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Palmeiras v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 21:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Luis Francisco Zubeldía takes his Sao Paulo side to the Allianz Parque in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras their rivals. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a relatively tight affair here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Palmeiras and Sao Paulo go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
53%
4/5-
Draw
27%
5/2-
Sao Paulo
20%
7/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
4/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 1-0
9%
15/2-
Palmeiras 3-0
5%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
16/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
20/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras 4-1
1%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
38%
11/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/8-
BTTS - No
59%
8/15-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
47%
19/20-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
11/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
39%
9/4-
Palmeiras win to nil
35%
6/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
13%
11/2-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
29%
15/8-
Palmeiras / Sao Paulo
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
19%
10/3-
Draw / Sao Paulo
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sao Paulo / Palmeiras
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
10%
15/2-
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win form
3
Sao Paulo have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
6
Sao Paulo have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
APalmeiras0 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
APalmeiras2 - 0Athletico PR
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Palmeiras have not lost to Sao Paulo in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
PAL
4
D
1
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 1
Palmeiras5 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Sao Paulo
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Palmeiras3 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 1
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
3 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
4 / 7
PAL
3
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
1 - 2Palmeiras
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 2nd Sao Paulo 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294524/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
7%
better
PAL
SAO
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score2
2
Scored first4
3
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
26%
better
PAL
SAO
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
5
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
11
Conversion rate against6%
9%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+26%

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
WevertonJ PiquerezR RíosR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK6
1
-
J Piquerez DEF62
-
A Giay DEF6
-
E Martínez MID61
1
-
F Anderson FWD6
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD61
1
-
F Torres FWD621
1
-
Micael DEF5
1
-
A Moreno  MID5
-
R Ríos MID52
2
-
J López FWD52
1
-
G Portillo DEF4
2
-
B Fuchs DEF4
2
-
M Maurício MID3
-
Paulinho FWD3
-
Murilo DEF2
2
-
R Veiga MID2
-
A. Andrade Elias MID2
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
K Naves DEF1
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
RafaelFerreiraFerreiraE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK6
1
-
C Soares DEF61
1
-
E Díaz DEF6
3
-
Alisson MID6
2
-
M Antônio MID6
3
-
Ferreira FWD632
2
-
A Silva FWD621
2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF5
-
A Franco DEF5
1
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID51
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID5
-
Luciano FWD5
-
Wendell DEF4
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
Sabino DEF3
1
-
R Arboleda DEF3
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF3
-
D Bobadilla MID3
1
-
Rodrigo MID3
2
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD31
-
J Calleri FWD3
1