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Flamengo v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 20:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Flamengo and Palmeiras on Sunday night, as managers Filipe Luis Kasmirski and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira go head to head at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 52%	1/1 5%	1/1 5%
Draw 26%	5/2 3%	23/10
Palmeiras 22%	27/10 10%	29/10 10%
Flamengo 1-0 13%	5/1 9%	19/4 5%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1 8%
Flamengo 2-0 10%	15/2 13%	7/1 7%
Flamengo 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 8%	7/1 7%	6/1 8%
Palmeiras 1-0 8%	15/2 6%	15/2
Palmeiras 2-1 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%
Flamengo 3-0 5%	16/1 13%	12/1
Flamengo 3-1 5%	18/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 10%	14/1
Palmeiras 2-0 4%	16/1 11%	14/1 12%
Flamengo 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	22/1 12%
Flamengo 4-0 2%	40/1 21%	25/1
Flamengo 4-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Palmeiras 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	13/10 4%	5/4 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	3/5 5%	3/5 3%
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11 4%	8/11 4%
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/5 9%	8/5 5%
No 1st Goal 5%	7/1 7%	6/1 8%
BTTS - Yes 47%	21/20 7%	21/20 5%
BTTS - No 53%	7/10 5%	7/10 3%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4/1	7/2 2%
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 9%	18/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	15/2 15%	13/2 12%
Home/draw 78%	2/7 6%	1/4 4%
Away/draw 48%	4/5 6%	4/5 3%
Home/away 74%	2/7 1%	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	4/9 4%	2/5 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	7/4 5%	17/10 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	7/2 10%	3/1 8%
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/5 3%	1/5 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	8/1 18%	15/2 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/14 2%	1/18 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	20/1 9%	16/1 11%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/66 1%	1/150 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/12	1/12 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	7/1 7%	6/1
Home DNB 70%	4/9 6%	2/5 4%
Away DNB 40%	13/8 12%	17/10 10%
Flamengo win to nil 31%	2/1 9%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 13%	9/2 8%	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 25%	9/4 8%	21/10 3%
Flamengo / Palmeiras 3%	33/1 17%	28/1
Flamengo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Flamengo 17%	15/4 6%	18/5 5%
Draw / Palmeiras 10%	7/1 6%	13/2 6%
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 6%	10/3
Palmeiras / Flamengo 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 13%	11/2 13%	5/1 8%
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Flamengo have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Palmeiras have won 4 consecutive league games

Flamengo have not lost in 18 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vitoria
Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
Flamengo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude
Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Athletico PR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Santos
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vitoria	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Internacional	0 - 1	Palmeiras
S. Recife	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Atletico Go	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Juventude	3 - 5	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Athletico PR	0 - 2	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
A	Palmeiras	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo have not lost to Palmeiras in 15 consecutive league meetings

Flamengo

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

1 / 7

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Flamengo	1 - 0
Flamengo	2 - 0
Flamengo	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Palmeiras

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
	0 - 2	Flamengo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Flamengo 2nd	Palmeiras 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Palmeiras scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Flamengo have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	+20 Palmeiras have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	2.2 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

FLA

PAL

view stats

Games scored	22		23
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	18		16
Goals scored	53		51
Avg. goals scored	2		1.9
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		17
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.5
KickOff rating		+1%

34%

better

FLA

PAL

view stats

Games conceded	12		18
Clean sheets	15		9
Conceded first	6		10
Goals conceded	13		23
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	14		8
Conversion rate against	7%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.8		0.9
KickOff rating		+34%

