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Mirassol v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 22:30 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Hernán Jorge Crespo guides his Sao Paulo charges to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Rafael Silva Guanaes's Mirassol waiting for them. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our expansive database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mirassol 52%	27/20 2%	11/8 1%
Draw 25%	21/10	11/5 3%
Sao Paulo 23%	11/5 2%	21/10
Mirassol 1-0 12%	11/2	5/1 8%
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	5/1 4%
Mirassol 2-0 10%	9/1	8/1 5%
Mirassol 2-1 9%	9/1 5%	8/1
Draw 0-0 8%	13/2	11/2
Sao Paulo 1-0 7%	7/1 6%	6/1 7%
Sao Paulo 2-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Mirassol 3-0 5%	22/1 10%	16/1
Mirassol 3-1 5%	20/1	16/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	14/1 15%
Sao Paulo 2-0 4%	14/1	11/1
Mirassol 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Mirassol 4-0 2%	50/1	33/1
Mirassol 4-1 2%	50/1 24%	33/1
Sao Paulo 3-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	7/5 2%	11/8 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	8/15 3%	11/20 1%
Home 1st Goal 54%	10/11 4%	10/11
Away 1st Goal 42%	5/4	5/4
No 1st Goal 5%	6/1 7%	11/2
BTTS - Yes 49%	1/1	21/20 3%
BTTS - No 51%	3/4	7/10 3%
BTTS - Home Win 22%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	18/5 5%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 77%	4/11 2%	4/11
Away/draw 48%	4/7	4/7 1%
Home/away 75%	4/11	1/3 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/2 4%	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	13/8 4%	8/5 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	7/2	17/5 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/5	2/11 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	10/1 10%	8/1 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/20 1%	1/20 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	20/1	18/1 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/66	1/300 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/10 2%	1/12 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	6/1 7%	6/1
Home DNB 70%	8/13	13/20
Away DNB 40%	6/5	23/20 2%
Mirassol win to nil 30%	11/4 7%	-
Sao Paulo win to nil 13%	4/1	-
Mirassol / Mirassol 21%	3/1 7%	27/10 3%
Mirassol / Sao Paulo 3%	33/1	25/1
Mirassol / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 8%
Draw / Mirassol 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Sao Paulo 12%	11/2 7%	11/2
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	16/5
Sao Paulo / Mirassol 3%	28/1	22/1
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo 16%	4/1 9%	19/5
Sao Paulo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Mirassol have not lost in 22 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	3 - 1	Internacional
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Bragantino
Mirassol	2 - 0	Juventude
Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro
Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Mirassol	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Mirassol	4 - 1	Cortiba
Mirassol	3 - 0	Ponte Preta
Mirassol	1 - 0	Novorizontin
Mirassol	1 - 0	Vila Nova
Mirassol	0 - 0	S. Recife

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mirassol	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Mirassol	0 - 3	Corinthians
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Mirassol	2 - 0	Juventude
A	Mirassol	3 - 3	Botafogo
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Internacional

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
S. Recife	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Internacional	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo
Criciuma	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Cuiaba	2 - 0	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Ceara
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Santos
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Juventude
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bragantino
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Bahia
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Mirassol
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Gremio

Goal Statistics

	Mirassol 4th	Sao Paulo 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+36 Mirassol have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted	+11 Sao Paulo have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

30%

better

SAO

view stats

Games scored	25		18
Failed to score	3		9
Scored first	16		13
Goals scored	47		31
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		13
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+30%

SAO

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		18
Clean sheets	7		9
Conceded first	12		11
Goals conceded	30		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+7%

