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Cruzeiro v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 00:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

Adenor Leonardo Bacchi and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro clash in the Serie A on Sunday morning, as Cruzeiro face Gremio at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Cruzeiro and Gremio will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookies have it available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.66.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruzeiro
55%
4/6-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Gremio
21%
4/1-
Cruzeiro 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Cruzeiro 2-0
10%
7/1-
Cruzeiro 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1-
Gremio 1-0
7%
12/1-
Cruzeiro 3-0
6%
12/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
6%
14/1-
Gremio 2-1
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Gremio 2-0
3%
25/1-
Cruzeiro 3-2
3%
25/1-
Cruzeiro 4-0
2%
25/1-
Cruzeiro 4-1
2%
28/1-
Gremio 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11-
BTTS - No
49%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/1-
Home/draw
79%
1/6-
Away/draw
45%
11/10-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/4-
Away DNB
38%
11/4-
Cruzeiro win to nil
31%
7/4-
Gremio win to nil
11%
8/1-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
32%
13/8-
Cruzeiro / Gremio
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Cruzeiro
19%
7/2-
Draw / Gremio
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Gremio / Cruzeiro
4%
22/1-
Gremio / Gremio
10%
15/2-
Gremio / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win form
Cruzeiro 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Gremio 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
CRU
3
D
1
GRE
2
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
CRU
2
D
2
GRE
2
Goal Statistics
Cruzeiro 19th Gremio 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Gremio have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Cruzeiro
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.7
1
Attack rating
CRU
GRE
7%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score3
2
Scored first5
3
Goals scored12
14
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
CRU
GRE
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against25%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Cruzeiro v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE