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Corinthians v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 18:00 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

It's an away match for Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's Gremio side on Sunday evening, as they head to the Arena Corinthians for a Serie A meeting with Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Corinthians. For each and every Serie A match preview, KickOff delves into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Corinthians and Gremio both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 49%	4/5	-
Draw 27%	5/2	-
Gremio 24%	7/2	-
Corinthians 1-0 15%	4/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	6/1	-
Corinthians 2-0 10%	6/1	-
Gremio 1-0 9%	8/1	-
Corinthians 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Gremio 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Corinthians 3-0 5%	14/1	-
Corinthians 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Gremio 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	22/1	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Corinthians 4-0 2%	33/1	-
Gremio 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Corinthians 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	6/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1/2	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	5/4	-
BTTS - No 56%	4/7	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1	-
Home/draw 76%	2/11	-
Away/draw 51%	19/20	-
Home/away 73%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1	-
Home DNB 68%	1/3	-
Away DNB 43%	9/4	-
Corinthians win to nil 31%	13/8	-
Gremio win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 29%	15/8	-
Corinthians / Gremio 2%	40/1	-
Corinthians / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Corinthians 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Gremio 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	-
Gremio / Corinthians 3%	28/1	-
Gremio / Gremio 10%	15/2	-
Gremio / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	5 - 2	Athletico PR
Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Santos
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Internacional	2 - 3	Gremio
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
A Mineiro	1 - 3	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
Juventude	0 - 2	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Gremio
Vitoria	1 - 1	Gremio
Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Vitoria	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Gremio
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 2	Gremio
Internacional	1 - 0	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gremio	0 - 4	Bahia
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Santos
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Gremio	3 - 2	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	1 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Gremio	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians have drawn with Gremio in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Corinthians have not lost to Gremio in 11 consecutive league meetings

Gremio have not lost to Corinthians in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Corinthians

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

3 / 6

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Gremio

Gremio

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

5 / 7

CTH

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Corinthians
	0 - 1	Corinthians
	0 - 1	Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Gremio	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Gremio's defensive record is to be admired, L. Venker de Menezes's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Corinthians makes sense in this context.

	Corinthians 11th	Gremio 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Corinthians have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	-1 Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

CTH

GRE

view stats

Games scored	21		20
Failed to score	8		9
Scored first	11		13
Goals scored	31		30
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+1%

better

CTH

GRE

view stats

Games conceded	20		24
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	15		15
Goals conceded	35		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

Corinthians v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	7	3	9
B Bidon	Y Alberto	Matheuzinho	Matheuzinho

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Bidon MID	26	1	1	7 -
Matheuzinho DEF	24	2	3	9 -
Raniele MID	24	1	1	5 -
H Souza GLK	23			3 -
Ángel Romero FWD	23		1	4 1
F Angileri DEF	21			3 -
T Magno FWD	21	1	1	2 -
Maycon MID	20	3		3 -
M Bidu DEF	19		2	6 -
Y Alberto FWD	19	7	2	3 -
A Ramalho DEF	18			4 -
J Martínez MID	18		1	8 -
Cacá DEF	17	2		4 -
M Depay FWD	17	4	3	4 -
G Henrique DEF	15	1		3 -
R Lima MID	15			1 -
A Carrillo MID	15	1	1	1 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	14	3	1	3 -
R Garro MID	13		2	4 -
Charles MID	12			2 -
J Rodrigues DEF	9		1	3 -
F Torres DEF	9			1 -
H Hernández FWD	9	1		-
Vitinho FWD	8		1	-
Hugo DEF	7			-
K Guimarães FWD	6			-
M Donelli GLK	5			1 -
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	5			-
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	2			-
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	3	7
Y Alberto	Y Alberto	Matheuzinho	M Bidu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Alberto FWD	7	18	2	2
M Depay FWD	4	15	3	3
Maycon MID	3	3		1
G. Silva Inácio FWD	3	3	1	1
Matheuzinho DEF	2	3	3	5
Cacá DEF	2	4		1
B Bidon MID	1	3	1	4
Raniele MID	1	5	1	2
T Magno FWD	1	6	1	1
G Henrique DEF	1	6
A Carrillo MID	1	2	1	3
H Hernández FWD	1	3
Ángel Romero FWD		4	1	3
F Angileri DEF		1
M Bidu DEF		3	2	7
A Ramalho DEF		1
J Martínez MID		2	1	2
R Garro MID		5	2	7
Charles MID		1
J Rodrigues DEF			1
F Torres DEF				1
Vitinho FWD		4	1	2
Hugo DEF		1
K Guimarães FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1215	54	155
A Ramalho	Matheuzinho	B Bidon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	1215	25	70
Matheuzinho DEF	1120	54	95
B Bidon MID	1002	47	155
Cacá DEF	980	25	76
G Henrique DEF	773	14	66
M Bidu DEF	738	25	98
Raniele MID	734	43	127
F Angileri DEF	715	31	67
A Carrillo MID	643	14	33
H Souza GLK	591		5
Maycon MID	573	22	37
R Garro MID	504	8	61
J Martínez MID	492	21	62
M Depay FWD	405	6	41
F Torres DEF	395	11	20
J Rodrigues DEF	373	14	26
Ángel Romero FWD	315	18	58
T Magno FWD	273	19	81
Y Alberto FWD	229	7	63
R Lima MID	213	19	39
Charles MID	181	17	26
Hugo DEF	149	6	23
M Donelli GLK	113		2
G. Silva Inácio FWD	112	6	35
Vitinho FWD	100	9	25
K Guimarães FWD	75	1	8
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	50	2	6
H Hernández FWD	45	4	13
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK	23
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	17	3	4