Mirassol v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	10	5	7
J. Ribeiro da Silva	Reinaldo	Alesson	N Moura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	28	2		2 -
Reinaldo DEF	27	10	4	5 -
Danielzinho MID	27		2	4 -
N Moura MID	25	1		7 -
L Ramon DEF	24	2	2	5 -
J Victor DEF	24	1	1	6 1
C Renato FWD	24	4	2	2 -
Negueba FWD	24	5	3	3 -
J Aldo MID	22		1	2 -
Walter GLK	21			3 -
Edson FWD	21	4	2	1 -
Gabriel MID	20	3	1	2 -
Alesson FWD	16	3	5	1 -
Y Felipe MID	15		1	2 -
C Eduardo FWD	15		4	1 -
Chico FWD	13	6		1 -
D Borges DEF	12	2	1	2 -
M Bianqui MID	12			1 -
Chico MID	11			1 -
Roni MID	8			1 -
A Muralha GLK	7			2 -
Shaylon MID	6			-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	6			1 -
Guilherme MID	5	1		2 -
Gabriel DEF	4			-
F Jonatan DEF	2			-
R Marques FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	21	5	11
Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Alesson	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Reinaldo DEF	10	21	4	11
Chico FWD	6	7		1
Negueba FWD	5	13	3	5
C Renato FWD	4	16	2	1
Edson FWD	4	12	2	4
Gabriel MID	3	12	1	4
Alesson FWD	3	4	5	2
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	2	4
L Ramon DEF	2	10	2	4
D Borges DEF	2	3	1	1
N Moura MID	1	1
J Victor DEF	1	2	1	1
Guilherme MID	1	1
Danielzinho MID		4	2	5
J Aldo MID		6	1	3
Y Felipe MID			1	2
C Eduardo FWD		4	4	5
M Bianqui MID		2
Chico MID		1
Shaylon MID		1		1
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		1
Gabriel DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1539	56	146
Danielzinho	J. Ribeiro da Silva	L Ramon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1539	47	130
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	1290	56	136
N Moura MID	1192	54	95
J Victor DEF	1139	20	84
Reinaldo DEF	1026	37	99
L Ramon DEF	754	53	146
J Aldo MID	573	27	65
Gabriel MID	514	7	47
Walter GLK	510		16
Negueba FWD	407	23	84
Y Felipe MID	270	18	43
D Borges DEF	243	9	22
Edson FWD	203	27	72
Alesson FWD	173	19	62
A Muralha GLK	171		2
C Renato FWD	157	8	55
Gabriel DEF	157	3	16
Chico FWD	151	2	32
Guilherme MID	120	2	11
Chico MID	107	10	26
Shaylon MID	88	6	7
C Eduardo FWD	81	6	33
Roni MID	73	4	5
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	45	1	10
F Jonatan DEF	36	1	4
M Bianqui MID	32	5	18
R Marques FWD	5		1

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	5	8
Rafael	Luciano	E Díaz	Luciano

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	26			2 -
Luciano FWD	24	6	3	8 -
C Soares DEF	23		2	1 -
E Díaz DEF	23		5	7 -
Alisson MID	23		1	4 -
Sabino DEF	22	1		2 -
D Bobadilla MID	22	2	1	4 -
A Franco DEF	21			5 -
M Antônio MID	20		3	4 -
A Silva FWD	20	5	2	5 -
Ferreira FWD	20	4	2	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	19		3	2 -
Rodrigo MID	18			5 -
R Arboleda DEF	17	3		3 -
Wendell DEF	16		1	-
P Maia MID	16	1		3 -
G Tapia FWD	10	4		4 -
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	8	2		-
J Dinenno FWD	7	1		2 -
Oscar MID	6			1 -
Luan MID	6			-
L Moura FWD	6	1		-
M Maílton DEF	4			1 -
Patryck DEF	4			1 -
E Rigoni FWD	4			1 1
R Tolói DEF	3			-
L Gustavo MID	3			-
J Calleri FWD	3			1
L. Marques Alencar FWD	3			-
Young GLK	2			-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	2	1		2 -
F Negrucci MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	5	8
Luciano	Luciano	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Luciano FWD	6	21	3	3
A Silva FWD	5	9	2	3
Ferreira FWD	4	10	2	5
G Tapia FWD	4	7
R Arboleda DEF	3	4
D Bobadilla MID	2	9	1	2
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	2	3
Sabino DEF	1	4		1
P Maia MID	1	1
J Dinenno FWD	1	4
L Moura FWD	1	1
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	1	1
C Soares DEF			2	4
E Díaz DEF		1	5	8
Alisson MID		7	1	1
A Franco DEF				1
M Antônio MID		1	3	5
N Ferraresi DEF		2	3	3
Rodrigo MID		5
Wendell DEF			1	1
Oscar MID		2		2
Luan MID		1
Patryck DEF		1
E Rigoni FWD		2
J Calleri FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1143	66	129
Alisson	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Alisson MID	1143	27	73
A Franco DEF	1007	20	71
Sabino DEF	935	25	85
D Bobadilla MID	830	37	68
R Arboleda DEF	809	25	70
N Ferraresi DEF	807	61	116
M Antônio MID	787	16	44
C Soares DEF	714	32	55
E Díaz DEF	690	66	129
Rafael GLK	544	1	13
P Maia MID	481	18	46
Luciano FWD	444	21	81
Ferreira FWD	383	15	92
Wendell DEF	377	20	54
Rodrigo MID	360	16	48
A Silva FWD	250	12	67
Oscar MID	173	2	13
G Tapia FWD	120	3	35
R Tolói DEF	114	10	14
M Maílton DEF	98	1	14
Patryck DEF	90	2	9
L Gustavo MID	89	8	15
Luan MID	88	2	8
L Moura FWD	83	3	23
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	78	3	9
F Negrucci MID	75	1	5
Young GLK	37		2
J Dinenno FWD	35	3	14
L. Marques Alencar FWD	33	1	10
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	28		9
E Rigoni FWD	20		4
J Calleri FWD	14	2	5