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Ceará v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 22:30 BST, Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza

Saturday night sees Leonardo Rodrigues Condé’s Ceará and Thiago Carpini Barbosa’s Vitória go head to head in a Serie A battle at the Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Ceara and Vitoria have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ceara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ceara
52%
10/11
10%
-
Draw
26%
12/5
3%
-
Vitoria
22%
16/5
16%
-
Ceara 1-0
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Ceara 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Ceara 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
17%
-
Vitoria 1-0
8%
17/2
21%
-
Vitoria 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Ceara 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Ceara 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
-
Vitoria 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Ceara 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Ceara 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Ceara 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
-
Vitoria 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/20
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/8
7%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
5%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
5%
-
Home/draw
78%
2/9
4%
-
Away/draw
48%
10/11
7%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
19%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/2
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1
43%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
40%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2
17%
-
Home DNB
70%
4/11
5%
-
Away DNB
40%
2/1
14%
-
Ceara win to nil
32%
7/4
5%
-
Vitoria win to nil
13%
11/2
19%
-
Ceara / Ceara
27%
21/10
13%
-
Ceara / Vitoria
2%
40/1-
Ceara / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Ceara
18%
15/4
10%
-
Draw / Vitoria
10%
15/2
11%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
Vitoria / Ceara
3%
25/1
13%
-
Vitoria / Vitoria
12%
6/1
18%
-
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
11
Ceara have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
5
Vitoria have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Ceara 9TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Ceara1 - 0America
Ceara2 - 0Avai
Ceara2 - 1Paysandu
Ceara1 - 0Ponte Preta
Ceara1 - 0Brusque
Ceara4 - 0Vila Nova
Ceara2 - 1Operario
Ceara1 - 0Novorizontin
Ceara1 - 2Mirassol
Ceara3 - 1Guarani
Ceara4 - 1Botafogo
Ceara0 - 1Santos
Ceara4 - 2Ituano
Ceara0 - 0S. Recife
Ceara1 - 0Cortiba
Ceara2 - 1Chapecoense
Ceara2 - 1Amazonas
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCeara1 - 1Sao Paulo
ACeara0 - 1Bahia
HCeara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACeara1 - 2Juventude
HCeara2 - 0Gremio
ACeara2 - 2Bragantino
ACeara0 - 0Guarani
HCeara1 - 0America
ACeara4 - 1Botafogo
HCeara2 - 0Avai
HCeara2 - 1Paysandu
ACeara0 - 1Santos
ACeara2 - 1Ituano
HCeara1 - 0Ponte Preta
ACeara1 - 2S. Recife
HCeara1 - 0Brusque
HCeara4 - 0Vila Nova
ACeara1 - 3Cortiba
ACeara1 - 2Chapecoense
HCeara2 - 1Operario
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Fortaleza3 - 1Vitoria
Corinthians3 - 2Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino2 - 1Vitoria
Juventude1 - 1Vitoria
Cuiaba0 - 0Vitoria
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
HVitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goal Statistics

Ceará's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Vitória have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.5 for Leonardo Rodrigues Condé's side suggests that run should continue.

Ceara 9th Vitoria 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Ceara will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Ceara’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Vitoria have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294519/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ceara
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
12%
better
CEA
VIT
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score1
1
Scored first5
2
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1
0.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
35%
better
CEA
VIT
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded7
9
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+35%

Ceara v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6423
DiegoP RaulL MugniF Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Diego DEF61
-
Marllon DEF61
-
W Machado DEF6
1
-
F Sobral MID6
2
-
P Raul FWD64
2
-
Galeano FWD6
2
-
F Silva DEF5
3
-
M Araújo MID511
-
L Mugni MID52
1
-
L Lourenço MID5
-
Aylon FWD51
-
Bruno GLK4
1
-
R Ramos DEF4
1
-
M Bahia DEF41
2
-
Romulo MID4
-
F Miguel GLK3
-
Nicolas DEF2
-
P Henrique FWD21
1
-
Fernandinho FWD2
-
A Martínez FWD21
-
Éder DEF1
-
J Victor FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
JamersonMatheuzinhoJamersonClaudinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Claudinho DEF6
2
-
Z Marcos DEF6
-
Jamerson DEF62
-
L Halter DEF61
1
-
R Ryller MID6
1
-
J Costa FWD61
1
-
L Arcanjo GLK5
-
Matheuzinho MID52
1
-
G Baralhas MID5
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD52
-
F Fabrício FWD51
-
Ronald MID4
1
-
W Oliveira MID3
1
-
Osvaldo FWD3
-
W Rato MID21
-
L Braga FWD21
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
Edu DEF1
-
Neris DEF1
1
-
R Cáceres DEF1
1
-
C Eduardo FWD1
-
Carlinhos FWD11
1
-