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Ceará v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 18:00 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

Luis Francisco Zubeldía pays counterpart Leonardo Rodrigues Condé a visit on Sunday evening in the Serie A, as their Fluminense and Ceará charges face each other at the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Ceara and Fluminense have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceara 38%	17/10	-
Draw 28%	2/1	-
Fluminense 34%	7/4	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Ceara 1-0 12%	6/1	-
Fluminense 1-0 11%	6/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	6/1	-
Ceara 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Fluminense 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Ceara 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Fluminense 2-0 6%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Ceara 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Fluminense 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Ceara 3-0 3%	28/1	-
Fluminense 3-0 2%	28/1	-
Ceara 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	7/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	8/15	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	21/20	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 6%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 53%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	11/2	-
Home/draw 66%	2/5	-
Away/draw 62%	4/9	-
Home/away 72%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	4/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	7/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/16	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	20/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/66	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1	-
Home DNB 57%	5/6	-
Away DNB 54%	5/6	-
Ceara win to nil 23%	3/1	-
Fluminense win to nil 21%	3/1	-
Ceara / Ceara 19%	7/2	-
Ceara / Fluminense 2%	33/1	-
Ceara / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Ceara 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Fluminense 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Fluminense / Ceara 2%	33/1	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 19%	7/2	-
Fluminense / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Ceara	1 - 0	America
Ceara	2 - 0	Avai
Ceara	2 - 1	Paysandu
Ceara	1 - 0	Ponte Preta
Ceara	1 - 0	Brusque
Ceara	4 - 0	Vila Nova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Ceara	1 - 1	S. Recife
H	Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Vitoria
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Ceara	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Ceara	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Internacional
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Ceara	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 2	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Juventude

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ceara

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

CEA

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Ceara	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0
Ceara	1 - 0

Fluminense

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Ceara 13th	Fluminense 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Ceara will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 70% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Ceara have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	+9 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CEA

FLU

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		21
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	14		15
Goals scored	27		35
Avg. goals scored	1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+19%

better

CEA

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	19		18
Clean sheets	9		9
Conceded first	12		11
Goals conceded	27		33
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		6
Conversion rate against	10%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.9
KickOff rating		+9%

Ceara v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	5	7
Galeano	P Raul	L Mugni	F Sobral

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Galeano FWD	28	5	3	2 -
W Machado DEF	27			3 -
P Raul FWD	26	8	1	4 -
Diego DEF	25		2	3 -
F Silva DEF	25		1	6 -
L Lourenço MID	25	2	1	3 -
F Sobral MID	25	1		7 -
L Mugni MID	23	2	5	5 -
Bruno GLK	21			2 -
Marllon DEF	21	2		2 -
P Henrique FWD	21	4	2	6 -
M Bahia DEF	19		1	4 -
Aylon FWD	17	2		2 -
R Ramos DEF	16			2 -
Richardson MID	12			3 -
Fernandinho FWD	12		1	2 -
Nicolas DEF	11			1 -
L Lima MID	11			-
M Araújo MID	10	1	1	-
F Miguel GLK	8			-
Vina MID	8			1 -
P Baya FWD	8			-
M Victor DEF	7			-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	7		1	1 -
V Zanocelo MID	5			-
Rodriguinho FWD	3			1
Éder DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	31	5	5
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	Galeano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	8	31	1	4
Galeano FWD	5	14	3	5
P Henrique FWD	4	13	2	2
L Lourenço MID	2	10	1	3
L Mugni MID	2	4	5	5
Marllon DEF	2	2
Aylon FWD	2	8
F Sobral MID	1	1		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
W Machado DEF		5		1
Diego DEF		3	2	4
F Silva DEF		1	1	2
M Bahia DEF		2	1	2
R Ramos DEF		1
Richardson MID		1		1
Fernandinho FWD		4	1	1
Nicolas DEF		1
Vina MID		4
P Baya FWD		4		3
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
V Zanocelo MID		1
Éder DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
949	51	159
W Machado	Diego	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	949	32	121
Diego DEF	800	51	159
F Silva DEF	760	31	95
Marllon DEF	651	23	71
Galeano FWD	621	30	126
M Bahia DEF	596	34	78
F Sobral MID	591	38	74
L Lourenço MID	515	21	68
Bruno GLK	513	1	19
L Mugni MID	463	36	83
P Raul FWD	418	12	134
Richardson MID	257	13	25
R Ramos DEF	251	27	44
M Victor DEF	247	8	24
Nicolas DEF	230	14	27
P Henrique FWD	221	29	67
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
Aylon FWD	159	16	60
V Zanocelo MID	138	3	5
Vina MID	119		6
Fernandinho FWD	97	11	46
Éder DEF	94		7
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
P Baya FWD	79	4	7
L Lima MID	70	7	15
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	30	5	15
Rodriguinho FWD	5		1

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	6	3	7
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	28			1 -
Martinelli MID	25	2	2	5 -
J Freytes DEF	24		1	6 1
H Hércules MID	24	3		1 -
K Serna FWD	23	4	3	3 -
Lima MID	22	2	1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	21	2	2	4 -
S Xavier DEF	20	3	1	3 -
Everaldo FWD	20	2		1 -
G Cano FWD	20	6		1 -
Renê DEF	19	1		-
T Silva DEF	18	1		1 -
Guga DEF	15	1	1	1 -
F Cruz MID	15			5 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
Ignacio DEF	13			2 -
Nonato MID	12	1		3 -
Y Soteldo FWD	12			-
Keno FWD	12	1	2	-
G Fuentes DEF	9			3 -
J Kennedy FWD	9	1	1	1 -
L Acosta MID	8	2		2 -
T Santos DEF	7			2 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	5		1	-
R Lezcano MID	4			-
O Otávio MID	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	3	4
G Cano	G Cano	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	12		1
K Serna FWD	4	10	3	4
H Hércules MID	3	8
S Xavier DEF	3	4	1	1
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	3
Lima MID	2	6	1	1
A Canobbio FWD	2	9	2	1
Everaldo FWD	2	8		2
L Acosta MID	2	4		4
Renê DEF	1	1		1
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Nonato MID	1	3
Keno FWD	1	4	2	2
J Kennedy FWD	1	4	1	1
J Freytes DEF		3	1
F Cruz MID		4
Ganso MID				2
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD			1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1655	41	108
J Freytes	Martinelli	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1655	16	84
Martinelli MID	1170	41	105
T Silva DEF	1140	9	51
S Xavier DEF	945	24	61
Renê DEF	880	39	96
H Hércules MID	849	41	81
Guga DEF	515	27	59
F Fábio GLK	513		6
Ignacio DEF	469	19	55
F Cruz MID	448	22	45
Ganso MID	443	10	34
Lima MID	415	14	58
A Canobbio FWD	413	38	90
K Serna FWD	407	26	108
G Fuentes DEF	398	19	46
G Cano FWD	329	6	42
Nonato MID	273	14	29
L Acosta MID	255	10	30
Manoel DEF	178		6
Everaldo FWD	176	6	56
O Otávio MID	168	5	14
Y Soteldo FWD	120	4	27
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
Keno FWD	101	7	41
T Santos DEF	90	9	19
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
J Kennedy FWD	48		16
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	43	7	15
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6