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	6	2	7
T Volpi	M Braithwaite	Marlon	Dodi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	24	2		2 -
Wagner DEF	24		1	2 -
Dodi MID	24			6 1
Edenilson MID	23	3	1	4 -
Marlon DEF	22		2	6 -
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	22	1	1	3 -
F Cristaldo MID	21		2	1 -
C Olivera FWD	20	2		3 -
C Pavón FWD	20		2	4 -
M Braithwaite FWD	18	6	1	3 -
A Guzmán FWD	18	3		1 -
André FWD	17	3	2	2 -
W Kannemann DEF	16			6 1
M Villasanti MID	16			5 -
F Amuzu FWD	15	2	1	2 -
G Martins DEF	14	1		2 -
Camilo MID	14			1 -
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	10			-
Jemerson DEF	9	1		3 -
G Cuéllar MID	9			1 -
E Mola MID	9			-
A Santana MID	8			4 -
M Monsalve MID	8		1	2 -
M Rocha DEF	7			1 -
L Esteves DEF	7			1 -
J Pedro DEF	7			-
G Grando GLK	6			1 1
Arthur MID	6			1 1
C Vinícius FWD	6	3		1 1
J Lucas DEF	4			1 -
F Balbuena DEF	3	1		-
Willian FWD	3		1	-
V Lopes DEF	2			-
R Ely DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	2	7
M Braithwaite	M Braithwaite	Marlon	Marlon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Braithwaite FWD	6	16	1	1
Edenilson MID	3	9	1	4
A Guzmán FWD	3	4		2
André FWD	3	10	2	2
C Vinícius FWD	3	5		1
T Volpi GLK	2	2
C Olivera FWD	2	10		1
F Amuzu FWD	2	7	1	2
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	1	7	1	4
G Martins DEF	1	6
Jemerson DEF	1	2
F Balbuena DEF	1	1
Wagner DEF		5	1	2
Dodi MID		1		1
Marlon DEF		2	2	7
F Cristaldo MID		3	2	3
C Pavón FWD		5	2	3
W Kannemann DEF		2
Camilo MID		1		1
R. Freitas dos Santos MID		1		2
A Santana MID		1
M Monsalve MID		1	1
M Rocha DEF				1
L Esteves DEF		1
J Pedro DEF		3
Arthur MID		1
Willian FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
947	58	146
Wagner	Marlon	A. da Rocha dos Santos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Wagner DEF	947	20	81
Marlon DEF	839	58	116
T Volpi GLK	634		16
Dodi MID	587	39	94
W Kannemann DEF	548	22	79
M Villasanti MID	535	43	81
Edenilson MID	417	15	61
G Martins DEF	417	21	52
C Pavón FWD	411	20	57
F Cristaldo MID	350	15	61
E Mola MID	342	10	26
Jemerson DEF	336	18	43
G Cuéllar MID	325	20	38
Arthur MID	325	16	35
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	319	38	146
M Rocha DEF	305	23	40
L Esteves DEF	274	11	33
C Olivera FWD	264	28	89
M Braithwaite FWD	260	10	70
Camilo MID	212	22	36
J Pedro DEF	209	8	20
André FWD	182	9	41
F Amuzu FWD	166	6	31
F Balbuena DEF	166	3	12
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	166	6	32
A Santana MID	165	4	19
A Guzmán FWD	149	7	22
G Grando GLK	117		5
M Monsalve MID	103	5	24
Willian FWD	90		9
C Vinícius FWD	56	1	23
J Lucas DEF	38	5	6
R Ely DEF	13	1	3
V Lopes DEF	7