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Flamengo v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Flamengo and Bahia on Sunday morning, as bosses Filipe Luis Kasmirski and Rogério Mücke Ceni battle it out at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We have the best odds for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
57%
4/6
7%
-
Draw
25%
13/5
3%
-
Bahia
18%
17/4
17%
-
Flamengo 1-0
15%
4/1
9%
-
Flamengo 2-0
12%
11/2
13%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2-
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Bahia 1-0
7%
9/1
5%
-
Flamengo 3-0
6%
11/1
20%
-
Flamengo 3-1
5%
16/1-
Bahia 2-1
4%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Bahia 2-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Flamengo 4-0
3%
28/1
15%
-
Flamengo 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Flamengo 3-2
2%
40/1-
Bahia 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/9
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
12/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
18%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/6
1%
-
Away/draw
43%
23/20
10%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/2-
Home DNB
75%
1/4
6%
-
Away DNB
35%
11/4
15%
-
Flamengo win to nil
37%
11/8
9%
-
Bahia win to nil
11%
7/1
23%
-
Flamengo / Flamengo
32%
13/8
9%
-
Flamengo / Bahia
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Flamengo
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Bahia
8%
10/1
22%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
-
Bahia / Flamengo
3%
25/1
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
8%
9/1
25%
-
Bahia / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo4 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo6 - 0Juventude
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Flamengo3 - 2Internacional
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo4 - 2Juventude
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo4 - 0Corinthians
AFlamengo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo6 - 0Juventude
AFlamengo2 - 0Gremio
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 2Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 0Criciuma
HFlamengo3 - 2Internacional
AFlamengo0 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
HFlamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo4 - 2Juventude
HFlamengo0 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
HFlamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
AFlamengo2 - 3Gremio
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 2Bahia
Juventude2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Atletico Go1 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Flamengo have beaten Bahia in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
Flamengo have not lost to Bahia in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
FLA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo4 - 3
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
FLA
4
D
1
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 2Flamengo
2 - 3Flamengo
0 - 5Flamengo
3 - 5Flamengo
Bahia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Bahia look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long morning for Rogério Mücke Ceni's men.

Flamengo 1st Bahia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Flamengo have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294522/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
25%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
4
Goals scored15
6
Avg. goals scored2.5
1
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
50%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded4
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
8
Conversion rate against8%
12%
Avg. XG against0.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+50%

Flamengo v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6532
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaWesley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK6
-
L Pereira DEF61
-
Wesley DEF61
2
-
G Plata MID61
-
E Farfán MID61
2
-
B Henrique FWD61
-
Éverton FWD611
-
L Ortiz  DEF5
1
-
N Cruz MID5
2
-
Gerson MID51
-
G Arrascaeta MID553
-
Michael MID52
-
L Araújo FWD51
-
Ayrton DEF4
1
-
A Sandro DEF4
-
Allan MID4
-
Pedro FWD341
-
Juninho FWD3
-
M Gonçalves FWD2
-
G Varela DEF1
-
Danilo DEF11
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID1
-
W Barreto MID1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Gilberto DEF61
1
-
L Juba DEF613
-
S Mingo DEF6
-
Erick MID61
2
-
Ademir FWD6
1
-
E Pulga FWD61
-
C Alexandre MID5
2
-
S Suay MID51
2
1
Cauly MID52
1
-
J Lucas MID5
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD5
1
-
D Duarte DEF4
-
W José FWD4
-
M Felipe GLK3
-
Iago DEF3
-
R Nestor MID3
-
N Acevedo MID3
-
Kayky FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-