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Vasco da Gama v Athletico PR : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 00:30 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Monday morning at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Vasco da Gama and Athletico PR. Fernando Diniz Silva and Odair Hellmann going all-out to ensure the win. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Vasco d Gama and Athletico PR combined during 90 minutes. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
52%
79/1005/6
Draw
25%
12/523/10
Athletico PR
23%
7/218/5
Vasco d Gama 1-0
12%
5/19/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
10%
13/213/2
Vasco d Gama 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
7/16/1
Athletico PR 1-0
7%
10/117/2
Athletico PR 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
Athletico PR 2-0
4%
22/116/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Vasco d Gama 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Vasco d Gama 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Athletico PR 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
5/46/5
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/133/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/138/13
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/415/8
No 1st Goal
5%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
1/111/10
BTTS - No
50%
3/44/6
BTTS - Home Win
22%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/18/1
Home/draw
77%
2/112/11
Away/draw
48%
10/1119/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10/33/1
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/91/5
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/141/16
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/16/1
Home DNB
69%
3/103/10
Away DNB
41%
12/511/5
Vasco d Gama win to nil
30%
7/4-
Athletico PR win to nil
13%
6/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
29%
15/87/4
Vasco d Gama / Athletico PR
2%
40/133/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
18%
7/218/5
Draw / Athletico PR
9%
8/18/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Athletico PR / Vasco d Gama
3%
25/120/1
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
11%
7/16/1
Athletico PR / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
4
Athletico PR have lost 4 consecutive away league games
5
Athletico PR have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Vasco d Gama 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Flamengo
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Remo
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Athletico PR 5TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Bragantino1 - 1Athletico PR
Internacional0 - 1Athletico PR
Ferroviaria1 - 2Athletico PR
Goias0 - 1Athletico PR
Cortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
Remo2 - 1Athletico PR
Atletico Go3 - 0Athletico PR
Athletic Club0 - 3Athletico PR
Chapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 3Athletico PR
CRB0 - 1Athletico PR
Criciuma4 - 2Athletico PR
America 2 - 2Athletico PR
Volta Redonda3 - 2Athletico PR
Amazonas0 - 1Athletico PR
Avai1 - 2Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
HAthletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
HAthletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
HAthletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
AAthletico PR2 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
HAthletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 1Santos
AAthletico PR1 - 0Internacional
HAthletico PR1 - 0America
AAthletico PR2 - 1Ferroviaria
HAthletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
AAthletico PR1 - 0Goias
HAthletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
AAthletico PR0 - 0Cortiba
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
VDG
2
D
2
APR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 2Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
D
1
APR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
Athletico PR1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Athletico PR3 - 0
Athletico PR4 - 1
Athletico PR1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Vasco d Gama 15th Athletico PR 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Athletico PR scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Vasco d Gama have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Athletico PR have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Athletico PR
1.6
1
Attack rating
5%
better
VDG
APR
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score2
4
Scored first6
7
Goals scored20
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
VDG
APR
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
10
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded21
15
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%

Vasco d Gama v Athletico PR Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14235
L JardimJ BebanzJ BebanzT Mendes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK14
1
-
J Bebanz DEF923
3
-
C Cuesta DEF51
1
-
R Renan DEF141
-
L Piton  DEF10
-
H Moura MID81
-
T Mendes MID1321
5
-
Adson MID5
-
J Rojas MID121
2
-
A Gomez MID1322
3
-
C Spinelli FWD91
-
Subs
D Fuzato GLK
-
A Saldivia DEF9
3
-
L Freitas DEF1
-
R. Avellar da Silva Fortes DEF1
-
T Tchê MID101
2
-
N Moreira MID1211
1
-
J. de Paula Morais MID2
-
David  FWD1222
-
M França FWD3
-
M Hinestroza FWD7
-
Brenner FWD1011
1
-
Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14424
SantosS MendozaJ. Machado CruzA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Santos GLK14
2
-
C Terán DEF10
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF13
4
-
J Aguirre DEF101
1
-
G. Leite dos Santos MID2
-
J Portilla MID14
2
-
L Gustavo MID122
3
-
S Mendoza MID144
-
B. Ramos FWD8
-
J. Machado Cruz FWD92
2
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD5
-
Subs
Mycael GLK
1
-
C. de Jesus Passos DEF
-
L Léo DEF2
-
A Costa DEF3
-
L Derik DEF8
-
B Zapelli MID111
3
1
J Jádson MID9
3
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID7
1
-
E Anastacio MID1311
-
D. Rivas do Nascimento MID2
-
I Lima FWD
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD3
-