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Cruzeiro v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 01:00 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin faithful welcome Fortaleza's supporters on Sunday morning, as Sergiy Lavrinenko's Cruzeiro clash with Martín Palermo's troops in the Serie A. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Cruzeiro to win

We are predicting Cruzeiro will come out on top after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cruzeiro 65%	21/50 8%	4/9
Draw 21%	7/2 15%	7/2 4%
Fortaleza 14%	13/2 25%	13/2
Cruzeiro 1-0 13%	5/1 9%	19/4 5%
Cruzeiro 2-0 12%	5/1 8%	5/1
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2 13%	7/1 7%
Cruzeiro 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2 6%
Cruzeiro 3-0 8%	8/1 18%	15/2
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1 22%	17/2 6%
Cruzeiro 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	10/1
Fortaleza 1-0 5%	14/1 15%	12/1
Fortaleza 2-1 4%	20/1 11%	16/1
Cruzeiro 4-0 4%	16/1 19%	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Cruzeiro 4-1 3%	22/1 21%	18/1
Cruzeiro 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	22/1
Fortaleza 2-0 2%	40/1 41%	25/1
Cruzeiro 5-0 2%	33/1 17%	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	9/10 10%	17/20 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	9/10 12%	17/20 3%
Home 1st Goal 59%	2/5 7%	4/11 3%
Away 1st Goal 37%	9/4 5%	13/5
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 22%	17/2 12%
BTTS - Yes 47%	11/10 5%	11/10 5%
BTTS - No 53%	4/6 3%	13/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	13/5 10%	12/5 6%
BTTS - Draw 15%	11/2 8%	5/1
BTTS - Away Win 7%	14/1 15%	11/1 8%
Home/draw 86%	1/10 3%	1/11
Away/draw 35%	7/4 16%	7/4 2%
Home/away 79%	2/11 6%	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	3/10 5%	2/7 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 17%	12/5 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	12/5 15%	21/10 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1/3 6%	1/3 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	5/1 25%	19/4 12%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/8 5%	1/9 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1 24%	10/1 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25 1%	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 2%	1/25 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 22%	17/2 6%
Home DNB 79%	1/7 3%	1/8 1%
Away DNB 29%	9/2 22%	17/4
Cruzeiro win to nil 39%	11/10 7%	-
Fortaleza win to nil 8%	10/1 10%	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 38%	11/10 12%	11/10 2%
Cruzeiro / Fortaleza 2%	50/1 24%	40/1
Cruzeiro / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	14/1
Draw / Cruzeiro 20%	3/1	29/10 3%
Draw / Fortaleza 6%	14/1 25%	11/1 8%
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	19/4 5%
Fortaleza / Cruzeiro 4%	22/1	18/1
Fortaleza / Fortaleza 7%	12/1 18%	9/1
Fortaleza / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1 12%

Win / draw / win form

Cruzeiro have drawn 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Criciuma
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Botafogo
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fluminense
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventude	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
Internacional	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Fortaleza
S. Recife	0 - 0	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Atletico Go	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Juventude	0 - 3	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Gremio	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Internacional	2 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Fortaleza	2 - 1	Juventude
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Fortaleza	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Fortaleza	1 - 4	Palmeiras
H	Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
A	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Gremio
H	Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
H	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
H	Fortaleza	2 - 3	Santos
A	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Flamengo
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Fortaleza	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Fortaleza	5 - 0	Juventude

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cruzeiro

Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
	1 - 2	Fortaleza
	0 - 1	Fortaleza
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Fortaleza

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

2 / 4

CRU

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Fortaleza	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Cruzeiro 3rd	Fortaleza 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

30%

better

CRU

FOR

view stats

Games scored	21		16
Failed to score	7		11
Scored first	17		8
Goals scored	41		26
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	14		11
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+30%

40%

better

CRU

FOR

view stats

Games conceded	16		20
Clean sheets	12		7
Conceded first	7		16
Goals conceded	21		43
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	13		6
Conversion rate against	8%		16%
Avg. XG against	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+40%

