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Palmeiras v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 25th Aug, 23:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Daniel Backstrom will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Sport Recife side to the Allianz Parque to visit Palmeiras and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this match will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Palmeiras and S. Recife have rarely treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
60%
2/73/10
Draw
24%
17/49/2
S. Recife
16%
10/19/1
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
5/119/4
Palmeiras 2-0
13%
9/29/2
Draw 1-1
11%
9/117/2
Draw 0-0
10%
11/110/1
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
13/26/1
S. Recife 1-0
7%
20/116/1
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
11/19/1
S. Recife 2-1
4%
28/122/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/120/1
Palmeiras 4-0
3%
12/110/1
S. Recife 2-0
2%
50/133/1
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
20/114/1
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Palmeiras 5-0
1%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
3/48/11
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
21/201/1
Home 1st Goal
58%
3/102/7
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/416/5
No 1st Goal
6%
11/110/1
BTTS - Yes
40%
5/413/10
BTTS - No
60%
4/74/7
BTTS - Home Win
20%
12/523/10
BTTS - Draw
15%
13/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
20/114/1
Home/draw
84%
1/201/20
Away/draw
40%
5/25/2
Home/away
76%
1/61/7
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
3/111/4
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/110/1
Home DNB
77%
1/141/14
Away DNB
33%
8/113/2
Palmeiras win to nil
40%
5/6-
S. Recife win to nil
10%
16/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
44%
5/65/6
Palmeiras / S. Recife
2%
50/145/1
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Palmeiras
21%
11/429/10
Draw / S. Recife
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/26/1
S. Recife / Palmeiras
4%
20/118/1
S. Recife / S. Recife
5%
18/112/1
S. Recife / Draw
4%
22/118/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras2 - 1Ceara
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras2 - 1Ceara
APalmeiras2 - 2Vitoria
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
HPalmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
HPalmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
APalmeiras1 - 2Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
APalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Juventude2 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Ceara2 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Brusque1 - 0S. Recife
Vila Nova2 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife1 - 0Gremio
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
AS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Palmeiras have beaten S. Recife in 4 consecutive league meetings
6
Palmeiras have not lost to S. Recife in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
PAL
1
D
1
REC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3S. Recife
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
PAL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
1 - 2Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 3rd S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
S. Recife have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
48%
better
PAL
REC
view stats
Games scored13
7
Failed to score3
9
Scored first9
4
Goals scored21
9
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
16
Conversion rate for14
6
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
29%
better
PAL
REC
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded14
25
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Palmeiras v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16423
WevertonV RoqueF TorresJ López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK16
2
-
J Piquerez DEF1631
2
-
V Roque FWD164
2
-
A Giay DEF15
-
E Martínez MID151
2
-
F Torres FWD1542
2
-
J López FWD154
3
-
G Portillo DEF13
3
-
L Evangelista MID1311
1
-
A Moreno  MID13
2
-
M Maurício MID1232
-
F Anderson FWD12
-
B Fuchs DEF11
3
-
A. Andrade Elias FWD111
1
1
R Veiga MID101
-
Micael DEF9
2
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
R Sosa FWD62
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD5
-
Murilo DEF41
3
-
Vanderlan DEF3
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
-
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD2
-
M Lomba GLK1
-
Khellven DEF1
-
M Rocha DEF1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15226
C BarlettaC BarlettaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD1721
1
-
C Rivera MID15
4
-
L Lima MID152
6
-
I Cariús DEF14
1
-
Chico DEF13
1
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID13
2
-
C França GLK12
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
D Queiroz MID11
-
R Atencio FWD11
1
-
M Alexandre DEF10
5
-
J Silva DEF9
1
-
S Oliveira MID81
3
-
Romarinho FWD82
-
Pablo FWD81
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
R Thyere DEF6
-
Gabriel GLK5
-
Matheusinho MID511
-
D Lacerda FWD51
2
-
P Augusto MID4
1
-
J Ramírez FWD4
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
Kevyson DEF3
-
A Carlos DEF3
-
Hyoran MID3
1
-
L Pereira FWD21
-