Flamengo v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	14	11	5
A Rossi	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta	L Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	27			1 -
L Ortiz DEF	25	1	2	4 -
G Arrascaeta MID	25	14	11	2 -
L Araújo FWD	25	6	2	2 -
L Pereira DEF	24	3		5 -
B Henrique FWD	23	2		3 -
Pedro FWD	20	11	5	3 -
G Plata FWD	20	4	1	-
G Varela DEF	17		4	-
Éverton FWD	17	1	1	-
A Sandro DEF	16			3 -
N Cruz MID	14			4 -
Allan MID	13			2 -
Jorginho MID	12			5 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	12	1		1 -
Danilo DEF	11	1		1 1
Ayrton DEF	11	1		3 -
S Lino FWD	11	2	4	-
W Barreto FWD	11	1	2	4 1
Michael FWD	11	1	3	-
Juninho FWD	11			-
E Farfán MID	10	1		2 -
E Royal DEF	8	1		1 -
J Carrascal MID	8	1	4	2 -
S Ñíguez MID	8		1	1 -
M Viña DEF	7			1 -
Cleiton DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	25	11	12
G Arrascaeta	Pedro	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Arrascaeta MID	14	18	11	12
Pedro FWD	11	25	5	4
L Araújo FWD	6	15	2	5
G Plata FWD	4	10	1	3
L Pereira DEF	3	6		1
B Henrique FWD	2	13		2
S Lino FWD	2	7	4	2
L Ortiz DEF	1	6	2	2
Éverton FWD	1	5	1
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	1	5		1
Danilo DEF	1	2		1
Ayrton DEF	1	3		1
W Barreto FWD	1	2	2	1
Michael FWD	1	5	3	4
E Farfán MID	1	3		1
E Royal DEF	1	1		1
J Carrascal MID	1	1	4	3
G Varela DEF		1	4	2
A Sandro DEF		1		2
N Cruz MID		3		1
Allan MID		2
Jorginho MID		1
Juninho FWD		2		1
S Ñíguez MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1857	41	123
L Pereira	L Araújo	G Arrascaeta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	1857	19	65
L Ortiz DEF	1820	29	101
Jorginho MID	959	15	30
G Arrascaeta MID	890	31	123
A Sandro DEF	811	12	51
N Cruz MID	702	17	52
A Rossi GLK	699	1	15
Danilo DEF	663	6	17
G Varela DEF	595	20	44
Allan MID	550	6	21
L Araújo FWD	537	41	79
E Farfán MID	487	12	31
G Plata FWD	454	20	56
Ayrton DEF	445	18	49
S Ñíguez MID	438	14	24
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	388	15	33
S Lino FWD	353	18	53
B Henrique FWD	293	18	86
E Royal DEF	289	16	45
Éverton FWD	235	10	30
Pedro FWD	179	7	33
M Viña DEF	160	10	22
J Carrascal MID	158	16	46
Michael FWD	146	5	22
W Barreto FWD	66	4	32
Cleiton DEF	46	2	5
Juninho FWD	38	7	17

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	12	7	5
Weverton	V Roque	M Maurício	G Portillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	26			2 -
J Piquerez DEF	25	3	1	2 -
V Roque FWD	25	12	3	3 -
J López FWD	24	10	1	4 -
A Giay DEF	23			1 -
F Anderson FWD	22	3	2	-
F Torres FWD	22	4	3	2 -
G Portillo DEF	20	1	1	5 -
M Maurício MID	20	3	7	-
A Moreno MID	20		1	5 -
L Evangelista MID	19	2	1	2 -
E Martínez MID	19	1		3 -
A. Andrade Elias MID	19	1	2	1 1
B Fuchs DEF	17	2		4 -
R Veiga MID	16	2	2	1 -
R Sosa FWD	14	2	2	-
Murilo DEF	13	1	1	5 -
Micael DEF	12		1	4 -
A Pereira MID	7	2		2 -
L. Sousa Santos FWD	7			-
Paulinho FWD	7			-
J Dias DEF	5		1	-
Khellven DEF	5			-
B Rodrigues FWD	3	1		-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	31	7	6
V Roque	V Roque	M Maurício	F Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Roque FWD	12	31	3	3
J López FWD	10	21	1	3
F Torres FWD	4	12	3	6
J Piquerez DEF	3	10	1	4
F Anderson FWD	3	9	2	2
M Maurício MID	3	10	7	5
L Evangelista MID	2	7	1	1
B Fuchs DEF	2	3		1
R Veiga MID	2	6	2	3
R Sosa FWD	2	4	2	3
A Pereira MID	2	3
G Portillo DEF	1	2	1	4
E Martínez MID	1	5		4
A. Andrade Elias MID	1	3	2	1
Murilo DEF	1	3	1	1
B Rodrigues FWD	1	2
A Giay DEF		1		3
A Moreno MID		2	1	4
Micael DEF		1	1	1
L. Sousa Santos FWD		1		1
Paulinho FWD		1		1
J Dias DEF			1
Khellven DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1017	53	141
J Piquerez	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Piquerez DEF	1017	40	81
A Giay DEF	851	53	110
G Portillo DEF	843	43	115
A Moreno MID	727	38	66
Weverton GLK	680	1	11
Murilo DEF	611	19	52
F Anderson FWD	607	43	90
Micael DEF	580	23	61
B Fuchs DEF	577	17	56
E Martínez MID	544	33	58
L Evangelista MID	525	30	72
F Torres FWD	496	12	58
M Maurício MID	412	9	29
J López FWD	293	24	141
R Veiga MID	282	13	51
A Pereira MID	258	5	13
V Roque FWD	218	11	118
R Sosa FWD	165	3	31
A. Andrade Elias MID	159	20	49
Khellven DEF	127	6	18
Paulinho FWD	101	1	13
J Dias DEF	86	2	11
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	86	2	7
L. Sousa Santos FWD	67	4	17
M Lomba GLK	23
B Rodrigues FWD	15		3