Cruzeiro v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	15	7	9
C Cássio	K Jorge	M Pereira	Kaiki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Cássio GLK	27			5 -
Kaiki DEF	26	1	3	9 -
L Silva MID	26	2	2	4 -
M Pereira MID	26	6	7	5 -
K Jorge FWD	26	15	7	4 1
F Bruno DEF	25	2		5 -
L Romero MID	25	1	2	9 -
Wanderson FWD	25		2	2 -
L Villalba DEF	24	1		7 -
Christian MID	22	3	2	7 -
G Barbosa FWD	22	6	2	4 -
William DEF	21		4	2 1
C Eduardo MID	21	1		1 1
Marquinhos FWD	17			1 -
M Henrique MID	13			2 -
Y Bolasie FWD	13		1	1 -
J Alves DEF	10		1	1
Fagner DEF	9			1 -
Walace MID	9			2 -
K. de Almeida DEF	4			1 -
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	4			1 -
L Sinisterra FWD	4	1		-
L Carvalho GLK	2			1 -
K. Moraes Silva DEF	2			-
M Gamarra DEF	2			-
J Marcelo DEF	2			-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	2			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	1			-
R. da Silva Pae MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	32	7	9
K Jorge	K Jorge	M Pereira	M Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Jorge FWD	15	32	7	7
M Pereira MID	6	23	7	9
G Barbosa FWD	6	14	2	1
Christian MID	3	10	2	4
L Silva MID	2	4	2	2
F Bruno DEF	2	4		1
Kaiki DEF	1	8	3	4
L Romero MID	1	5	2	2
L Villalba DEF	1	4
C Eduardo MID	1	3
L Sinisterra FWD	1	2
Wanderson FWD		10	2	8
William DEF		4	4	8
Marquinhos FWD		2
M Henrique MID		2		1
Y Bolasie FWD		2	1	1
J Alves DEF			1	1
Fagner DEF				1
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID		2
K. Moraes Silva DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1116	77	173
F Bruno	Kaiki	Kaiki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	1116	38	111
L Villalba DEF	1085	25	95
L Romero MID	1037	48	116
L Silva MID	1026	44	97
M Pereira MID	918	33	151
William DEF	672	53	98
Kaiki DEF	655	77	173
C Cássio GLK	484	1	7
Christian MID	381	31	85
Wanderson FWD	381	10	62
K Jorge FWD	343	10	97
C Eduardo MID	277	12	39
Fagner DEF	255	19	38
M Henrique MID	246	20	38
J Alves DEF	214	11	24
G Barbosa FWD	190	4	18
Walace MID	96	5	8
M Gamarra DEF	83	6	10
Marquinhos FWD	80	15	27
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	66	1	7
K. Moraes Silva DEF	44	2	6
K. de Almeida DEF	41	9	11
Y Bolasie FWD	37	4	24
L Carvalho GLK	32		1
J Marcelo DEF	31		5
L Sinisterra FWD	26	1	6
R. da Silva Pae MID	14	2	3
K. Takamura Correa FWD	5		3
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	4		1

Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	4	3	7
L Sasha	B Lopes	M Pereira	E Brítez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Pikachu FWD	24	2	1	2 -
J Lucero FWD	24	3	1	5 -
L Sasha MID	21	1		2 -
B Lopes FWD	21	4		2 -
B Kuscevic DEF	20	1		3 -
Deyverson FWD	20	3		3 -
E Mancuso DEF	19	1	2	3 -
G Ávila DEF	17			3 -
T Pochettino MID	17	1	2	1 -
Marinho FWD	16	1	2	3 1
J Ricardo GLK	14			1 -
E Martínez MID	14	1	1	6 -
M Pereira MID	13		3	3 -
M Rossetto MID	13			-
D Barbosa DEF	12	1		1 -
L. Prior Pimenta MID	12	2		2 -
A Bareiro FWD	12	1		3 1
E Brítez DEF	10		1	7 -
Tinga DEF	10	1		1 -
B Pacheco DEF	9	1	1	3 -
J Welison MID	9			3 -
J Herrera FWD	9			1 -
Allanzinho FWD	7		2	1 -
Brenno GLK	5			1 1
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	5			-
H Leite GLK	4			-
L Crispim MID	4	1		-
Y Guzmán MID	4			-
M Moisés FWD	4		1	1 -
M Magrão GLK	3			1 -
Weverson DEF	3			-
V Silvestre GLK	2			-
L Gazal DEF	2			1 -
Pablo MID	2			-
Pierre MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	5
B Lopes	J Lucero	M Pereira	J Lucero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Lopes FWD	4	11		2
J Lucero FWD	3	11	1	5
Deyverson FWD	3	8
Y Pikachu FWD	2	7	1	3
L. Prior Pimenta MID	2	4		3
L Sasha MID	1	4		2
B Kuscevic DEF	1	3
E Mancuso DEF	1	7	2	2
T Pochettino MID	1	9	2	4
Marinho FWD	1	6	2	4
E Martínez MID	1	4	1	1
D Barbosa DEF	1	1		1
A Bareiro FWD	1	9
Tinga DEF	1	1
B Pacheco DEF	1	2	1	1
L Crispim MID	1	1		1
G Ávila DEF		5
M Pereira MID		2	3	2
E Brítez DEF		1	1	1
J Welison MID		1
J Herrera FWD		4		2
Allanzinho FWD			2	4
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID		1
M Moisés FWD		2	1
L Gazal DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
797	76	123
L Sasha	L Sasha	L Sasha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Sasha MID	797	76	123
B Kuscevic DEF	721	37	91
G Ávila DEF	665	47	84
M Pereira MID	664	16	41
M Rossetto MID	504	14	26
E Mancuso DEF	494	32	70
E Brítez DEF	416	18	50
Y Pikachu FWD	410	15	45
E Martínez MID	401	17	38
B Lopes FWD	388	9	64
J Ricardo GLK	325		3
Tinga DEF	312	12	39
L. Prior Pimenta MID	255	11	43
Deyverson FWD	249	6	86
T Pochettino MID	244	26	52
D Barbosa DEF	236	18	46
B Pacheco DEF	234	18	58
J Lucero FWD	218	17	57
J Welison MID	208	16	29
Marinho FWD	179	10	50
J Herrera FWD	140	10	26
L Gazal DEF	139	2	16
L Crispim MID	94	1	10
Weverson DEF	85	3	6
Brenno GLK	76	1	3
Y Guzmán MID	72	1	4
H Leite GLK	68		2
A Bareiro FWD	67	3	24
Allanzinho FWD	63	3	26
Pierre MID	63	1	2
M Magrão GLK	57
V Silvestre GLK	53		1
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	48	5	11
Pablo MID	48	3	5
M Moisés FWD	32	1	8