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Cruzeiro v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 22:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Sergiy Lavrinenko’s Cruzeiro will have the blessing of it on Sunday night. Filipe Luis Kasmirski’s Flamengo are their visitors to the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will update as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruzeiro
22%
7/2
10%
-
Draw
26%
23/10
3%
-
Flamengo
53%
17/20
3%
-
Flamengo 1-0
14%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Flamengo 2-0
11%
7/1-
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
6%
-
Cruzeiro 1-0
8%
9/1-
Flamengo 3-0
5%
14/1-
Cruzeiro 2-1
5%
14/1-
Flamengo 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
-
Cruzeiro 2-0
3%
20/1-
Flamengo 3-2
2%
33/1-
Flamengo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Flamengo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
13/10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
40%
2/1
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
6%
-
Home/draw
47%
10/11-
Away/draw
78%
2/11
3%
-
Home/away
74%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2
6%
-
Home DNB
40%
9/4
8%
-
Away DNB
71%
1/3
2%
-
Cruzeiro win to nil
13%
6/1
8%
-
Flamengo win to nil
33%
7/4
8%
-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
11%
13/2
7%
-
Cruzeiro / Flamengo
3%
25/1-
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Cruzeiro
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw / Flamengo
19%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Flamengo / Cruzeiro
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
28%
2/1
3%
-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
9
Flamengo have not lost in 9 consecutive away league games
Cruzeiro 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Flamengo have beaten Cruzeiro in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Flamengo have not lost to Cruzeiro in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
1
7
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
FLA
4
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
FLA
3
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Cruzeiro look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long night for Sergiy Lavrinenko's men.

Cruzeiro 4th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Flamengo have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294516/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cruzeiro
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
CRU
FLA
34%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
4
Goals scored7
15
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.5
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
CRU
FLA
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded6
2
Avg. goals conceded1
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
13
Conversion rate against9%
8%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.4
KickOff rating
+46%

Cruzeiro v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
C CássioK JorgeL SilvaF Bruno
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK6
2
-
Kaiki DEF61
1
-
L Romero MID61
2
-
F Bruno DEF5
3
-
L Silva MID52
-
M Pereira MID5
2
-
C Eduardo  MID5
-
K Jorge FWD531
2
-
Dudu FWD51
-
L Villalba DEF4
1
-
Walace MID4
1
-
Christian MID411
1
-
Marquinhos FWD4
-
G Barbosa FWD41
-
William DEF32
1
-
Fagner DEF3
1
-
J Alves DEF3
1
M Gamarra DEF2
-
M Henrique MID2
1
-
Y Bolasie FWD2
-
L Díaz FWD2
-
Marlon DEF1
-
J. da Silva Marques MID1
-
Rodriguinho MID1
-
J Dinenno FWD1
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6532
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaWesley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK6
-
L Pereira DEF61
-
Wesley DEF61
2
-
G Plata MID61
-
E Farfán MID61
2
-
B Henrique FWD61
-
Éverton FWD611
-
L Ortiz  DEF5
1
-
N Cruz MID5
2
-
Gerson MID51
-
G Arrascaeta MID553
-
Michael MID52
-
L Araújo FWD51
-
Ayrton DEF4
1
-
A Sandro DEF4
-
Allan MID4
-
Pedro FWD341
-
Juninho FWD3
-
M Gonçalves FWD2
-
G Varela DEF1
-
Danilo DEF11
-
W Barreto MID1
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID1
-