
3%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1
18%
11/2
19%
6/1
7%
7/1
11%
Home DNB
51%
8/15
6%
4/71/28/15
4%
Away DNB
23%
11/8
9%
13/106/429/20
6%
Fluminese win to nil
31%
5/2
8%
12/5
6%
9/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
14%
9/2
8%
9/29/2
8%
-
Fluminese / Fluminese
24%
11/4
15%
14/5
1%
5/2
6%
5/2
9%
Fluminese / Sao Paulo
2%
33/145/1
12%
40/145/1
12%
Fluminese / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
Draw / Fluminese
17%
4/14/14/19/2
5%
Draw / Sao Paulo
11%
6/1
13%
6/17/1
6%
13/2
6%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
5%
13/4
8%
10/3
6%
17/5
10%
Sao Paulo / Fluminese
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
28/1
12%
30/1
7%
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
14%
9/2
15%
11/2
8%
5/124/5
5%
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
7%
Win / draw / win form
Fluminese 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Sao Paulo 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fluminese since 2018
Fluminese
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
FLU
2
D
1
SAO
2
All league games since 2018
Fluminese
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
FLU
3
D
4
SAO
4
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sao Paulo fans, as should a 5 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Fluminese 7th Sao Paulo 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Fluminese will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Fluminese’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Sao Paulo have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/257033/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminese
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
9%
better
FLU
SAO
view stats
Games scored25
24
Failed to score12
13
Scored first15
14
Goals scored49
39
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate11%
10%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
FLU
SAO
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
23
Clean sheets12
14
Conceded first20
16
Goals conceded44
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate10%
11%
KickOff rating
+8%

Fluminese v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminese Serie A squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3410713
F FábioG CanoGansoAndré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK34
3
-
S Xavier DEF2512
7
-
T Santos DEF
-
D Braz DEF18
2
-
Marcelo DEF1811
5
-
Martinelli MID2722
4
-
Alexsander MID191
3
-
Lima MID3461
8
-
Ganso MID2637
5
-
Y González MID1711
1
-
G Cano FWD29101
8
-
Subs
P Rangel GLK2
1
-
F Vieira DEF7
-
D Barbosa DEF1812
1
-
Guga DEF2113
5
-
André MID30
11
2
L Fernández MID1811
2
-
A Sanches MID2
-
I Lima MID7
-
Giovanni MID5
1
-
Danielzinho MID12
1
-
Lelê FWD2923
4
1
J Neto FWD31
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
328510
RafaelLucianoAlissonRafinha
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK32
1
-
Rafinha DEF251
10
-
D Costa DEF22
6
-
L Beraldo DEF231
7
-
Welington  DEF15
2
-
P Maia MID314
8
1
G Neves MID201
6
1
Alisson MID345
2
-
Luciano MID3382
5
-
David  MID2222
5
-
Juan FWD2711
2
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK5
1
-
A Franco DEF1311
3
-
Patryck DEF5
2
-
Walce DEF
-
N Mendes DEF
-
T Costa  MID6
1
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
Luan MID11
1
-
J Méndez MID7
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2
-
Erison  FWD1111
3
-
T. Santos Ribeiro FWD2
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds