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Santos v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 20:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Luis Francisco Zubeldía guides his Fluminense troops to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Santos waiting for them. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Santos and Fluminense haven't typically been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santos are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
40%
6/4-
Draw
27%
21/10-
Fluminense
33%
7/4-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Santos 1-0
11%
13/2-
Fluminense 1-0
9%
7/1-
Santos 2-1
9%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1-
Fluminense 2-1
8%
10/1-
Santos 2-0
7%
11/1-
Fluminense 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Santos 3-1
4%
22/1-
Santos 3-0
3%
25/1-
Fluminense 3-1
3%
25/1-
Santos 3-2
2%
33/1-
Fluminense 3-0
2%
28/1-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
5/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13-
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/21-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
19/20-
BTTS - No
48%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2-
Home/draw
67%
2/5-
Away/draw
60%
1/2-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Home DNB
59%
4/5-
Away DNB
52%
10/11-
Santos win to nil
22%
3/1-
Fluminense win to nil
18%
10/3-
Santos / Santos
19%
10/3-
Santos / Fluminense
3%
28/1-
Santos / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Santos
14%
5/1-
Draw / Fluminense
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2-
Fluminense / Santos
3%
28/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
18%
15/4-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Santos 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Fluminense have not lost to Santos in 6 consecutive league meetings
4
Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Santos
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
STS
3
D
3
FLU
1
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Santos
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
STS
1
D
2
FLU
4
Goal Statistics
Santos 15th Fluminense 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
STS
FLU
26%
better
view stats
Games scored9
10
Failed to score1
0
Scored first4
7
Goals scored13
17
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
STS
FLU
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
7
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded16
11
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against18%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+25%

Santos v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE